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Forecast

Hervey Bay (25.2905°S, 152.8562°E, 20m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers easing 21° 30°
    showers easing
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:29am EST 5:52am EST 6:00pm EST 6:23pm EST
    NOW
    26.4° Feels Like: 27.2°
    Relative Humidity: 68%
    Dew: 20.0°
    Wind: SE 15km/h
    Gust: 24km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1014.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Hervey Bay
    Now
    24.9°c
    Feels Like:
    28.4°
    Wind:
    S 9km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    90%
    Showers easing
     
    21°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Hervey Bay
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely in the late afternoon and evening. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    21°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers along the coastal fringe, slight chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Hervey Bay

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely in the late afternoon and evening. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening.

    Forecast for Hervey Bay (25.2905°S, 152.8562°E, 20m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Showers easing Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Showers Showers Possible shower
    Minimum 21° 21° 22° 21° 20° 21° 21°
    Maximum 30° 30° 29° 30° 29° 29° 29°
    Chance of rain 90% 30% 70% 60% 80% 80% 70%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index High High High High High High High
    Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE SE SSE SSE SE SSE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE ESE
    Relative humidity 67% 58% 69% 63% 76% 70% 73% 66% 75% 67% 73% 69% 76% 64%
    Dew point 21°C 20°C 22°C 21°C 23°C 22°C 21°C 21°C 22°C 21°C 22°C 21°C 22°C 21°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Hervey Bay Rain Forecast


    Hervey Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Hervey Bay Rain Forecast


    Hervey Bay 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2024
    2025
    6
    8
    8
    8
    8
    7
    6
    5
    4
    10
    8
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 5

    ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    Hervey Bay Rain Forecast


    Hervey Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    Hervey Bay Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Mar 15
    22.1 °C 29.5 °C
    5.8 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 16
    22.3 °C 28.8 °C
    5.8 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 17
    20.4 °C 29.2 °C
    1.2 mm
    Monday
    Mar 18
    22.7 °C 30.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 19
    21.0 °C 30.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Hervey Bay minimum temp history (25.2905°S, 152.8562°E, 20m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 31.9° 02/03/2024 Coldest this month 19.9° 01/03/2024
    Hottest on record 35.4 06/03/2017 Coldest on record 15.6 31/03/2008
    Hottest this year 33.5° 06/02/2024 Coldest this year 19.9° 01/03/2024
    Long term average 29.2° Long term average 20.8°
    Average this month 29.9° Average this month 22.0°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.9° 2007 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 19.1° 2008
    Hervey Bay rainfall history (25.2905°S, 152.8562°E, 20m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 15.8mm 11/03/2024 Total This Month 73.6mm
    12.0 days
    Long Term Average 134.3mm 17.0 days Wettest March on record 349.2mm 2012
    Driest on record 15.6mm 2000
  15. Year to Date

    Hervey Bay Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 396.9mm 42.8 day(s)
    Total For 2024 303.8mm 50.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2023 278.0mm 32.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 56.8mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature 19.9°C Mar 1
    Highest Temperature 33.5°C Feb 6
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Hervey Bay Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.3 30.1 29.2 27.1 24.3 22.2 21.9 22.9 24.9 26.6 28.1 29.5 26.4
    Mean Min (°C) 22.0 22.0 20.8 17.8 14.2 11.9 10.1 10.5 14.0 17.0 19.1 21.0 16.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 124.4 138.2 134.3 64.1 100.9 72.2 42.4 47.7 34.3 80.9 71.4 128.4 1011.2
    Mean Rain Days 12.5 13.3 17.0 15.6 17.0 15.6 11.9 9.2 8.5 9.0 9.5 11.0 146.8