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Forecast

Nhulunbuy (12.192°S, 136.7742°E, 33m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 23° 29°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:22am CST 6:45am CST 6:10pm CST 6:33pm CST
    NOW
    24.5° Feels Like: 22.2°
    Relative Humidity: 63%
    Dew: 17.0°
    Wind: SE 24km/h
    Gust: 33km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure: 1015.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Nhulunbuy
    Now
    24.9°c
    Feels Like:
    20.1°
    Wind:
    SE 44km/h
    Gusts:
    57km/h
    Humidity:
    76%
    Mostly sunny
     
    23°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Nhulunbuy
    Sunny. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    23°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds SE 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the evening then becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Nhulunbuy

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning.

    Forecast for Nhulunbuy (12.192°S, 136.7742°E, 33m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 23° 23° 22° 23° 22° 23° 23°
    Maximum 29° 28° 29° 29° 29° 29° 30°
    Chance of rain 20% 20% 30% 50% 40% 80% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 31
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE ESE SSE ESE SSE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SSE
    Relative humidity 61% 59% 60% 62% 62% 63% 72% 65% 74% 61% 72% 66% 69% 63%
    Dew point 18°C 20°C 18°C 20°C 19°C 21°C 21°C 22°C 21°C 21°C 22°C 22°C 21°C 22°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Nhulunbuy Rain Forecast


    Nhulunbuy 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Aug 1
    2
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 July to 16 July, 17 July to 21 July, and 5 August to 9 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 July to 15 July, and 25 July to 29 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 July to 16 July, 17 July to 21 July, and 3 August to 7 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Nhulunbuy Rain Forecast


    Nhulunbuy 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2020
    2021
    10
    9
    7
    6
    7
    9
    6
    1
    10
    8
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Nhulunbuy Rain Forecast


    Nhulunbuy 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Aug 1
    2
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 July to 16 July, 17 July to 21 July, and 5 August to 9 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 July to 15 July, and 25 July to 29 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 July to 16 July, 17 July to 21 July, and 3 August to 7 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Nhulunbuy Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Jun 30
    19.2 °C 29.9 °C
    0.2 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 01
    19.0 °C 29.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jul 02
    18.7 °C 29.6 °C
    -
    Friday
    Jul 03
    22.3 °C 28.6 °C
    7.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jul 04
    23.6 °C 29.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Nhulunbuy minimum temp history (12.192°S, 136.7742°E, 33m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 29.6° 02/07/2020 Coldest this month 18.7° 02/07/2020
    Hottest on record 31.0 31/07/2010 Coldest on record 11.5 28/07/1996
    Hottest this year 40.9° 19/06/2020 Coldest this year 18.7° 02/07/2020
    Long term average 27.8° Long term average 20.2°
    Average this month 28.8° Average this month 20.9°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.1° 1998 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 18.4° 2000
    Nhulunbuy rainfall history (12.192°S, 136.7742°E, 33m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 7.0mm 03/07/2020 Total This Month 7.0mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 18.3mm 7.0 days Wettest July on record 67.8mm 1993
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2007
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NT

  16. Year to Date

    Nhulunbuy Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 1209.2mm 97.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 637.8mm 87.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 1248.4mm 102.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 71.4mm Feb20
    Lowest Temperature 18.7°C Jul 2
    Highest Temperature 40.9°C Jun19
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Nhulunbuy Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.0 31.5 31.3 30.9 30.0 28.4 27.8 28.6 30.4 31.8 33.1 33.0 30.7
    Mean Min (°C) 24.7 24.5 24.0 23.3 22.6 21.3 20.2 19.1 19.7 21.5 23.4 24.6 22.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 282.5 282.1 274.4 228.5 89.5 33.9 18.3 5.6 7.1 10.8 44.2 183.3 1487.6
    Mean Rain Days 17.9 17.8 18.4 15.7 12.3 8.7 7.0 2.9 1.3 2.1 3.9 11.5 110.0