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Forecast

Algester (27.6113°S, 153.0335°E, 35m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Possible thunderstorm 17° 35°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:47am EST 5:11am EST 5:57pm EST 6:20pm EST
    NOW
    23.1° Feels Like: 20.2°
    Relative Humidity: 75%
    Dew: 18.4°
    Wind: NNE 30km/h
    Gust: 35km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Algester
    Now
    23.1°c
    Feels Like:
    22.7°
    Wind:
    NNE 19km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    79%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    17°
    Min
    35°
    Max
    Today in Algester
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening, possibly severe. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the late evening.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    17°
    Min
    35°
    Max
    Sunny. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then tending E/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening, possibly severe. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

    Forecast for Algester (27.6113°S, 153.0335°E, 35m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 17° 15° 13° 14° 13° 12° 12°
    Maximum 35° 29° 32° 31° 27° 28° 29°
    Chance of rain 50% 5% 30% 10% 40% 30% 20%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 22
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N NNE ESE E NW NE S ESE SE ESE SE ESE ESE E
    Relative humidity 57% 42% 40% 39% 53% 46% 36% 47% 46% 44% 50% 45% 49% 42%
    Dew point 18°C 20°C 11°C 12°C 15°C 18°C 10°C 15°C 11°C 12°C 12°C 13°C 12°C 14°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Algester Rain Forecast


    Algester 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct16

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 October to 31 October, 6 November to 10 November, and 13 November to 17 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 October to 3 November, 14 November to 18 November, and 18 November to 22 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 October to 31 October, 1 November to 5 November, and 7 November to 11 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Algester Rain Forecast


    Algester 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2019
    2020
    6
    4
    5
    3
    7
    5
    7
    7
    7
    3
    6
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 7

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remain within neutral values. The Nino3.4 index lingered between -0.2 and 0.2 through the month of September. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -12.4 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. The IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for spring continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. A negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) on the other hand, is likely to enhance frontal activity over the far south during spring. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during the remainder of spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Algester Rain Forecast


    Algester 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct16

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 October to 31 October, 6 November to 10 November, and 13 November to 17 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 October to 3 November, 14 November to 18 November, and 18 November to 22 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 October to 31 October, 1 November to 5 November, and 7 November to 11 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Algester Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Oct 12
    12.5 °C 21.1 °C
    12.0 mm
    Sunday
    Oct 13
    10.9 °C 25.9 °C
    0.8 mm
    Monday
    Oct 14
    10.4 °C 27.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 15
    18.6 °C 28.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Oct 16
    17.6 °C 30 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Algester minimum temp history (27.6113°S, 153.0335°E, 35m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.2° 07/10/2019 Coldest this month 9.2° 03/10/2019
    Hottest on record 39.4 06/10/2005 Coldest on record 4.2 11/10/1939
    Hottest this year 40.2° 12/03/2019 Coldest this year 3.2° 01/06/2019
    Long term average 27.0° Long term average 14.3°
    Average this month 27.4° Average this month 13.7°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.6° 1988 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 10.4° 1939
    Algester rainfall history (27.6113°S, 153.0335°E, 35m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 12.0mm 12/10/2019 Total This Month 12.8mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 74.7mm 8.3 days Wettest October on record 394.6mm 1988
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Algester Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 834.3mm 88.5 day(s)
    Total For 2019 430.4mm 83.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 623.8mm 99.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 52.0mm Mar16
    Lowest Temperature 3.2°C Jun 1
    Highest Temperature 40.2°C Mar12
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Algester Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.4 29.8 28.8 26.6 24.0 21.4 21.2 22.6 25.2 27.0 28.5 29.6 26.2
    Mean Min (°C) 20.3 20.1 18.5 15.1 11.9 9.3 7.6 8.1 11.1 14.3 17.2 19.1 14.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 140.5 150.8 128.6 78.3 73.7 67.5 47.6 37.1 35.5 74.7 100.2 125.5 1061.0
    Mean Rain Days 11.0 12.1 12.7 9.8 8.9 7.4 6.3 5.8 6.2 8.3 9.6 10.9 105.1