Forecast
Archerfield (27.5684°S, 153.0242°E, 18m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY19° 29° possible shower Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:28am EST 5:51am EST 6:00pm EST 6:23pm EST NOW27.0° Feels Like: 30.0° Relative Humidity: 66% Dew: 20.1° Wind: E 4km/h Gust: 11km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.6mm Pressure: 1016.6hPa -
Today Weather
ArcherfieldNow27.6°cFeels Like:30.4°Wind:E 7km/hGusts:13km/hHumidity:68%19°Min29°MaxToday in ArcherfieldPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late afternoon.Tomorrow20°Min31°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Light winds. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Archerfield
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late afternoon.
Forecast for Archerfield (27.5684°S, 153.0242°E, 18m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 19° 20° 20° 19° 19° 19° 18° Maximum 29° 31° 28° 27° 27° 28° 27° Chance of rain 50% 30% 30% 30% 70% 80% 80% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High High High High Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 11
(km/h)16
(km/h)10
(km/h)18
(km/h)19
(km/h)27
(km/h)18
(km/h)21
(km/h)13
(km/h)19
(km/h)12
(km/h)18
(km/h)10
(km/h)15
(km/h)Wind direction SE E SE E S S S SSE SSE ESE S SSE SE ESE Relative humidity 90% 67% 74% 58% 77% 69% 70% 65% 74% 66% 81% 75% 82% 75% Dew point 22°C 21°C 22°C 21°C 22°C 20°C 18°C 18°C 19°C 19°C 21°C 22°C 20°C 21°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Archerfield Rain Forecast
Archerfield 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Archerfield Rain Forecast
Archerfield 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb202420256888876541087105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Archerfield Rain Forecast
Archerfield 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Archerfield Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1517.1 °C 30.7 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Mar 1619.2 °C 28.4 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 1717.7 °C 27.6 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Mar 1820.6 °C 29.5 °C 6.8 mmTuesday
Mar 1920.5 °C 27.3 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Archerfield minimum temp history (27.5684°S, 153.0242°E, 18m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 33.3° 02/03/2024 Coldest this month 17.1° 15/03/2024 Hottest on record 38.7 11/03/2007 Coldest on record 10.1 30/03/2008 Hottest this year 37.7° 22/01/2024 Coldest this year 17.1° 15/03/2024 Long term average 29.0° Long term average 18.6° Average this month 30.0° Average this month 20.0° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.3° 1998 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 16.1° 2008 Archerfield rainfall history (27.5684°S, 153.0242°E, 18m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 18.2mm 05/03/2024 Total This Month 43.0mm
9.0 daysLong Term Average 131.0mm 13.0 days Wettest March on record 458.0mm 1974 Driest on record 3.6mm 2005 -
Year to Date
Archerfield Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 423.4mm 36.6 day(s) Total For 2024 444.8mm 41.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 204.8mm 27.0 day(s) Wettest Day 64.4mm Jan28 Lowest Temperature 17.1°C Mar15 Highest Temperature 37.7°C Jan22 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Archerfield Climatology
Archerfield Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.5 29.9 29.0 26.7 24.0 21.5 21.3 22.9 25.4 27.1 28.5 29.7 26.3 Mean Min (°C) 20.4 20.1 18.6 15.2 11.9 9.3 7.7 8.2 11.2 14.5 17.2 19.2 14.4 Mean Rain (mm) 135.4 157.0 131.0 77.8 74.3 64.4 47.2 35.7 34.8 78.8 98.6 126.2 1056.0 Mean Rain Days 11.3 12.3 13.0 10.0 8.9 7.5 6.5 5.9 6.2 8.8 9.7 10.9 110.4