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Forecast

Daveson (17.7867°S, 146.0217°E, 15m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Thunderstorms 24° 30°
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 20-40mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:37am EST 6:00am EST 6:57pm EST 7:20pm EST
    NOW
    26.7° Feels Like: 31.9°
    Relative Humidity: 90%
    Dew: 24.9°
    Wind: N 6km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.4mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Daveson
    Now
    25.2°c
    Feels Like:
    30.5°
    Wind:
    WNW 4km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    96%
    Thunderstorms
     
    24°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Daveson
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm with possible heavy falls. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures 27 to 32.
    Tomorrow
    Thunderstorms
    24°
    Min
    31°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm with possible heavy falls. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 32.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Daveson

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm with possible heavy falls. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures 27 to 32.

    Forecast for Daveson (17.7867°S, 146.0217°E, 15m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Possible shower Thunderstorms Thunderstorms
    Minimum 24° 24° 24° 24° 24° 24° 24°
    Maximum 30° 31° 31° 31° 31° 31° 31°
    Chance of rain 90% 80% 90% 80% 90% 90% 70%
    Likely amount 20-40mm 20-40mm 10-20mm 20-40mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 10-20mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 2
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE ENE ESE ENE E E SSE ESE SE ESE SE SE SSE SE
    Relative humidity 89% 91% 94% 92% 92% 91% 93% 91% 88% 83% 86% 77% 84% 82%
    Dew point 27°C 28°C 27°C 29°C 27°C 29°C 27°C 28°C 26°C 28°C 26°C 26°C 26°C 27°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Daveson Rain Forecast


    Daveson 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    HIGH
    8
    HIGH
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 February to 15 February, 20 February to 24 February, and 25 February to 29 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 4 February to 8 February, and 17 February to 21 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 11 February to 15 February, 18 February to 22 February, and 25 February to 29 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Daveson Rain Forecast


    Daveson 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    5
    5
    7
    6
    7
    7
    8
    7
    8
    6
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Daveson Rain Forecast


    Daveson 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    HIGH
    8
    HIGH
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 February to 15 February, 20 February to 24 February, and 25 February to 29 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 4 February to 8 February, and 17 February to 21 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 11 February to 15 February, 18 February to 22 February, and 25 February to 29 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Daveson Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Jan 23
    25.1 °C 32.0 °C
    5.2 mm
    Friday
    Jan 24
    24.6 °C 32.7 °C
    0.4 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 25
    24.5 °C 32.1 °C
    32.2 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 26
    23.4 °C 30.3 °C
    109.2 mm
    Monday
    Jan 27
    24.4 °C -
    6.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Daveson minimum temp history (17.7867°S, 146.0217°E, 15m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 37.3° 17/01/2020 Coldest this month 21.6° 01/01/2020
    Hottest on record 40.0 08/01/1994 Coldest on record 14.4 17/01/1965
    Hottest this year 37.3° 17/01/2020 Coldest this year 21.6° 01/01/2020
    Long term average 31.4° Long term average 22.7°
    Average this month 32.2° Average this month 23.7°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.8° 1992 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 20.5° 1965
    Daveson rainfall history (17.7867°S, 146.0217°E, 15m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 47.2mm 26/01/2020 Total This Month 236.8mm
    17.0 days
    Long Term Average 540.3mm 18.3 days Wettest January on record 2740.6mm 1992
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Daveson Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 540.3mm 18.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 236.8mm 17.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 457.2mm 16.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 47.2mm Jan26
    Lowest Temperature 21.6°C Jan 1
    Highest Temperature 37.3°C Jan17
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Daveson Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.4 30.9 30.0 28.3 26.3 24.6 24.0 25.4 27.3 29.1 30.6 31.3 28.3
    Mean Min (°C) 22.7 22.9 22.2 20.7 18.7 16.2 15.2 15.6 16.9 19.0 20.8 22.1 19.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 540.3 594.6 629.4 405.2 277.2 159.9 113.6 90.9 84.5 98.8 149.4 266.3 3414.9
    Mean Rain Days 18.3 18.9 21.2 20.0 18.8 15.8 15.6 13.9 12.2 11.3 12.0 14.2 189.4