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Forecast

Burua (23.9426°S, 151.2219°E, 24m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 21° 33°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:39am EST 5:03am EST 6:16pm EST 6:40pm EST
    NOW
    24.1° Feels Like: 23.9°
    Relative Humidity: 68%
    Dew: 17.8°
    Wind: N 15km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1015.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Burua
    Now
    23.2°c
    Feels Like:
    23.8°
    Wind:
    NNW 13km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    76%
    Mostly sunny
     
    21°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Today in Burua
    Hot and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the southwest in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm with little or no rainfall in the south in the afternoon. Winds N 20 to 30 km/h turning W/NW early in the morning then tending NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 32 to 38.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    21°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Hot and mostly sunny. The chance of a thunderstorm inland during the afternoon and evening with little or no rainfall. Light NW winds 15 to 20 km/h tending SE/SW 15 to 25 km/h before dawn then tending N/NE in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 36.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Burua

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the southwest in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm with little or no rainfall in the south in the afternoon. Winds N 20 to 30 km/h turning W/NW early in the morning then tending NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 32 to 38.

    Forecast for Burua (23.9426°S, 151.2219°E, 24m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 21° 21° 22° 22° 22° 22° 22°
    Maximum 33° 31° 30° 31° 31° 33° 31°
    Chance of rain 20% 10% 10% 5% 5% 10% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Very High Very High Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 20
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW NNE ESE NE NE NE NNE NE NNE NE N NE NNE NE
    Relative humidity 50% 42% 51% 53% 56% 51% 54% 50% 53% 49% 50% 48% 52% 51%
    Dew point 17°C 18°C 18°C 20°C 19°C 19°C 18°C 19°C 18°C 19°C 18°C 20°C 18°C 19°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Burua Rain Forecast


    Burua 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    Dec 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov12

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 November to 1 December, 7 December to 11 December, and 14 December to 18 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 19 November to 23 November, and 15 December to 19 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 November to 22 November, 27 November to 1 December, and 14 December to 18 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Burua Rain Forecast


    Burua 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    2
    4
    4
    6
    6
    7
    7
    8
    7
    7
    7
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Burua Rain Forecast


    Burua 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    Dec 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov12

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 November to 1 December, 7 December to 11 December, and 14 December to 18 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 19 November to 23 November, and 15 December to 19 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 November to 22 November, 27 November to 1 December, and 14 December to 18 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Burua Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Nov 08
    17.8 °C 34.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Nov 09
    19.0 °C 35.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 10
    19.9 °C 31.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 11
    14.3 °C 31.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 12
    20.1 °C 31 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Burua minimum temp history (23.9426°S, 151.2219°E, 24m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.1° 09/11/2019 Coldest this month 14.3° 11/11/2019
    Hottest on record 36.7 01/11/2003 Coldest on record 11.0 17/11/2006
    Hottest this year 35.1° 09/11/2019 Coldest this year 6.4° 15/07/2019
    Long term average 28.9° Long term average 20.5°
    Average this month 30.7° Average this month 19.0°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.0° 2016 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 19.1° 1999
    Burua rainfall history (23.9426°S, 151.2219°E, 24m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 1.2mm 05/11/2019 Total This Month 2.6mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 60.7mm 7.7 days Wettest November on record 160.2mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Burua Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 784.0mm 79.2 day(s)
    Total For 2019 360.6mm 83.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 555.0mm 71.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 53.2mm Oct12
    Lowest Temperature 6.4°C Jul15
    Highest Temperature 35.1°C Nov 9
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Burua Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.7 30.6 29.8 28.1 25.7 23.4 23.0 23.9 26.1 27.5 28.9 30.1 27.4
    Mean Min (°C) 23.0 23.0 21.8 19.0 15.6 13.3 11.9 12.6 15.6 18.3 20.5 22.2 18.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 150.4 178.6 120.5 43.3 37.3 44.0 30.6 35.6 31.5 51.5 60.7 108.8 900.8
    Mean Rain Days 11.5 11.7 9.6 5.9 5.9 6.5 5.0 4.3 4.3 6.8 7.7 10.0 85.1