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Forecast

Balmoral (27.4557°S, 153.0672°E, 50m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 23° 34°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:19am EST 4:46am EST 6:36pm EST 7:03pm EST
    NOW
    33.0° Feels Like: 33.6°
    Relative Humidity: 43%
    Dew: 19.1°
    Wind: ENE 13km/h
    Gust: 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Balmoral
    Now
    30.4°c
    Feels Like:
    27.6°
    Wind:
    NE 32km/h
    Gusts:
    35km/h
    Humidity:
    52%
    Mostly sunny
     
    23°
    Min
    34°
    Max
    Today in Balmoral
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower, most likely late this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming N/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    23°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late afternoon and evening. Winds NW/NE 25 to 35 km/h tending N/NE in the early afternoon then shifting S/SE and becoming light in the late evening.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Balmoral

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower, most likely late this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming N/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day.

    Forecast for Balmoral (27.4557°S, 153.0672°E, 50m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 23° 23° 23° 22° 22° 23° 21°
    Maximum 34° 33° 31° 33° 35° 34° 29°
    Chance of rain 40% 60% 60% 70% 60% 20% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NE NE ENE E E ESE E ENE NE NW E SE ESE
    Relative humidity 52% 52% 51% 53% 62% 63% 64% 59% 56% 53% 48% 47% 48% 46%
    Dew point 20°C 22°C 20°C 21°C 22°C 22°C 21°C 23°C 21°C 23°C 19°C 19°C 15°C 16°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Balmoral Rain Forecast


    Balmoral 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Jan 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec11

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 December to 2 January, 2 January to 6 January, and 11 January to 15 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 January to 6 January, 6 January to 10 January, and 11 January to 15 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Balmoral Rain Forecast


    Balmoral 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    3
    4
    6
    5
    7
    7
    7
    3
    6
    6
    5
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Balmoral Rain Forecast


    Balmoral 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Jan 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec11

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 December to 2 January, 2 January to 6 January, and 11 January to 15 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 January to 6 January, 6 January to 10 January, and 11 January to 15 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Balmoral Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Dec 07
    22.0 °C 38.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Dec 08
    22.9 °C 32.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Dec 09
    22.5 °C 31.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 10
    23.5 °C 33 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 11
    23 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Balmoral minimum temp history (27.4557°S, 153.0672°E, 50m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 38.6° 06/12/2019 Coldest this month 17.4° 04/12/2019
    Hottest on record 40.0 24/12/2001 Coldest on record 14.0 12/12/2002
    Hottest this year 38.6° 06/12/2019 Coldest this year 7.4° 12/07/2019
    Long term average 29.4° Long term average 20.4°
    Average this month 34.7° Average this month 21.1°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.1° 2005 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 18.7° 2006
    Balmoral rainfall history (27.4557°S, 153.0672°E, 50m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 3.6mm 01/12/2019 Total This Month 6.6mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 133.6mm 13.3 days Wettest December on record 479.8mm 2005
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Balmoral Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 1010.8mm 124.4 day(s)
    Total For 2019 453.4mm 93.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 808.6mm 126.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 54.0mm Mar17
    Lowest Temperature 7.4°C Jul12
    Highest Temperature 38.6°C Dec 6
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Balmoral Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.3 30.2 29.1 27.1 24.5 21.9 21.8 23.2 25.6 27.1 28.2 29.4 26.6
    Mean Min (°C) 21.5 21.4 20.1 17.3 13.7 11.8 10.2 10.8 13.8 16.2 18.8 20.4 16.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 154.2 136.2 120.7 64.5 66.8 68.5 24.1 40.7 31.7 69.3 100.5 133.6 1018.3
    Mean Rain Days 12.1 12.9 14.3 11.5 9.5 9.7 7.3 6.0 7.8 8.7 11.3 13.3 115.2