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Forecast

East Innisfail (17.5314°S, 146.0338°E, 23m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 23° 32°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:12am EST 5:36am EST 6:46pm EST 7:10pm EST
    NOW
    23.8° Feels Like: 27.3°
    Relative Humidity: 91%
    Dew: 22.2°
    Wind: SW 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.6mm
    Pressure: 1007.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    East Innisfail
    Now
    23.7°c
    Feels Like:
    27.7°
    Wind:
    WSW 4km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    90%
    Mostly sunny
     
    23°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Today in East Innisfail
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers on the Tablelands in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 37.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    24°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm inland in the morning and afternoon. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 36.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for East Innisfail

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers on the Tablelands in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 37.

    Forecast for East Innisfail (17.5314°S, 146.0338°E, 23m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Showers Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 23° 24° 22° 24° 23° 24° 23°
    Maximum 32° 32° 32° 31° 29° 29° 30°
    Chance of rain 40% 20% 60% 80% 90% 90% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 10-20mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 5
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    0
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE NE ENE ENE NE E SE SE SSE SE SSE SE SE SE
    Relative humidity 74% 73% 73% 71% 67% 68% 73% 78% 79% 83% 79% 73% 81% 76%
    Dew point 25°C 26°C 25°C 26°C 23°C 24°C 25°C 25°C 25°C 25°C 25°C 24°C 25°C 25°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    East Innisfail Rain Forecast


    East Innisfail 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    HIGH
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec14

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 December to 27 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 12 January to 16 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 December to 30 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 December to 27 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 11 January to 15 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    East Innisfail Rain Forecast


    East Innisfail 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    4
    3
    6
    5
    7
    6
    6
    9
    8
    7
    8
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Dec 11

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    East Innisfail Rain Forecast


    East Innisfail 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    HIGH
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec14

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 December to 27 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 12 January to 16 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 December to 30 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 December to 27 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 11 January to 15 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    East Innisfail Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Dec 10
    24.0 °C 31.1 °C
    9.6 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 11
    24.3 °C 31.5 °C
    1.8 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 12
    24.7 °C 31.6 °C
    3.2 mm
    Friday
    Dec 13
    22.8 °C 31.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Dec 14
    23.0 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    East Innisfail minimum temp history (17.5314°S, 146.0338°E, 23m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.1° 03/12/2019 Coldest this month 21.8° 09/12/2019
    Hottest on record 40.3 30/12/1984 Coldest on record 17.2 13/12/1972
    Hottest this year 40.8° 21/02/2019 Coldest this year 9.6° 16/07/2019
    Long term average 30.5° Long term average 22.7°
    Average this month 31.7° Average this month 23.3°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.4° 2001 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 20.7° 1960
    East Innisfail rainfall history (17.5314°S, 146.0338°E, 23m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 9.6mm 10/12/2019 Total This Month 19.8mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 261.9mm 12.5 days Wettest December on record 1303.6mm 2001
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    East Innisfail Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 3528.8mm 165.4 day(s)
    Total For 2019 3031.1mm 196.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 3397.3mm 173.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 138.7mm Apr 2
    Lowest Temperature 9.6°C Jul16
    Highest Temperature 40.8°C Feb21
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    East Innisfail Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.7 30.5 29.6 28.1 26.2 24.4 23.9 24.9 26.5 28.0 29.4 30.5 27.7
    Mean Min (°C) 23.3 23.4 22.6 21.1 19.1 16.8 15.8 16.2 17.7 19.6 21.5 22.7 20.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 524.1 579.3 653.5 446.6 300.4 185.0 135.0 116.1 82.5 87.9 156.5 261.9 3527.0
    Mean Rain Days 16.9 17.2 19.8 18.9 16.8 13.3 12.2 10.6 8.8 8.2 10.2 12.5 163.2