Forecast
Elimbah (27.0151°S, 152.9445°E, 22m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY21° 30° clearing shower Chance of rain: 40% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 4:21am EST 4:47am EST 6:34pm EST 7:00pm EST NOW23.7° Feels Like: 27.6° Relative Humidity: 82% Dew: 20.4° Wind: CAL 0km/h Gust: 0km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
ElimbahNow24.3°cFeels Like:23.8°Wind:S 22km/hGusts:24km/hHumidity:78%21°Min30°MaxToday in ElimbahPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Areas of smoke haze. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h tending E 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 28 to 34.Tomorrow20°Min32°MaxHot. Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze in the early morning. Slight chance of a shower in the Lockyer Valley, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm with little or no rainfall in the Lockyer Valley in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 37. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Elimbah
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Areas of smoke haze. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h tending E 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 28 to 34.
Forecast for Elimbah (27.0151°S, 152.9445°E, 22m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary Minimum 21° 20° 19° 20° 19° 19° 19° Maximum 30° 32° 33° 34° 34° 31° 33° Chance of rain 40% 20% 20% 20% 70% 80% 50% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index - - - - - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 8
(km/h)9
(km/h)6
(km/h)11
(km/h)5
(km/h)13
(km/h)8
(km/h)14
(km/h)7
(km/h)12
(km/h)7
(km/h)11
(km/h)6
(km/h)11
(km/h)Wind direction SSE E NE ENE NE ENE NNE NE NNE ENE SSE ESE W ENE Relative humidity 67% 60% 59% 51% 53% 51% 49% 46% 51% 54% 65% 58% 51% 46% Dew point 21°C 21°C 20°C 20°C 19°C 20°C 18°C 19°C 19°C 21°C 20°C 21°C 19°C 19°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Elimbah Rain Forecast
Elimbah 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT9
MEDIUM10
11
12
LOW13
HIGH14
MEDIUM15
MEDIUM16
MEDIUM17
MEDIUM18
LOW19
LOW20
MEDIUM21
MEDIUM22
LOW23
24
25
LOW26
27
LOW28
29
LOW30
31
Jan 1
2
LOW3
4
5
6
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 8Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 December to 17 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 8 January to 12 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 December to 19 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Elimbah Rain Forecast
Elimbah 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020346577736654105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Elimbah Rain Forecast
Elimbah 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT9
MEDIUM10
11
12
LOW13
HIGH14
MEDIUM15
MEDIUM16
MEDIUM17
MEDIUM18
LOW19
LOW20
MEDIUM21
MEDIUM22
LOW23
24
25
LOW26
27
LOW28
29
LOW30
31
Jan 1
2
LOW3
4
5
6
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 8Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 December to 17 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 8 January to 12 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 December to 19 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Elimbah Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Dec 0414.1 °C 33.3 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Dec 0511.9 °C 36.8 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 0611.5 °C 39.2 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Dec 0718.7 °C 38.7 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Dec 0822.6 °C 30 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Elimbah minimum temp history (27.0151°S, 152.9445°E, 22m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 39.2° 06/12/2019 Coldest this month 11.5° 06/12/2019 Hottest on record 41.0 26/12/2001 Coldest on record 11.6 07/12/2013 Hottest this year 39.2° 06/12/2019 Coldest this year 4.5° 01/06/2019 Long term average 29.7° Long term average 18.4° Average this month 36.0° Average this month 16.5° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.7° 2005 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 15.8° 2006 Elimbah rainfall history (27.0151°S, 152.9445°E, 22m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 22.2mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 22.2mm
1.0 daysLong Term Average 156.1mm 12.3 days Wettest December on record 901.6mm 2005 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for QLD
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Year to Date
Elimbah Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 1403.8mm 128.8 day(s) Total For 2019 820.6mm 150.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 1094.4mm 164.0 day(s) Wettest Day 76.4mm Mar16 Lowest Temperature 4.5°C Jun 1 Highest Temperature 39.2°C Dec 6 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Elimbah Climatology
Elimbah Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.3 29.7 28.7 26.5 24.1 21.6 21.6 23.2 25.8 27.6 28.5 29.7 26.4 Mean Min (°C) 19.8 19.9 18.6 15.7 12.6 10.9 9.3 9.4 12.0 14.4 16.5 18.4 14.8 Mean Rain (mm) 200.2 201.6 172.5 116.2 122.9 77.5 63.4 45.4 47.1 86.8 114.1 156.1 1403.6 Mean Rain Days 13.8 14.6 15.0 12.0 11.4 8.4 7.7 6.4 7.3 9.1 10.8 12.3 121.9