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Forecast

Alexandra Hills (27.5228°S, 153.2205°E, 31m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 15° 25°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:16am EST 5:39am EST 5:43pm EST 6:06pm EST
    NOW
    17.1° Feels Like:  
    Relative Humidity:  
    Dew: 17.2°
    Wind: S 2km/h
    Gust: 2km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 1.6mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Alexandra Hills
    Now
    18.1°c
    Feels Like:
    18.1°
    Wind:
    SW 11km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    90%
    Possible shower
     
    15°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Today in Alexandra Hills
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    17°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds becoming N/NE 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Alexandra Hills

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.

    Forecast for Alexandra Hills (27.5228°S, 153.2205°E, 31m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 15° 17° 17° 17° 14° 13° 13°
    Maximum 25° 27° 27° 27° 26° 25° 25°
    Chance of rain 60% 5% 50% 40% 5% 60% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E ENE NNE NE N NNE NW N SW SSE S NE WNW W
    Relative humidity 68% 66% 66% 68% 62% 62% 61% 53% 32% 31% 43% 45% 38% 25%
    Dew point 17°C 17°C 18°C 19°C 17°C 18°C 16°C 16°C 5°C 6°C 9°C 11°C 5°C 3°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Alexandra Hills Rain Forecast


    Alexandra Hills 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 12 October to 16 October, and 19 October to 23 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 September to 30 September, and 17 October to 21 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 September to 30 September, 2 October to 6 October, and 12 October to 16 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Alexandra Hills Rain Forecast


    Alexandra Hills 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    5
    7
    7
    7
    6
    7
    7
    1
    7
    7
    4
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Alexandra Hills Rain Forecast


    Alexandra Hills 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 12 October to 16 October, and 19 October to 23 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 September to 30 September, and 17 October to 21 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 September to 30 September, 2 October to 6 October, and 12 October to 16 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Alexandra Hills Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Sep 15
    14.1 °C 23.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 16
    14.8 °C 24.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 17
    11.9 °C 23.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Sep 18
    14.7 °C 25.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 19
    15.3 °C 23.9 °C
    4.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Alexandra Hills minimum temp history (27.5228°S, 153.2205°E, 31m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 25.1° 17/09/2020 Coldest this month 11.4° 01/09/2020
    Hottest on record 33.4 13/09/2003 Coldest on record 3.7 07/09/1995
    Hottest this year 33.1° 03/02/2020 Coldest this year 3.8° 05/07/2020
    Long term average 24.1° Long term average 12.8°
    Average this month 23.7° Average this month 13.8°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.3° 2003 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 10.7° 1994
    Alexandra Hills rainfall history (27.5228°S, 153.2205°E, 31m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 7.4mm 07/09/2020 Total This Month 10.8mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 36.3mm 6.4 days Wettest September on record 122.0mm 1998
    Driest on record 0.8mm 2000
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Alexandra Hills Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 728.3mm 86.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 902.8mm 90.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 367.4mm 90.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 119.6mm Feb13
    Lowest Temperature 3.8°C Jul 5
    Highest Temperature 33.1°C Feb 3
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Alexandra Hills Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.0 29.1 28.0 26.0 23.6 21.2 20.9 21.9 24.1 25.5 26.9 28.1 25.3
    Mean Min (°C) 21.3 21.2 19.7 16.4 13.0 10.7 9.2 9.8 12.8 15.7 18.3 20.1 15.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 140.5 120.3 108.4 75.9 103.2 71.2 30.5 42.0 36.3 72.8 102.1 132.0 1035.0
    Mean Rain Days 12.6 12.2 13.1 10.5 10.0 9.3 7.0 5.6 6.4 8.1 10.7 11.8 110.2