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Forecast

Alexandra Hills (27.5228°S, 153.2205°E, 31m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Possible shower 23° 29°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:11am EST 5:35am EST 6:27pm EST 6:51pm EST
    NOW
    24.0° Feels Like: 26.7°
    Relative Humidity: 76%
    Dew: 19.5°
    Wind: ESE 4km/h
    Gust: 4km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Alexandra Hills
    Now
    26.4°c
    Feels Like:
    27.4°
    Wind:
    ESE 11km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    63%
    Possible shower
     
    23°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Alexandra Hills
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    23°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Alexandra Hills

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.

    Forecast for Alexandra Hills (27.5228°S, 153.2205°E, 31m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 23° 23° 23° 22° 21° 22° 23°
    Maximum 29° 28° 28° 27° 28° 30° 30°
    Chance of rain 70% 50% 70% 70% 90% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 16
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE ESE SE SE ESE ESE SE ESE SE E SSE ENE SW ESE
    Relative humidity 67% 64% 68% 62% 67% 68% 77% 69% 74% 70% 75% 69% 73% 74%
    Dew point 21°C 22°C 20°C 20°C 20°C 21°C 21°C 21°C 21°C 22°C 22°C 24°C 24°C 24°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Alexandra Hills Rain Forecast


    Alexandra Hills 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    Mar 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 March to 12 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 21 March to 25 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 February to 4 March, 4 March to 8 March, and 10 March to 14 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 March to 9 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 21 March to 25 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Alexandra Hills Rain Forecast


    Alexandra Hills 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    9
    5
    7
    7
    7
    7
    7
    6
    6
    5
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Alexandra Hills Rain Forecast


    Alexandra Hills 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    Mar 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 March to 12 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 21 March to 25 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 February to 4 March, 4 March to 8 March, and 10 March to 14 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 March to 9 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 21 March to 25 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Alexandra Hills Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Feb 16
    23.1 °C 30.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Feb 17
    22.2 °C 30.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 18
    21.7 °C 30.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 19
    24.8 °C 30.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 20
    21.7 °C 30 °C
    10.4 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Alexandra Hills minimum temp history (27.5228°S, 153.2205°E, 31m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.1° 03/02/2020 Coldest this month 19.8° 06/02/2020
    Hottest on record 40.2 22/02/2004 Coldest on record 14.6 14/02/1996
    Hottest this year 33.1° 03/02/2020 Coldest this year 19.8° 06/02/2020
    Long term average 29.1° Long term average 21.2°
    Average this month 29.0° Average this month 22.4°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.8° 2017 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 19.8° 2001
    Alexandra Hills rainfall history (27.5228°S, 153.2205°E, 31m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 115.0mm 13/02/2020 Total This Month 445.2mm
    13.0 days
    Long Term Average 120.3mm 12.2 days Wettest February on record 284.8mm 2015
    Driest on record 15.2mm 2014
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Alexandra Hills Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 260.8mm 24.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 565.0mm 30.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 63.6mm 14.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 115.0mm Feb13
    Lowest Temperature 19.8°C Feb 6
    Highest Temperature 33.1°C Feb 3
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Alexandra Hills Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.0 29.1 28.0 26.0 23.6 21.2 20.9 21.9 24.1 25.5 26.9 28.1 25.3
    Mean Min (°C) 21.3 21.2 19.7 16.4 13.0 10.7 9.2 9.8 12.8 15.7 18.3 20.1 15.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 140.5 120.3 108.4 75.9 103.2 71.2 30.5 42.0 36.3 72.8 102.1 132.0 1035.0
    Mean Rain Days 12.6 12.2 13.1 10.5 10.0 9.3 7.0 5.6 6.4 8.1 10.7 11.8 110.2