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Forecast

Wagait Beach (12.4355°S, 130.748°E, 20m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 27° 33°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:49am CST 6:11am CST 6:55pm CST 7:18pm CST
    NOW
    32.7° Feels Like: 36.7°
    Relative Humidity: 67%
    Dew: 25.8°
    Wind: NW 15km/h
    Gust: 18km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1009.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Wagait Beach
    Now
    33.0°c
    Feels Like:
    35.3°
    Wind:
    NW 18km/h
    Gusts:
    28km/h
    Humidity:
    60%
    Mostly sunny
     
    27°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Today in Wagait Beach
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm during the afternoon with gusty winds. Light winds becoming W/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    27°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm from the late morning. Light winds becoming N/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then tending W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Wagait Beach

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm during the afternoon with gusty winds. Light winds becoming W/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon.

    Forecast for Wagait Beach (12.4355°S, 130.748°E, 20m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Clearing shower Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm
    Minimum 27° 27° 27° 26° 27° 27° 27°
    Maximum 33° 33° 33° 33° 33° 33° 33°
    Chance of rain 5% 10% 50% 60% 50% 90% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 5
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW WNW N WNW NNW W NNW WNW NW WNW NW WNW NNE NW
    Relative humidity 71% 64% 72% 64% 71% 65% 75% 67% 74% 66% 72% 66% 74% 64%
    Dew point 24°C 26°C 24°C 26°C 24°C 26°C 25°C 26°C 25°C 26°C 25°C 26°C 25°C 25°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Wagait Beach Rain Forecast


    Wagait Beach 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    HIGH
    17
    HIGH
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 November to 30 November, 11 December to 15 December, and 21 December to 25 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, 2 December to 6 December, and 12 December to 16 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 November to 2 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 21 December to 25 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Wagait Beach Rain Forecast


    Wagait Beach 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    1
    2
    6
    6
    5
    8
    6
    9
    10
    6
    8
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Wagait Beach Rain Forecast


    Wagait Beach 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    HIGH
    17
    HIGH
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 November to 30 November, 11 December to 15 December, and 21 December to 25 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, 2 December to 6 December, and 12 December to 16 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 November to 2 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 21 December to 25 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Wagait Beach Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Nov 16
    26.0 °C 32.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 17
    27.2 °C 33.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 18
    26.0 °C 33.0 °C
    0.6 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 19
    26.2 °C 33.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Nov 20
    25.9 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Wagait Beach minimum temp history (12.4355°S, 130.748°E, 20m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 36.1° 06/11/2019 Coldest this month 21.8° 05/11/2019
    Hottest on record 37.3 28/11/2004 Coldest on record 19.3 04/11/1950
    Hottest this year 38.2° 21/10/2019 Coldest this year 12.7° 25/06/2019
    Long term average 33.3° Long term average 25.3°
    Average this month 34.3° Average this month 25.7°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.7° 2015 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 23.7° 1943
    Wagait Beach rainfall history (12.4355°S, 130.748°E, 20m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 49.0mm 05/11/2019 Total This Month 84.2mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 142.2mm 12.4 days Wettest November on record 370.8mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Wagait Beach Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 1475.0mm 96.2 day(s)
    Total For 2019 1000.0mm 80.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 1750.0mm 99.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 52.2mm Jan27
    Lowest Temperature 12.7°C Jun25
    Highest Temperature 38.2°C Oct21
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Wagait Beach Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.8 31.5 31.9 32.7 32.0 30.7 30.6 31.4 32.6 33.3 33.3 32.6 32.0
    Mean Min (°C) 24.8 24.7 24.6 24.0 22.1 19.9 19.3 20.3 23.0 24.9 25.3 25.3 23.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 424.3 374.7 317.1 101.6 21.3 1.8 1.1 4.8 15.8 70.3 142.2 254.4 1736.1
    Mean Rain Days 21.3 20.3 19.6 9.3 2.3 0.6 0.5 0.6 2.4 6.9 12.4 17.0 112.5