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Forecast

Barellan Point (27.5667°S, 152.8333°E, 28m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 23° 37°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:46am EST 5:12am EST 6:48pm EST 7:14pm EST
    NOW
    36.0° Feels Like: 38.6°
    Relative Humidity: 43%
    Dew: 21.4°
    Wind: NNW 9km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1007.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Barellan Point
    Now
    33.0°c
    Feels Like:
    35.9°
    Wind:
    NNE 13km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    57%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    23°
    Min
    37°
    Max
    Today in Barellan Point
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    24°
    Min
    37°
    Max
    Mostly sunny morning. Slight chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds N 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming N/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Barellan Point

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day.

    Forecast for Barellan Point (27.5667°S, 152.8333°E, 28m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Possible thunderstorm Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 23° 24° 25° 25° 24° 23° 22°
    Maximum 37° 37° 36° 37° 34° 33° 33°
    Chance of rain 70% 50% 40% 50% 40% 30% 40%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 14
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW NNE N ENE N NE N NE NE NE NE ENE NE ENE
    Relative humidity 64% 53% 64% 50% 64% 54% 67% 53% 71% 58% 66% 51% 65% 53%
    Dew point 23°C 25°C 25°C 24°C 24°C 25°C 25°C 26°C 24°C 24°C 22°C 21°C 22°C 22°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Barellan Point Rain Forecast


    Barellan Point 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    30
    31
    HIGH
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 January to 30 January, 6 February to 10 February, and 15 February to 19 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, 6 February to 10 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 February to 16 February, and 20 February to 24 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Barellan Point Rain Forecast


    Barellan Point 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    3
    7
    4
    8
    7
    7
    7
    6
    6
    5
    4
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Barellan Point Rain Forecast


    Barellan Point 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    30
    31
    HIGH
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 January to 30 January, 6 February to 10 February, and 15 February to 19 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, 6 February to 10 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 February to 16 February, and 20 February to 24 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Barellan Point Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    21.8 °C 28.2 °C
    3.4 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    22.1 °C 29.9 °C
    11.2 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    20.5 °C 29.7 °C
    67.2 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    21.8 °C 31.3 °C
    6.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    23.0 °C -
    2.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Barellan Point minimum temp history (27.5667°S, 152.8333°E, 28m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 36.3° 11/01/2020 Coldest this month 15.5° 05/01/2020
    Hottest on record 44.3 06/01/1994 Coldest on record 11.6 15/01/1997
    Hottest this year 36.3° 11/01/2020 Coldest this year 15.5° 05/01/2020
    Long term average 31.2° Long term average 19.6°
    Average this month 32.8° Average this month 20.5°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.4° 1942 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 17.0° 1948
    Barellan Point rainfall history (27.5667°S, 152.8333°E, 28m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 67.2mm 18/01/2020 Total This Month 93.0mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 117.6mm 10.7 days Wettest January on record 635.2mm 1942
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Barellan Point Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 117.6mm 10.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 93.0mm 7.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 5.0mm 4.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 67.2mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature 15.5°C Jan 5
    Highest Temperature 36.3°C Jan11
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Barellan Point Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.2 30.4 29.4 27.2 24.1 21.6 21.2 22.8 25.6 27.8 29.6 30.8 26.8
    Mean Min (°C) 19.6 19.5 17.8 14.0 10.0 7.1 5.4 6.2 9.5 13.3 16.3 18.4 13.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 117.6 120.5 86.7 55.6 53.2 47.4 38.3 29.3 34.4 73.2 82.9 121.4 860.6
    Mean Rain Days 10.7 11.5 11.2 7.7 7.6 6.5 6.4 5.7 6.0 8.4 9.0 10.4 99.6