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Forecast

Timber Creek (15.6427°S, 130.47°E, 29m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Thunderstorms 25° 33°
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:10am CST 6:33am CST 7:26pm CST 7:50pm CST
    NOW
    33.0° Feels Like: 34.8°
    Relative Humidity: 53%
    Dew: 22.4°
    Wind: SW 15km/h
    Gust: 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 3.4mm
    Pressure: 1005.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Timber Creek
    Now
    33.0°c
    Feels Like:
    34.8°
    Wind:
    SW 15km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    53%
    Thunderstorms
     
    25°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Today in Timber Creek
    Cloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. A thunderstorm likely, with possible heavy falls north of Arnhem Highway. Gusty winds N of Arnhem Highway. Winds NW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening.
    Tomorrow
    Thunderstorms
    26°
    Min
    36°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Timber Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. A thunderstorm likely, with possible heavy falls north of Arnhem Highway. Gusty winds N of Arnhem Highway. Winds NW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening.

    Forecast for Timber Creek (15.6427°S, 130.47°E, 29m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Late shower Thunderstorms Showers
    Minimum 25° 26° 26° 26° 26° 26° 26°
    Maximum 33° 36° 35° 35° 36° 37° 37°
    Chance of rain 70% 50% 70% 80% 50% 90% 60%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW W NW W NW WNW N SSW W SW WNW WSW WNW SSW
    Relative humidity 86% 67% 82% 58% 80% 63% 87% 69% 83% 58% 80% 47% 76% 45%
    Dew point 25°C 26°C 26°C 27°C 26°C 27°C 25°C 28°C 26°C 26°C 26°C 24°C 25°C 24°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Timber Creek Rain Forecast


    Timber Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    HIGH
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Timber Creek Rain Forecast


    Timber Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    7
    6
    6
    7
    8
    10
    9
    9
    8
    8
    8
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Timber Creek Rain Forecast


    Timber Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    HIGH
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for Timber Creek

  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Timber Creek minimum temp history (15.6427°S, 130.47°E, 29m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 40.0° 02/01/2020 Coldest this month 23.0° 04/01/2020
    Hottest on record 41.4 13/01/2012 Coldest on record 19.8 08/01/2005
    Hottest this year 40.0° 02/01/2020 Coldest this year 23.0° 04/01/2020
    Long term average 35.1° Long term average 25.1°
    Average this month 37.6° Average this month 26.0°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 37.4° 2013 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 24.2° 2001
    Timber Creek rainfall history (15.6427°S, 130.47°E, 29m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 30.0mm 09/01/2020 Total This Month 93.4mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 276.5mm 16.3 days Wettest January on record 632.0mm 2013
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NT

  16. Year to Date

    Timber Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 276.5mm 16.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 93.4mm 11.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 89.8mm 10.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 30.0mm Jan 9
    Lowest Temperature 23.0°C Jan 4
    Highest Temperature 40.0°C Jan 2
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Timber Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 35.1 35.2 35.8 36.2 33.9 31.5 31.9 33.6 37.4 39.0 38.5 36.5 35.5
    Mean Min (°C) 25.1 24.8 24.3 22.3 18.8 15.6 15.2 16.5 22.0 24.9 25.6 25.5 21.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 276.5 212.1 126.0 19.9 17.0 3.3 0.3 0.1 2.3 24.1 103.9 218.2 1061.2
    Mean Rain Days 16.3 15.1 9.8 2.1 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.3 1.0 3.6 9.6 14.2 67.0