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Forecast

Larrakeyah (12.4539°S, 130.8322°E, 25m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 27° 35°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:52am CST 6:15am CST 7:06pm CST 7:29pm CST
    NOW
    34.6° Feels Like: 35.4°
    Relative Humidity: 47%
    Dew: 21.9°
    Wind: WNW 19km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1009.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Larrakeyah
    Now
    33.0°c
    Feels Like:
    37.0°
    Wind:
    NW 13km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    64%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    27°
    Min
    35°
    Max
    Today in Larrakeyah
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm with gusty winds. Winds NW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    27°
    Min
    34°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm with gusty winds. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending W 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Larrakeyah

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm with gusty winds. Winds NW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day.

    Forecast for Larrakeyah (12.4539°S, 130.8322°E, 25m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm
    Minimum 27° 27° 26° 27° 26° 26° 26°
    Maximum 35° 34° 35° 35° 35° 35° 35°
    Chance of rain 50% 40% 50% 50% 60% 60% 80%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW WNW WNW WNW W WNW WSW WNW WSW WNW ENE N E NE
    Relative humidity 67% 56% 66% 53% 66% 52% 68% 52% 65% 52% 67% 51% 67% 51%
    Dew point 25°C 25°C 25°C 23°C 24°C 24°C 25°C 24°C 24°C 24°C 24°C 24°C 24°C 24°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Larrakeyah Rain Forecast


    Larrakeyah 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    HIGH
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    HIGH
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec13

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Larrakeyah Rain Forecast


    Larrakeyah 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    1
    6
    7
    6
    8
    6
    9
    10
    1
    8
    8
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Dec 11

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Larrakeyah Rain Forecast


    Larrakeyah 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    HIGH
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    HIGH
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec13

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Larrakeyah Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Dec 09
    27.1 °C 37.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 10
    28.0 °C 35.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 11
    25.3 °C 35.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 12
    26.9 °C 35.4 °C
    1.6 mm
    Friday
    Dec 13
    26.6 °C -
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Larrakeyah minimum temp history (12.4539°S, 130.8322°E, 25m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 37.1° 09/12/2019 Coldest this month 23.7° 02/12/2019
    Hottest on record 37.0 18/12/1976 Coldest on record 19.8 04/12/1974
    Hottest this year 38.2° 21/10/2019 Coldest this year 12.7° 25/06/2019
    Long term average 32.6° Long term average 25.3°
    Average this month 35.6° Average this month 26.5°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.4° 2002 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 23.8° 1945
    Larrakeyah rainfall history (12.4539°S, 130.8322°E, 25m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 11.8mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 18.6mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 254.4mm 17.0 days Wettest December on record 664.5mm 2002
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NT

  16. Year to Date

    Larrakeyah Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 1729.4mm 113.2 day(s)
    Total For 2019 1021.8mm 86.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 1820.2mm 108.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 52.2mm Jan27
    Lowest Temperature 12.7°C Jun25
    Highest Temperature 38.2°C Oct21
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Larrakeyah Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.8 31.5 31.9 32.7 32.0 30.7 30.6 31.4 32.6 33.3 33.3 32.6 32.0
    Mean Min (°C) 24.8 24.7 24.6 24.0 22.1 19.9 19.3 20.3 23.0 24.9 25.3 25.3 23.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 424.3 374.7 317.1 101.6 21.3 1.8 1.1 4.8 15.8 70.3 142.2 254.4 1736.1
    Mean Rain Days 21.3 20.3 19.6 9.3 2.3 0.6 0.5 0.6 2.4 6.9 12.4 17.0 112.5