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Forecast

Breakfast Creek (27.4333°S, 153.05°E, 59m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 21° 29°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:28am EST 5:51am EST 6:00pm EST 6:23pm EST
    NOW
    26.5° Feels Like: 28.5°
    Relative Humidity: 68%
    Dew: 20.1°
    Wind: NE 9km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure: 1016.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Breakfast Creek
    Now
    25.9°c
    Feels Like:
    28.5°
    Wind:
    NE 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    76%
    Possible shower
     
    21°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Breakfast Creek
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely in the late afternoon and evening. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    21°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Light winds.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Breakfast Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely in the late afternoon and evening. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening.

    Forecast for Breakfast Creek (27.4333°S, 153.05°E, 59m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 21° 21° 21° 20° 19° 20° 20°
    Maximum 29° 30° 28° 27° 28° 27° 28°
    Chance of rain 90% 40% 60% 50% 50% 80% 60%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Extreme Very High Very High High High High
    Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating Moderate Moderate No Rating - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE E SSE E S S S SSE S ESE S SSE SSE E
    Relative humidity 92% 66% 74% 60% 76% 69% 72% 68% 75% 69% 77% 69% 75% 68%
    Dew point 23°C 21°C 22°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 19°C 19°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 19°C 21°C 21°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Breakfast Creek Rain Forecast


    Breakfast Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Breakfast Creek Rain Forecast


    Breakfast Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2024
    2025
    6
    8
    8
    8
    8
    7
    6
    5
    4
    10
    8
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 5

    ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    Breakfast Creek Rain Forecast


    Breakfast Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    Breakfast Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Mar 15
    19.8 °C 30.3 °C
    0.8 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 16
    20.8 °C 28.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 17
    19.6 °C 28.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Mar 18
    20.8 °C 29.0 °C
    16.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 19
    21.3 °C 28.8 °C
    0.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Breakfast Creek minimum temp history (27.4333°S, 153.05°E, 59m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 32.7° 02/03/2024 Coldest this month 19.6° 17/03/2024
    Hottest on record 37.9 11/03/2007 Coldest on record 12.2 30/03/2008
    Hottest this year 35.7° 22/01/2024 Coldest this year 19.6° 17/03/2024
    Long term average 29.2° Long term average 20.3°
    Average this month 29.7° Average this month 21.2°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.8° 2007 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 18.1° 2008
    Breakfast Creek rainfall history (27.4333°S, 153.05°E, 59m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 16.2mm 18/03/2024 Total This Month 42.8mm
    13.0 days
    Long Term Average 132.1mm 14.8 days Wettest March on record 298.0mm 2017
    Driest on record 12.4mm 2005
  15. Year to Date

    Breakfast Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 440.8mm 40.6 day(s)
    Total For 2024 532.0mm 52.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2023 189.8mm 26.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 183.6mm Feb16
    Lowest Temperature 19.6°C Mar17
    Highest Temperature 35.7°C Jan22
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Breakfast Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.4 30.2 29.2 27.2 24.5 22.0 22.0 23.4 25.7 27.1 28.3 29.7 26.6
    Mean Min (°C) 21.7 21.4 20.3 17.4 13.8 11.8 10.5 10.9 13.9 16.5 18.8 20.6 16.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 138.0 170.7 132.1 60.3 70.9 58.1 30.2 33.0 29.2 84.8 94.0 130.8 1031.9
    Mean Rain Days 12.4 13.4 14.8 11.5 9.5 9.3 7.5 5.9 7.3 10.0 10.6 12.5 124.4