Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Fire Weather Warning
for Darling Downs and Granite Belt, Wide Bay and Burnett and Southeast Coast forecast districts
Issued at 04:40 AM EST on Friday 06 December 2019
Weather Situation
Severe fire danger is forecast for the Southeast Coast, Darling Downs and Granite Belt, and Wide Bay and Burnett Districts today. Locally severe fire danger is also expected in forested parts of the north and eastern Maranoa and Warrego District.
Showers and thunderstorms are forecast for the northern Wide Bay and Burnett District. Thunderstorms there have the potential to be severe producing damaging wind gusts.
Severe fire danger is likely to continue in the southeast on Saturday.
For the rest of Friday 06 December:
Severe Fire Danger for the following areas:
Darling Downs and Granite Belt, Wide Bay and Burnett and Southeast Coast
The Rural Fire Service Queensland advises you to:
Action your Bushfire Survival Plan now.
Monitor the fire and weather situation through your local radio station, www.ruralfire.qld.gov.au and www.bom.gov.au.
Call 000 (Triple Zero) in an emergency.
For information on preparing for bushfires go to www.ruralfire.qld.gov.au.
No further warnings will be issued for this event, but the situation will continue to be monitored and further warnings issued if necessary.
Forecast
Branchview (27.6111°S, 151.3358°E, 359m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY15° 38° Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 4:24am EST 4:51am EST 6:41pm EST 7:07pm EST NOW33.4° Feels Like: 28.2° Relative Humidity: 8% Dew: -5.3° Wind: WSW 13km/h Gust: 20km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1012.2hPa -
Today Weather
BranchviewNow34.6°cFeels Like:28.8°Wind:SW 15km/hGusts:17km/hHumidity:6%15°Min38°MaxToday in BranchviewHot and sunny. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h turning W 15 to 25 km/h during the morning then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 40.Tomorrow18°Min38°MaxHot. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north in the late morning. Sunny afternoon. Light winds becoming W/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching around 40. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Hot and sunny. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h turning W 15 to 25 km/h during the morning then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 40.
Forecast for Branchview (27.6111°S, 151.3358°E, 359m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 15° 18° 17° 19° 19° 22° 21° Maximum 38° 38° 38° 36° 38° 39° 37° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 20% 70% 80% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm UV index - - - - - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 12
(km/h)21
(km/h)14
(km/h)25
(km/h)17
(km/h)12
(km/h)26
(km/h)16
(km/h)18
(km/h)10
(km/h)20
(km/h)14
(km/h)23
(km/h)19
(km/h)Wind direction NW WSW NW WSW NE NNE ENE ENE NNE W N N N NW Relative humidity 13% 7% 15% 8% 39% 13% 47% 22% 47% 19% 39% 20% 42% 20% Dew point 0°C -3°C 3°C -1°C 14°C 5°C 16°C 12°C 17°C 11°C 17°C 12°C 15°C 10°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Branchview Rain Forecast
Branchview 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT6
7
8
9
10
11
MEDIUM12
MEDIUM13
LOW14
LOW15
LOW16
17
18
LOW19
20
21
LOW22
LOW23
LOW24
LOW25
LOW26
27
LOW28
LOW29
30
LOW31
MEDIUMJan 1
LOW2
3
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 5Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 December to 19 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 December to 16 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Branchview Rain Forecast
Branchview 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020345676645566105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Branchview Rain Forecast
Branchview 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT6
7
8
9
10
11
MEDIUM12
MEDIUM13
LOW14
LOW15
LOW16
17
18
LOW19
20
21
LOW22
LOW23
LOW24
LOW25
LOW26
27
LOW28
LOW29
30
LOW31
MEDIUMJan 1
LOW2
3
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 5Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 December to 19 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 December to 16 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Branchview Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Dec 0218.2 °C 30.9 °C 5.0 mmTuesday
Dec 0312.3 °C 31.0 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Dec 049.1 °C 34.5 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Dec 059.2 °C 36 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 0611 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Branchview minimum temp history (27.6111°S, 151.3358°E, 359m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 34.0° 04/12/2019 Coldest this month 9.1° 04/12/2019 Hottest on record 40.3 29/12/2013 Coldest on record 5.8 05/12/1984 Hottest this year 40.0° 13/02/2019 Coldest this year -4.5° 16/07/2019 Long term average 30.3° Long term average 16.7° Average this month 31.9° Average this month 14.9° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.2° 2005 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 14.1° 1999 Branchview rainfall history (27.6111°S, 151.3358°E, 359m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 5.0mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 7.2mm
2.0 daysLong Term Average 85.3mm 7.8 days Wettest December on record 304.2mm 2005 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for QLD
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Year to Date
Branchview Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 601.8mm 74.0 day(s) Total For 2019 143.4mm 36.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 384.0mm 62.0 day(s) Wettest Day 22.2mm Mar30 Lowest Temperature -4.5°C Jul16 Highest Temperature 40.0°C Feb13 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Branchview Climatology
Branchview Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.9 30.0 28.7 25.9 22.3 19.0 18.6 20.4 23.9 26.7 28.8 30.3 25.5 Mean Min (°C) 17.9 17.7 15.8 11.8 7.8 4.3 2.9 3.7 7.3 11.3 14.6 16.7 10.9 Mean Rain (mm) 75.3 77.2 50.0 28.1 40.2 30.6 28.3 25.7 31.9 52.4 76.8 85.3 599.9 Mean Rain Days 7.7 6.5 6.2 4.9 5.6 5.7 5.7 4.5 5.3 6.5 7.6 7.8 72.1