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Forecast

Ngukurr (14.7281°S, 134.7339°E, 30m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late thunder 26° 38°
    late thunder
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:59am CST 6:21am CST 7:07pm CST 7:30pm CST
    NOW
    30.0° Feels Like: 34.3°
    Relative Humidity: 72%
    Dew: 24.4°
    Wind: NW 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Ngukurr
    Now
    29.3°c
    Feels Like:
    32.4°
    Wind:
    NNW 11km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    69%
    Late thunder
     
    26°
    Min
    38°
    Max
    Today in Ngukurr
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. A thunderstorm likely. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    26°
    Min
    37°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late afternoon.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Ngukurr

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. A thunderstorm likely. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening.

    Forecast for Ngukurr (14.7281°S, 134.7339°E, 30m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Late thunder Possible thunderstorm Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms
    Minimum 26° 26° 26° 26° 26° 26° 26°
    Maximum 38° 37° 36° 35° 34° 35° 36°
    Chance of rain 80% 80% 80% 70% 70% 60% 90%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 10-20mm 20-40mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 1-5mm 5-10mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW NW NW WNW SW SW WNW W W N W W WNW WSW
    Relative humidity 72% 50% 73% 52% 78% 63% 81% 62% 80% 66% 78% 65% 74% 59%
    Dew point 25°C 26°C 25°C 26°C 25°C 27°C 26°C 27°C 26°C 27°C 25°C 27°C 25°C 27°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Ngukurr Rain Forecast


    Ngukurr 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    HIGH
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Ngukurr Rain Forecast


    Ngukurr 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    4
    5
    4
    7
    6
    8
    9
    9
    9
    5
    6
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Ngukurr Rain Forecast


    Ngukurr 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    HIGH
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Ngukurr Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 25
    24.4 °C 34.8 °C
    54.4 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 26
    27.0 °C 38.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 27
    28.1 °C 39.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 28
    29.3 °C 41.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 29
    24.2 °C 37 °C
    13.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Ngukurr minimum temp history (14.7281°S, 134.7339°E, 30m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 39.0° 16/01/2020 Coldest this month 24.0° 04/01/2020
    Hottest on record 40.0 05/01/2016 Coldest on record 10.0 05/01/2014
    Hottest this year 39.0° 16/01/2020 Coldest this year 24.0° 04/01/2020
    Long term average 35.0° Long term average 24.5°
    Average this month 37.1° Average this month 25.0°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 38.0° 2016 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 24.0° 2011
    Ngukurr rainfall history (14.7281°S, 134.7339°E, 30m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 41.8mm 04/01/2020 Total This Month 49.8mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 226.6mm 18.0 days Wettest January on record 362.2mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NT

  16. Year to Date

    Ngukurr Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 226.6mm 18.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 49.8mm 3.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 263.8mm 19.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 41.8mm Jan 4
    Lowest Temperature 24.0°C Jan 4
    Highest Temperature 39.0°C Jan16
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Ngukurr Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 35.0 34.6 34.4 34.0 32.6 30.4 30.8 32.6 36.1 38.2 38.8 37.0 34.6
    Mean Min (°C) 24.5 24.0 23.3 20.8 18.5 14.9 13.8 14.1 17.8 21.5 24.2 24.8 20.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 226.6 229.0 267.6 67.5 19.9 1.9 1.5 0.7 19.9 21.1 54.7 223.5 1131.9
    Mean Rain Days 18.0 16.6 14.2 6.9 2.8 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.6 2.5 5.5 14.1 71.8