Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Fire Weather Warning
for Central Highlands and Coalfields, Maranoa and Warrego, Darling Downs and Granite Belt and Wide Bay and Burnett forecast districts
Issued at 05:22 AM EST on Friday 13 December 2019
Weather Situation
Strong and gusty winds behind a trough, with hot and dry air, will enhance fire conditions to Severe in the Maranoa and Warrego, Darling Downs and Granite Belt district, while extending to Central Highlands and Coalfields, and Wide Bay and Burnett as the trough moves northwest.
Isolated pockets of Extreme fire danger are possible through the southern Central Highlands & Coalfields and western Wide Bay & Burnett district, where the air mass will be windy and dry in the afternoon and evening.
Locally Severe conditions are also possible in northern parts of the Central West district associated with the trough and strong winds.
For the rest of Friday 13 December:
Severe Fire Danger for the following areas:
Central Highlands and Coalfields, Maranoa and Warrego, Darling Downs and Granite Belt and Wide Bay and Burnett
The Rural Fire Service Queensland advises you to:
Action your Bushfire Survival Plan now.
Monitor the fire and weather situation through your local radio station, www.ruralfire.qld.gov.au and www.bom.gov.au.
Call 000 (Triple Zero) in an emergency.
For information on preparing for bushfires go to www.ruralfire.qld.gov.au.
No further warnings will be issued for this event, but the situation will continue to be monitored and further warnings issued if necessary.
Forecast
Deepwater (24.4172°S, 151.9646°E, 6m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY25° 32° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 4:33am EST 4:58am EST 6:35pm EST 7:00pm EST NOW31.9° Feels Like: 30.1° Relative Humidity: 47% Dew: 19.2° Wind: NNE 26km/h Gust: 37km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1009.5hPa -
Today Weather
DeepwaterNow28.5°cFeels Like:30.9°Wind:N 13km/hGusts:20km/hHumidity:70%25°Min32°MaxToday in DeepwaterHot. Mostly sunny morning. Medium chance of showers during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening, possibly severe. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 40 km/h before tending N/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 33 to 38.Tomorrow25°Min32°MaxHot. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming N 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 32 to 38. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Hot. Mostly sunny morning. Medium chance of showers during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening, possibly severe. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 40 km/h before tending N/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 33 to 38.
Forecast for Deepwater (24.4172°S, 151.9646°E, 6m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 25° 25° 25° 25° 25° 24° 23° Maximum 32° 32° 32° 33° 32° 31° 31° Chance of rain 50% 40% 5% 40% 20% 20% 5% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 16
(km/h)25
(km/h)19
(km/h)22
(km/h)12
(km/h)18
(km/h)14
(km/h)22
(km/h)20
(km/h)29
(km/h)32
(km/h)34
(km/h)27
(km/h)25
(km/h)Wind direction N NNE N NNE NNE NE NNW NNE E ESE SE SE SE ESE Relative humidity 69% 72% 75% 74% 71% 70% 68% 70% 72% 67% 66% 64% 66% 63% Dew point 24°C 25°C 24°C 26°C 24°C 25°C 24°C 26°C 24°C 24°C 20°C 23°C 21°C 23°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Deepwater Rain Forecast
Deepwater 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT13
MEDIUM14
LOW15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
LOW24
LOW25
LOW26
27
LOW28
LOW29
LOW30
LOW31
Jan 1
2
LOW3
LOW4
MEDIUM5
LOW6
LOW7
LOW8
MEDIUM9
LOW10
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec13Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Deepwater Rain Forecast
Deepwater 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020346577736654105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Dec 11
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Deepwater Rain Forecast
Deepwater 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT13
MEDIUM14
LOW15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
LOW24
LOW25
LOW26
27
LOW28
LOW29
LOW30
LOW31
Jan 1
2
LOW3
LOW4
MEDIUM5
LOW6
LOW7
LOW8
MEDIUM9
LOW10
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec13Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Deepwater Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Dec 0923.6 °C 31.7 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Dec 1023.3 °C 30.7 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Dec 1124.9 °C 31.0 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Dec 1223.1 °C 31 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 1324 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Deepwater minimum temp history (24.4172°S, 151.9646°E, 6m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 32.6° 04/12/2019 Coldest this month 20.4° 04/12/2019 Hottest on record 33.4 26/12/2001 Coldest on record 11.5 28/12/1991 Hottest this year 33.8° 22/02/2019 Coldest this year 7.8° 15/07/2019 Long term average 28.7° Long term average 22.2° Average this month 31.2° Average this month 23.7° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.5° 2009 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 20.3° 1989 Deepwater rainfall history (24.4172°S, 151.9646°E, 6m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/12/2019 Total This Month 0.0mm
0.0 daysLong Term Average 133.9mm 11.5 days Wettest December on record 516.2mm 2009 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for QLD
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Year to Date
Deepwater Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 1143.2mm 112.3 day(s) Total For 2019 554.9mm 101.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 982.4mm 102.0 day(s) Wettest Day 99.2mm Apr26 Lowest Temperature 7.8°C Jul15 Highest Temperature 33.8°C Feb22 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Deepwater Climatology
Deepwater Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.4 29.2 28.2 26.4 24.1 21.9 21.3 22.1 24.1 25.9 27.5 28.7 25.8 Mean Min (°C) 22.9 22.7 21.6 19.4 17.0 14.6 13.7 14.6 17.0 19.3 20.9 22.2 18.8 Mean Rain (mm) 161.7 178.4 142.3 101.6 97.2 68.9 42.4 46.9 39.4 57.9 72.6 133.9 1148.3 Mean Rain Days 12.8 13.7 13.8 11.0 9.0 7.9 6.1 5.2 5.5 7.5 8.3 11.5 108.3