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Forecast

Balmoral Ridge (26.7404°S, 152.8962°E, 349m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 18° 34°
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:21am EST 4:47am EST 6:32pm EST 6:58pm EST
    NOW
    16.9° Feels Like: 18.5°
    Relative Humidity: 88%
    Dew: 15.0°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Balmoral Ridge
    Now
    12.3°c
    Feels Like:
    12.1°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    81%
    Sunny
     
    18°
    Min
    34°
    Max
    Today in Balmoral Ridge
    Hot and mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h turning N/NE 20 to 30 km/h during the morning and early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 35 to 41.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    21°
    Min
    34°
    Max
    Hot and mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze. Winds N/NW 15 to 25 km/h turning W/SW 20 to 30 km/h during the morning then tending SE/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 35 to 42.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot and mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h turning N/NE 20 to 30 km/h during the morning and early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 35 to 41.

    Forecast for Balmoral Ridge (26.7404°S, 152.8962°E, 349m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Sunny Late shower Clearing shower Clearing shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Thunderstorms
    Minimum 18° 21° 21° 20° 19° 19° 20°
    Maximum 34° 34° 28° 28° 30° 30° 30°
    Chance of rain 10% 70% 40% 40% 20% 30% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW ENE NW NE ESE E ESE E NE ENE N NE N NNE
    Relative humidity 32% 27% 43% 32% 74% 65% 68% 63% 61% 51% 55% 53% 56% 54%
    Dew point 12°C 11°C 17°C 14°C 20°C 20°C 20°C 19°C 18°C 18°C 18°C 18°C 19°C 18°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Balmoral Ridge Rain Forecast


    Balmoral Ridge 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 December to 19 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 December to 16 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Balmoral Ridge Rain Forecast


    Balmoral Ridge 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    3
    6
    6
    5
    7
    8
    7
    6
    6
    6
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Balmoral Ridge Rain Forecast


    Balmoral Ridge 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 December to 19 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 December to 16 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Balmoral Ridge Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Dec 01
    20.3 °C 34.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Dec 02
    21.8 °C 35.8 °C
    9.8 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 03
    18.4 °C 33.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 04
    15.0 °C 32.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 05
    15.3 °C 35 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Balmoral Ridge minimum temp history (26.7404°S, 152.8962°E, 349m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.4° 02/12/2019 Coldest this month 14.1° 04/12/2019
    Hottest on record 41.0 26/12/2001 Coldest on record 11.6 07/12/2013
    Hottest this year 38.5° 08/11/2019 Coldest this year 4.5° 01/06/2019
    Long term average 29.7° Long term average 18.4°
    Average this month 34.2° Average this month 18.3°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.7° 2005 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 15.8° 2006
    Balmoral Ridge rainfall history (26.7404°S, 152.8962°E, 349m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 22.2mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 22.2mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 156.1mm 12.3 days Wettest December on record 901.6mm 2005
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Balmoral Ridge Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 1403.8mm 128.8 day(s)
    Total For 2019 820.6mm 150.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 1081.2mm 161.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 76.4mm Mar16
    Lowest Temperature 4.5°C Jun 1
    Highest Temperature 38.5°C Nov 8
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Balmoral Ridge Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.3 29.7 28.7 26.5 24.1 21.6 21.6 23.2 25.8 27.6 28.5 29.7 26.4
    Mean Min (°C) 19.8 19.9 18.6 15.7 12.6 10.9 9.3 9.4 12.0 14.4 16.5 18.4 14.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 200.2 201.6 172.5 116.2 122.9 77.5 63.4 45.4 47.1 86.8 114.1 156.1 1403.6
    Mean Rain Days 13.8 14.6 15.0 12.0 11.4 8.4 7.7 6.4 7.3 9.1 10.8 12.3 121.9