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Forecast

Bokarina (26.735°S, 153.1328°E, 0m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 15° 25°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:40am EST 5:04am EST 5:59pm EST 6:23pm EST
    NOW
    23.7° Feels Like: 21.5°
    Relative Humidity: 53%
    Dew: 13.6°
    Wind: ESE 17km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1021.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bokarina
    Now
    22.5°c
    Feels Like:
    21.0°
    Wind:
    E 11km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    52%
    Mostly sunny
     
    15°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Today in Bokarina
    Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    13°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Sunny. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 31.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Bokarina

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.

    Forecast for Bokarina (26.735°S, 153.1328°E, 0m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 15° 13° 13° 15° 17° 17° 17°
    Maximum 25° 26° 27° 29° 30° 25° 24°
    Chance of rain 20% 10% 5% 30% 50% 90% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE ESE E ENE NNE NE N NE N ENE SE ESE SE SE
    Relative humidity 71% 62% 69% 63% 65% 62% 67% 66% 67% 71% 78% 77% 69% 67%
    Dew point 16°C 16°C 15°C 17°C 15°C 18°C 17°C 21°C 20°C 22°C 18°C 20°C 16°C 17°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bokarina Rain Forecast


    Bokarina 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 November to 7 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 22 November to 26 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 November to 25 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 November to 7 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 20 November to 24 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bokarina Rain Forecast


    Bokarina 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2019
    2020
    6
    4
    5
    3
    7
    5
    7
    7
    7
    3
    6
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 7

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remain within neutral values. The Nino3.4 index lingered between -0.2 and 0.2 through the month of September. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -12.4 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. The IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for spring continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. A negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) on the other hand, is likely to enhance frontal activity over the far south during spring. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during the remainder of spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bokarina Rain Forecast


    Bokarina 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 November to 7 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 22 November to 26 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 November to 25 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 November to 7 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 20 November to 24 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bokarina Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Oct 19
    19.9 °C 25.3 °C
    0.6 mm
    Sunday
    Oct 20
    15.3 °C 25.8 °C
    33.0 mm
    Monday
    Oct 21
    18.0 °C 23.9 °C
    5.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 22
    13.5 °C 24.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Oct 23
    16.3 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bokarina minimum temp history (26.735°S, 153.1328°E, 0m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 29.5° 17/10/2019 Coldest this month 10.5° 13/10/2019
    Hottest on record 37.0 08/10/2004 Coldest on record 7.1 01/10/2016
    Hottest this year 33.8° 12/03/2019 Coldest this year 2.6° 15/07/2019
    Long term average 25.6° Long term average 15.5°
    Average this month 24.9° Average this month 15.8°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.8° 2013 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 13.5° 2016
    Bokarina rainfall history (26.735°S, 153.1328°E, 0m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 42.0mm 12/10/2019 Total This Month 148.8mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 71.9mm 10.6 days Wettest October on record 225.6mm 2013
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Bokarina Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 1262.6mm 140.9 day(s)
    Total For 2019 1148.0mm 140.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 1407.8mm 160.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 117.8mm Mar28
    Lowest Temperature 2.6°C Jul15
    Highest Temperature 33.8°C Mar12
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Bokarina Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.0 28.9 27.9 26.0 23.6 21.4 21.0 22.1 24.3 25.6 27.1 28.3 25.4
    Mean Min (°C) 21.2 21.3 20.1 16.9 13.6 11.4 9.6 9.9 12.9 15.5 17.9 19.8 15.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 157.7 196.7 178.6 161.6 154.9 125.2 68.4 84.1 63.5 71.9 88.0 149.2 1497.7
    Mean Rain Days 14.7 15.1 16.6 16.0 16.9 16.4 13.0 10.5 11.1 10.6 9.8 13.4 156.7