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Forecast

Applethorpe (28.6139°S, 151.9555°E, 869m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 18°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:12am EST 5:36am EST 5:51pm EST 6:15pm EST
    NOW
    16.3° Feels Like: 11.7°
    Relative Humidity: 26%
    Dew: -3.3°
    Wind: SW 11km/h
    Gust: 15km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1128.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Applethorpe
    Now
    20.7°c
    Feels Like:
    14.1°
    Wind:
    SW 20km/h
    Gusts:
    26km/h
    Humidity:
    17%
    Sunny
     
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Applethorpe
    Sunny. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Frost then sunny
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Sunny. Patches of light frost over the Granite Belt in the early morning. Winds NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h tending SE/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then tending NE/SE in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Applethorpe

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Applethorpe (28.6139°S, 151.9555°E, 869m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Sunny Frost then sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 18° 19° 20° 21° 24° 27° 28°
    Chance of rain 5% 10% 20% 50% 50% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk High Moderate Slight Slight Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 19
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW WSW E E E E ENE NNE NNW WNW NNW ESE NE NE
    Relative humidity 37% 22% 56% 38% 55% 35% 54% 38% 59% 44% 49% 26% 49% 24%
    Dew point -3°C -5°C 4°C 3°C 5°C 3°C 5°C 5°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 5°C 9°C 5°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Applethorpe Rain Forecast


    Applethorpe 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    28
    29
    30
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 10 October to 14 October, 19 October to 23 October, and 28 October to 1 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 October to 21 October, 25 October to 29 October, and 30 October to 3 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 October to 13 October, 18 October to 22 October, and 23 October to 27 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Applethorpe Rain Forecast


    Applethorpe 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    3
    8
    8
    6
    7
    6
    7
    5
    6
    7
    4
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Applethorpe Rain Forecast


    Applethorpe 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    28
    29
    30
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 10 October to 14 October, 19 October to 23 October, and 28 October to 1 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 October to 21 October, 25 October to 29 October, and 30 October to 3 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 October to 13 October, 18 October to 22 October, and 23 October to 27 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Applethorpe Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Sep 23
    9.8 °C 22.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 24
    8.9 °C 19.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Sep 25
    0.4 °C 24.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 26
    3.8 °C 14.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 27
    -3.8 °C 16.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Applethorpe minimum temp history (28.6139°S, 151.9555°E, 869m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 26.9° 21/09/2020 Coldest this month -3.8° 27/09/2020
    Hottest on record 31.4 26/09/2013 Coldest on record -5.1 01/09/1970
    Hottest this year 37.1° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year -3.8° 25/08/2020
    Long term average 19.0° Long term average 5.8°
    Average this month 20.2° Average this month 7.2°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.0° 2013 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 3.9° 1969
    Applethorpe rainfall history (28.6139°S, 151.9555°E, 869m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 2.4mm 11/09/2020 Total This Month 4.6mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 44.2mm 7.3 days Wettest September on record 131.0mm 1978
    Driest on record 0.6mm 1980
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Applethorpe Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 518.3mm 89.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 458.0mm 90.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 146.2mm 66.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 75.6mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature -3.8°C Aug25
    Highest Temperature 37.1°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Applethorpe Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.5 25.4 24.0 21.2 17.5 14.6 14.0 15.7 19.0 21.9 24.0 25.8 20.8
    Mean Min (°C) 15.2 15.1 13.4 9.7 6.1 3.2 2.0 2.8 5.8 9.0 11.7 13.8 9.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 99.5 83.3 72.4 44.4 49.1 39.1 43.5 42.8 44.2 70.9 81.0 98.2 768.4
    Mean Rain Days 12.6 11.6 11.2 8.8 10.0 10.3 9.5 8.0 7.3 9.5 10.9 11.5 116.7