Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Queensland
Minor Flood Warning For The Lower Warrego River (Qld)
Issued at 12:33 PM EST on Friday 19 April 2024
Flood Warning Number: 33
MINOR FLOODING EASING SLOWLY BETWEEN CUNNAMULLA BRIDGE AND ROCKY
Minor flooding is slowly easing along the Warrego River.
Floodwaters along the lower reaches of the Warrego River will continue to travel into New South Wales over the next few days. A moderate flood warning remains current for the New South Wales section of the Warrego River.
Rainfall totals recorded in the 24-hour period to 9am Friday of up to 10 mm across parts of the Warrego catchment, with an isolated 23 mm recorded at Augathella. No significant rainfall is forecast for the next few days.
Warrego River downstream of Charleville:
Minor flooding is easing along the lower Warrego River downstream of Charleville between Cunnamulla Bridge and Rocky.
The Warrego River at Cunnamulla Bridge is currently at 6.32 metres and falling slowly, above the minor flood level.
The Warrego River at Cunnamulla Bridge is likely to remain above the minor flood level (6.00 m) across the weekend and into Monday.
The Warrego River at Rocky is currently at 3.70 metres and falling slowly, above the minor flood level.
The Warrego River at Rocky is expected to remain above the minor flood level (2.50 m) across the weekend and into Monday.
Flood Safety Advice:
Remember: If it's flooded, forget it. For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500. For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately.}
Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts
Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 01:00 pm EST on Monday 22 April 2024.
Latest River Heights:
Warrego R at Augathella TM,1.42,Steady,11:00 AM FRI 19/04/24
Warrego R at The 27 Mile Garden Alert,0.91,Steady,10:23 AM FRI 19/04/24
Bradleys Gully at Raceview Alert,Not Available,Not Available,11:14 AM FRI 19/04/24
Lower Bradleys Gully Alert,Not Available,Not Available,12:20 PM FRI 19/04/24
Warrego R at Charleville Alert,1.02,Steady,09:32 AM FRI 19/04/24
Ward R at Binnowee Alert,Not Available,Not Available,11:11 AM FRI 19/04/24
Warrego R at Bakers Bend Alert,1.26,Rising,12:28 PM FRI 19/04/24
Warrego R at Wyandra TM,2.70,Steady,11:00 AM FRI 19/04/24
Warrego R at Wallen TM,2.40,Steady,11:00 AM FRI 19/04/24
Warrego R at Cunnamulla Br,6.32,Falling,12:00 PM FRI 19/04/24
Warrego R at Cunnamulla Weir TM,6.25,Falling,11:00 AM FRI 19/04/24
Warrego R at Rocky,3.70,Falling,08:05 AM FRI 19/04/24
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/flood. The latest weather forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/forecasts.
Forecast
Ernestina (23.5899°S, 143.8573°E, 177m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW13° 28° Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:16am EST 6:39am EST 6:04pm EST 6:27pm EST NOW20.6° Feels Like: 16.8° Relative Humidity: 39% Dew: 6.2° Wind: SE 15km/h Gust: 17km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1018.5hPa -
Today Weather
ErnestinaNow21.9°cFeels Like:17.1°Wind:S 17km/hGusts:20km/hHumidity:28%13°Min28°MaxToday in ErnestinaSunny. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.Tomorrow13°Min28°MaxMostly sunny. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h tending E 25 to 40 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 15 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30. -
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Sunny. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
Forecast for Ernestina (23.5899°S, 143.8573°E, 177m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 13° 15° 17° 16° 18° 17° 15° Maximum 28° 31° 31° 32° 32° 30° 30° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 20% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate High Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 28
(km/h)27
(km/h)29
(km/h)25
(km/h)28
(km/h)18
(km/h)19
(km/h)15
(km/h)16
(km/h)17
(km/h)25
(km/h)17
(km/h)21
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction SSE SSE ESE ESE E ESE ENE SSE ESE S SE SSE E SE Relative humidity 53% 26% 60% 31% 53% 28% 51% 26% 45% 27% 37% 23% 41% 23% Dew point 10°C 6°C 14°C 11°C 14°C 10°C 14°C 10°C 13°C 10°C 8°C 6°C 9°C 6°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Ernestina Rain Forecast
Ernestina 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025878878687765105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 16
ENSO status: Inactive. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Positive, favouring positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has returned to an inactive phase for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into apositive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly in May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is positive and will favour a positive phase during autumn and into winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Ernestina Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Apr 1619.2 °C 33.7 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 1719.3 °C 33.4 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Apr 1821.4 °C 33.1 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Apr 1920.2 °C 32.9 °C 1.6 mmSaturday
Apr 2013.8 °C 27.9 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Ernestina minimum temp history (23.5899°S, 143.8573°E, 177m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 35.0° 03/04/2024 Coldest this month 8.0° 11/04/2024 Hottest on record 39.6 12/04/2003 Coldest on record 2.9 30/04/1999 Hottest this year 44.8° 23/01/2024 Coldest this year 8.0° 11/04/2024 Long term average 31.6° Long term average 16.6° Average this month 31.8° Average this month 16.8° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.6° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 13.0° 2008 Ernestina rainfall history (23.5899°S, 143.8573°E, 177m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 6.4mm 05/04/2024 Total This Month 10.2mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 34.3mm 2.8 days Wettest April on record 313.8mm 1990 Driest on record 0.0mm 2017 -
Year to Date
Ernestina Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 243.9mm 21.7 day(s) Total For 2024 178.6mm 26.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 414.2mm 32.0 day(s) Wettest Day 37.2mm Mar25 Lowest Temperature 8.0°C Apr11 Highest Temperature 44.8°C Jan23 -
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Climatology
Climate History
Ernestina Climatology
Ernestina Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 37.3 36.0 34.8 31.6 27.1 23.9 23.7 26.2 30.4 34.1 36.3 37.6 31.5 Mean Min (°C) 23.4 22.6 20.6 16.6 12.0 8.4 7.2 8.6 12.7 17.1 20.2 22.4 15.9 Mean Rain (mm) 77.9 75.1 56.6 34.3 23.5 18.0 18.6 10.9 12.0 23.2 29.9 52.7 428.1 Mean Rain Days 7.2 6.8 4.9 2.8 2.7 2.3 2.3 2.0 2.3 3.8 4.6 6.2 47.4