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Forecast

Bracalba (27.0111°S, 152.841°E, 63m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 21° 32°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:55am EST 5:20am EST 6:43pm EST 7:08pm EST
    NOW
    23.5° Feels Like: 28.1°
    Relative Humidity: 90%
    Dew: 21.8°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Bracalba
    Now
    27.1°c
    Feels Like:
    29.9°
    Wind:
    ENE 11km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    76%
    Mostly sunny
     
    21°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Today in Bracalba
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower about the southern border ranges in the late morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming E 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 30 to 35.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    21°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds becoming E 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Bracalba

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower about the southern border ranges in the late morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming E 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 30 to 35.

    Forecast for Bracalba (27.0111°S, 152.841°E, 63m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Mostly sunny Possible shower Clearing shower Mostly sunny Sunny Thunderstorms Thunderstorms
    Minimum 21° 21° 22° 21° 22° 23° 22°
    Maximum 32° 32° 31° 33° 36° 33° 29°
    Chance of rain 30% 50% 60% 20% 50% 90% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 10-20mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE E ESE E E ENE NE ENE NNW NE S SE SSE SE
    Relative humidity 59% 49% 58% 57% 64% 50% 61% 48% 51% 42% 59% 62% 79% 70%
    Dew point 20°C 20°C 20°C 21°C 21°C 19°C 21°C 20°C 20°C 20°C 21°C 22°C 22°C 23°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bracalba Rain Forecast


    Bracalba 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    HIGH
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bracalba Rain Forecast


    Bracalba 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    3
    7
    4
    8
    7
    7
    7
    6
    6
    5
    4
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bracalba Rain Forecast


    Bracalba 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    HIGH
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bracalba Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 25
    24.9 °C 32.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 26
    21.7 °C 29.1 °C
    1.2 mm
    Monday
    Jan 27
    20.6 °C 30.3 °C
    2.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 28
    21.5 °C 30.3 °C
    0.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 29
    23.0 °C 33 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bracalba minimum temp history (27.0111°S, 152.841°E, 63m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.7° 21/01/2020 Coldest this month 16.4° 05/01/2020
    Hottest on record 43.7 04/01/2014 Coldest on record 14.0 14/01/2003
    Hottest this year 35.7° 21/01/2020 Coldest this year 16.4° 05/01/2020
    Long term average 30.3° Long term average 19.8°
    Average this month 31.3° Average this month 20.5°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.0° 2013 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 17.4° 2003
    Bracalba rainfall history (27.0111°S, 152.841°E, 63m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 81.6mm 18/01/2020 Total This Month 174.8mm
    16.0 days
    Long Term Average 200.2mm 13.8 days Wettest January on record 1249.6mm 2013
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Bracalba Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 200.2mm 13.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 174.8mm 16.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 6.0mm 4.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 81.6mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature 16.4°C Jan 5
    Highest Temperature 35.7°C Jan21
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bracalba Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.3 29.7 28.7 26.5 24.1 21.6 21.6 23.2 25.8 27.6 28.5 29.7 26.4
    Mean Min (°C) 19.8 19.9 18.6 15.7 12.6 10.9 9.3 9.4 12.0 14.4 16.5 18.4 14.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 200.2 201.6 172.5 116.2 122.9 77.5 63.4 45.4 47.1 86.8 114.1 156.1 1403.6
    Mean Rain Days 13.8 14.6 15.0 12.0 11.4 8.4 7.7 6.4 7.3 9.1 10.8 12.3 121.9