Forecast
Basin Pocket (27.6011°S, 152.7727°E, 9m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY20° 32° possible thunderstorm Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 4:21am EST 4:47am EST 6:39pm EST 7:06pm EST NOW30.4° Feels Like: 30.8° Relative Humidity: 46% Dew: 17.8° Wind: NE 11km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1008.7hPa -
Today Weather
Basin PocketNow29.3°cFeels Like:28.8°Wind:NE 22km/hGusts:26km/hHumidity:58%20°Min32°MaxToday in Basin PocketPartly cloudy. High chance of showers and thunderstorms, most likely from late morning. Some thunderstorms will be severe. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h turning NE 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day.Tomorrow20°Min33°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds N/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Basin Pocket
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers and thunderstorms, most likely from late morning. Some thunderstorms will be severe. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h turning NE 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day.
Forecast for Basin Pocket (27.6011°S, 152.7727°E, 9m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 20° 20° 21° 21° 20° 17° 16° Maximum 32° 33° 36° 41° 33° 33° 36° Chance of rain 70% 50% 40% 5% 5% 5% 5% Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 10
(km/h)26
(km/h)7
(km/h)28
(km/h)10
(km/h)28
(km/h)14
(km/h)23
(km/h)18
(km/h)32
(km/h)18
(km/h)32
(km/h)11
(km/h)28
(km/h)Wind direction NE E E ENE N ENE NW ESE SE ESE SE E E ENE Relative humidity 59% 62% 68% 51% 58% 42% 47% 22% 47% 37% 48% 36% 47% 32% Dew point 20°C 21°C 21°C 21°C 21°C 21°C 20°C 15°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 17°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Basin Pocket Rain Forecast
Basin Pocket 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT13
MEDIUM14
MEDIUM15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
LOW24
MEDIUM25
MEDIUM26
LOW27
MEDIUM28
MEDIUM29
LOW30
LOW31
LOWJan 1
2
LOW3
HIGH4
MEDIUM5
MEDIUM6
LOW7
LOW8
LOW9
MEDIUM10
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec13Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Basin Pocket Rain Forecast
Basin Pocket 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020346577736654105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Dec 11
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Basin Pocket Rain Forecast
Basin Pocket 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT13
MEDIUM14
MEDIUM15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
LOW24
MEDIUM25
MEDIUM26
LOW27
MEDIUM28
MEDIUM29
LOW30
LOW31
LOWJan 1
2
LOW3
HIGH4
MEDIUM5
MEDIUM6
LOW7
LOW8
LOW9
MEDIUM10
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec13Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Basin Pocket Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Dec 0919.6 °C 33.7 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Dec 1019.6 °C 37.4 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Dec 1121.1 °C 38.4 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Dec 1218.2 °C 35 °C 15.6 mmFriday
Dec 1321 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Basin Pocket minimum temp history (27.6011°S, 152.7727°E, 9m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 42.3° 07/12/2019 Coldest this month 11.5° 04/12/2019 Hottest on record 43.8 25/12/1972 Coldest on record 6.8 05/12/1955 Hottest this year 42.3° 07/12/2019 Coldest this year -3.2° 15/07/2019 Long term average 30.8° Long term average 18.4° Average this month 36.9° Average this month 17.4° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.3° 1957 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 15.4° 1999 Basin Pocket rainfall history (27.6011°S, 152.7727°E, 9m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 15.6mm 12/12/2019 Total This Month 31.2mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 121.4mm 10.4 days Wettest December on record 394.4mm 1957 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for QLD
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Year to Date
Basin Pocket Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 860.5mm 101.1 day(s) Total For 2019 306.2mm 78.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 623.4mm 98.0 day(s) Wettest Day 28.0mm Oct12 Lowest Temperature -3.2°C Jul15 Highest Temperature 42.3°C Dec 7 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Basin Pocket Climatology
Basin Pocket Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.2 30.4 29.4 27.2 24.1 21.6 21.2 22.8 25.6 27.8 29.6 30.8 26.8 Mean Min (°C) 19.6 19.5 17.8 14.0 10.0 7.1 5.4 6.2 9.5 13.3 16.3 18.4 13.1 Mean Rain (mm) 117.6 120.5 86.7 55.6 53.2 47.4 38.3 29.3 34.4 73.2 82.9 121.4 860.6 Mean Rain Days 10.7 11.5 11.2 7.7 7.6 6.5 6.4 5.7 6.0 8.4 9.0 10.4 99.6