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Forecast

Phillip Creek Station (17.3739°S, 133.4106°E, 204m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 23° 39°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:30am CST 5:53am CST 6:47pm CST 7:10pm CST
    NOW
    38.9° Feels Like: 36.4°
    Relative Humidity: 10%
    Dew: 1.8°
    Wind: SSE 4km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1008.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Phillip Creek Station
    Now
    39.4°c
    Feels Like:
    35.5°
    Wind:
    S 9km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    8%
    Mostly sunny
     
    23°
    Min
    39°
    Max
    Today in Phillip Creek Station
    District forecast unavailable
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    23°
    Min
    39°
    Max
     
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Phillip Creek Station

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: District forecast unavailable

    Forecast for Phillip Creek Station (17.3739°S, 133.4106°E, 204m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 23° 24° 24° 23° 23° 25° 26°
    Maximum 39° 40° 39° 40° 40° 40° 40°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE ESE ESE SE ESE SE E SE ESE SE ENE ESE N ENE
    Relative humidity 49% 14% 15% 8% 8% 6% 10% 5% 23% 8% 30% 10% 28% 13%
    Dew point 18°C 8°C 1°C -0°C -6°C -4°C -3°C -6°C 8°C 0°C 13°C 3°C 13°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Phillip Creek Station Rain Forecast


    Phillip Creek Station 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov12

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 November to 1 December, 7 December to 11 December, and 14 December to 18 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 19 November to 23 November, and 15 December to 19 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 November to 22 November, 27 November to 1 December, and 14 December to 18 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Phillip Creek Station Rain Forecast


    Phillip Creek Station 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    4
    3
    5
    6
    6
    8
    7
    9
    10
    7
    7
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Phillip Creek Station Rain Forecast


    Phillip Creek Station 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov12

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 November to 1 December, 7 December to 11 December, and 14 December to 18 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 19 November to 23 November, and 15 December to 19 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 November to 22 November, 27 November to 1 December, and 14 December to 18 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Phillip Creek Station Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Nov 08
    22.3 °C 41.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Nov 09
    19.8 °C 40.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 10
    23.2 °C 38.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 11
    20.3 °C 40.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 12
    21.2 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Phillip Creek Station minimum temp history (17.3739°S, 133.4106°E, 204m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 41.8° 08/11/2019 Coldest this month 19.8° 09/11/2019
    Hottest on record 45.0 24/11/1989 Coldest on record 12.3 20/11/1981
    Hottest this year 45.4° 11/01/2019 Coldest this year 7.3° 24/06/2019
    Long term average 39.1° Long term average 23.5°
    Average this month 37.9° Average this month 23.0°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 41.6° 1990 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 21.3° 2006
    Phillip Creek Station rainfall history (17.3739°S, 133.4106°E, 204m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.8mm 04/11/2019 Total This Month 1.4mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 47.6mm 5.2 days Wettest November on record 161.6mm 1990
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Phillip Creek Station Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 496.5mm 40.3 day(s)
    Total For 2019 81.2mm 24.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 271.6mm 37.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 26.6mm Feb 2
    Lowest Temperature 7.3°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 45.4°C Jan11
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Phillip Creek Station Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 37.4 36.5 35.7 34.4 31.4 28.4 28.3 31.2 35.3 37.9 39.1 38.4 34.5
    Mean Min (°C) 24.2 23.7 22.4 19.7 16.0 12.4 11.3 13.2 17.5 20.9 23.5 24.4 19.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 141.1 159.4 84.0 21.8 6.9 4.8 3.0 1.1 5.5 21.3 47.6 108.0 619.7
    Mean Rain Days 10.1 10.1 6.9 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.1 3.1 5.2 8.4 44.9