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Forecast

Bogandilla (26.5179°S, 149.7836°E, 354m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 20° 39°
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:32am EST 4:58am EST 6:44pm EST 7:10pm EST
    NOW
    25.0° Feels Like: 23.6°
    Relative Humidity: 42%
    Dew: 11.2°
    Wind: NNE 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1018.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bogandilla
    Now
    26.7°c
    Feels Like:
    22.7°
    Wind:
    NNE 19km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    32%
    Sunny
     
    20°
    Min
    39°
    Max
    Today in Bogandilla
    Hot. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the far east in the afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Areas of smoke haze in the east. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds NE 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 35 to 40.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    21°
    Min
    39°
    Max
    Hot. Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze in the southeast in the early morning. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm with little or no rainfall in the afternoon and evening. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 24 with daytime temperatures reaching around 40.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Bogandilla

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the far east in the afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Areas of smoke haze in the east. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds NE 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 35 to 40.

    Forecast for Bogandilla (26.5179°S, 149.7836°E, 354m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Late shower Late shower Late shower Possible shower
    Minimum 20° 21° 22° 21° 20° 18° 18°
    Maximum 39° 39° 39° 39° 37° 36° 37°
    Chance of rain 10% 10% 70% 40% 40% 40% 40%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 16
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE NE NNE ESE N ESE N N NNW WSW WNW WSW NNW SSW
    Relative humidity 36% 17% 39% 15% 33% 16% 39% 16% 34% 18% 35% 16% 34% 15%
    Dew point 14°C 10°C 15°C 8°C 14°C 10°C 16°C 10°C 14°C 9°C 13°C 6°C 13°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bogandilla Rain Forecast


    Bogandilla 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 December to 17 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 8 January to 12 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 December to 19 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bogandilla Rain Forecast


    Bogandilla 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    6
    6
    4
    5
    5
    6
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bogandilla Rain Forecast


    Bogandilla 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 December to 17 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 8 January to 12 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 December to 19 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bogandilla Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Dec 04
    10.4 °C 35.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 05
    9.5 °C 37.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Dec 06
    11.0 °C 39.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Dec 07
    14.9 °C 40.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Dec 08
    15.4 °C 41 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bogandilla minimum temp history (26.5179°S, 149.7836°E, 354m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 41.0° 07/12/2019 Coldest this month 9.5° 05/12/2019
    Hottest on record 43.8 29/12/2013 Coldest on record 8.5 06/12/2012
    Hottest this year 42.0° 13/02/2019 Coldest this year -2.3° 20/07/2019
    Long term average 32.8° Long term average 19.2°
    Average this month 35.6° Average this month 14.5°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 35.7° 2016 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 16.7° 1999
    Bogandilla rainfall history (26.5179°S, 149.7836°E, 354m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.6mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 0.6mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 96.2mm 9.5 days Wettest December on record 340.0mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Bogandilla Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 572.0mm 78.5 day(s)
    Total For 2019 218.8mm 37.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 461.0mm 62.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 53.8mm Mar30
    Lowest Temperature -2.3°C Jul20
    Highest Temperature 42.0°C Feb13
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Bogandilla Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.7 32.8 31.4 27.8 23.9 20.3 20.1 22.5 26.4 29.6 31.4 32.8 27.8
    Mean Min (°C) 20.5 19.9 17.9 13.3 8.1 6.1 4.4 5.3 10.1 13.7 17.2 19.2 13.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 73.1 69.5 57.0 28.2 25.6 41.5 18.3 34.6 32.0 42.9 53.1 96.2 574.5
    Mean Rain Days 7.9 7.8 6.2 4.8 5.4 6.6 5.2 4.8 5.4 6.1 8.8 9.5 73.1