Forecast
Danbulla (17.1881°S, 145.6626°E, 710m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW19° 33° possible thunderstorm Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:14am EST 5:38am EST 6:48pm EST 7:12pm EST NOW22.8° Feels Like: 24.8° Relative Humidity: 89% Dew: 20.9° Wind: NNW 11km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 2.2mm Pressure: 1011.7hPa -
Today Weather
DanbullaNow25.6°cFeels Like:29.6°Wind:N 9km/hGusts:13km/hHumidity:90%19°Min33°MaxToday in DanbullaPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers on the Tablelands in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 37.Tomorrow19°Min33°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm inland in the morning and afternoon. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 36. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Danbulla
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers on the Tablelands in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 37.
Forecast for Danbulla (17.1881°S, 145.6626°E, 710m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 19° 19° 18° 19° 18° 19° 18° Maximum 33° 31° 32° 29° 28° 27° 29° Chance of rain 70% 60% 20% 70% 80% 60% 60% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 5
(km/h)9
(km/h)6
(km/h)14
(km/h)9
(km/h)20
(km/h)19
(km/h)21
(km/h)19
(km/h)20
(km/h)18
(km/h)19
(km/h)17
(km/h)-
(km/h)Wind direction N NE E ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE SE SE SE ESE - Relative humidity 54% 60% 64% 41% 47% 34% 69% 56% 76% 67% 77% 67% 70% n/a Dew point 18°C 20°C 18°C 16°C 15°C 14°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 21°C 19°C 21°C 19°C n/a -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Danbulla Rain Forecast
Danbulla 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT14
15
MEDIUM16
17
18
MEDIUM19
HIGH20
MEDIUM21
22
LOW23
LOW24
25
LOW26
LOW27
28
29
30
31
Jan 1
2
3
4
LOW5
LOW6
7
8
9
10
11
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec14Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 December to 27 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 12 January to 16 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 December to 30 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 December to 27 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 11 January to 15 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Danbulla Rain Forecast
Danbulla 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020436576698785105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Dec 11
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Danbulla Rain Forecast
Danbulla 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT14
15
MEDIUM16
17
18
MEDIUM19
HIGH20
MEDIUM21
22
LOW23
LOW24
25
LOW26
LOW27
28
29
30
31
Jan 1
2
3
4
LOW5
LOW6
7
8
9
10
11
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec14Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 December to 27 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 12 January to 16 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 December to 30 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 December to 27 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 11 January to 15 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Danbulla Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Dec 1020.5 °C 30.0 °C 1.8 mmWednesday
Dec 1120.6 °C 30.7 °C 0.6 mmThursday
Dec 1222.0 °C 30.5 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 1319.0 °C 35.5 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Dec 1418.8 °C - 1.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Danbulla minimum temp history (17.1881°S, 145.6626°E, 710m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 35.8° 01/12/2019 Coldest this month 17.4° 01/12/2019 Hottest on record 38.0 04/12/2012 Coldest on record 12.6 05/12/1998 Hottest this year 35.8° 01/12/2019 Coldest this year 7.2° 19/07/2019 Long term average 30.7° Long term average 19.8° Average this month 33.1° Average this month 19.5° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.7° 2001 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 17.8° 1972 Danbulla rainfall history (17.1881°S, 145.6626°E, 710m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 3.0mm 07/12/2019 Total This Month 5.8mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 121.0mm 12.3 days Wettest December on record 378.4mm 2001 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for QLD
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Year to Date
Danbulla Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 1028.0mm 127.4 day(s) Total For 2019 786.8mm 134.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 1119.7mm 124.0 day(s) Wettest Day 85.0mm Jan26 Lowest Temperature 7.2°C Jul19 Highest Temperature 35.8°C Dec 1 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Danbulla Climatology
Danbulla Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.0 29.2 28.1 26.6 25.0 23.6 23.3 24.8 27.2 29.3 30.6 30.7 27.4 Mean Min (°C) 20.3 20.5 19.6 18.1 16.2 13.9 13.0 13.3 14.8 16.7 18.5 19.8 17.1 Mean Rain (mm) 224.4 249.7 208.2 52.4 26.8 19.3 11.5 10.7 8.1 21.6 74.3 121.0 1032.1 Mean Rain Days 16.5 18.1 16.7 13.1 10.9 8.3 7.7 6.1 4.4 4.9 8.4 12.3 126.4