Forecast
East Deep Creek (26.1962°S, 152.7179°E, 90m AMSL) set as my default location ›
-
My MLA
-
Current condition
TODAY20° 37° possible thunderstorm Chance of rain: 30% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 4:24am EST 4:50am EST 6:35pm EST 7:01pm EST NOW35.9° Feels Like: 36.9° Relative Humidity: 33% Dew: 17.1° Wind: N 7km/h Gust: 15km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1010.3hPa -
Today Weather
East Deep CreekNow30.9°cFeels Like:30.7°Wind:ENE 20km/hGusts:30km/hHumidity:53%20°Min37°MaxToday in East Deep CreekHot. Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers inland during this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 33 to 39.Tomorrow20°Min36°MaxHot. Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers inland in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 33 to 38. -
Radar
-
Popup Radar
-
Warnings
There are no current warnings for East Deep Creek
-
7 day forecast
Today: Hot. Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers inland during this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 33 to 39.
Forecast for East Deep Creek (26.1962°S, 152.7179°E, 90m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 20° 20° 20° 20° 20° 21° 20° Maximum 37° 36° 35° 36° 38° 37° 30° Chance of rain 30% 50% 60% 60% 60% 10% 5% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 7
(km/h)13
(km/h)9
(km/h)15
(km/h)7
(km/h)14
(km/h)6
(km/h)12
(km/h)6
(km/h)12
(km/h)10
(km/h)11
(km/h)16
(km/h)19
(km/h)Wind direction N ENE N NE N ENE NNE E NNE ENE NNW NE SE SE Relative humidity 60% 38% 59% 36% 61% 56% 70% 56% 63% 42% 61% 30% 62% 41% Dew point 20°C 20°C 19°C 18°C 21°C 22°C 23°C 25°C 22°C 23°C 21°C 17°C 18°C 16°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
East Deep Creek Rain Forecast
East Deep Creek 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT11
LOW12
LOW13
MEDIUM14
MEDIUM15
16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
22
LOW23
LOW24
25
LOW26
27
LOW28
LOW29
LOW30
MEDIUM31
MEDIUMJan 1
LOW2
LOW3
LOW4
5
MEDIUM6
MEDIUM7
LOW8
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec11Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 December to 2 January, 2 January to 6 January, and 11 January to 15 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 January to 6 January, 6 January to 10 January, and 11 January to 15 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
12 Month Rainfall Forecast
East Deep Creek Rain Forecast
East Deep Creek 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020346577736654105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.
-
Long range rainfall forecast
East Deep Creek Rain Forecast
East Deep Creek 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT11
LOW12
LOW13
MEDIUM14
MEDIUM15
16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
22
LOW23
LOW24
25
LOW26
27
LOW28
LOW29
LOW30
MEDIUM31
MEDIUMJan 1
LOW2
LOW3
LOW4
5
MEDIUM6
MEDIUM7
LOW8
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec11Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 December to 2 January, 2 January to 6 January, and 11 January to 15 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 January to 6 January, 6 January to 10 January, and 11 January to 15 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
Popup - Daily historical
-
Past 5 Days
East Deep Creek Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Dec 0722.4 °C 40.1 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Dec 0822.6 °C 34.9 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Dec 0920.8 °C 33.5 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Dec 1019.2 °C 36 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Dec 1121 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
East Deep Creek minimum temp history (26.1962°S, 152.7179°E, 90m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 40.1° 07/12/2019 Coldest this month 12.9° 05/12/2019 Hottest on record 42.0 26/12/2001 Coldest on record 10.1 01/12/1969 Hottest this year 40.1° 07/12/2019 Coldest this year -0.2° 21/08/2019 Long term average 31.0° Long term average 18.7° Average this month 36.5° Average this month 19.0° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.4° 2001 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 16.0° 2006 East Deep Creek rainfall history (26.1962°S, 152.7179°E, 90m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 25.8mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 25.8mm
1.0 daysLong Term Average 133.3mm 10.5 days Wettest December on record 584.5mm 2001 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for QLD
-
Year to Date
East Deep Creek Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 1067.7mm 114.4 day(s) Total For 2019 532.6mm 114.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 907.6mm 138.0 day(s) Wettest Day 44.4mm Mar31 Lowest Temperature -0.2°C Aug21 Highest Temperature 40.1°C Dec 7 -
Popup - Monthly historical
-
Climatology
East Deep Creek Climatology
East Deep Creek Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.3 30.4 29.3 27.1 24.4 22.0 21.8 23.4 26.2 28.3 30.0 31.0 27.1 Mean Min (°C) 20.0 19.9 18.3 15.1 11.5 8.4 6.6 7.4 10.7 14.0 16.8 18.7 13.9 Mean Rain (mm) 155.7 161.5 138.6 79.3 63.5 57.5 46.5 36.7 44.1 65.8 85.2 133.3 1062.6 Mean Rain Days 12.1 12.9 13.8 10.9 9.6 8.1 6.8 6.2 6.6 7.8 9.1 10.5 109.3