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Forecast

Elliott (17.5521°S, 133.5427°E, 212m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Thunderstorms 25° 30°
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 20-40mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:53am CST 6:17am CST 7:17pm CST 7:41pm CST
    NOW
    26.2° Feels Like: 27.7°
    Relative Humidity: 75%
    Dew: 21.4°
    Wind: WNW 15km/h
    Gust: 24km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Elliott
    Now
    28.4°c
    Feels Like:
    30.5°
    Wind:
    NNW 9km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    62%
    Thunderstorms
     
    25°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Elliott
    Cloudy. High chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds W/NW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon.
    Tomorrow
    Thunderstorms
    25°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely from the late morning. The chance of a thunderstorm, with gusty winds and possible heavy falls N of Arnhem Highway. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Elliott

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds W/NW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon.

    Forecast for Elliott (17.5521°S, 133.5427°E, 212m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Possible shower Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Showers easing Thunderstorms
    Minimum 25° 25° 25° 26° 25° 25° 26°
    Maximum 30° 30° 32° 31° 31° 32° 34°
    Chance of rain 80% 90% 80% 90% 80% 70% 90%
    Likely amount 20-40mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 20-40mm 5-10mm 10-20mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N NW NNE NW WSW SW ESE SSE SE SSW SW SSW WNW WSW
    Relative humidity 85% 70% 86% 74% 84% 66% 82% 67% 84% 67% 83% 62% 78% 55%
    Dew point 24°C 24°C 24°C 25°C 25°C 24°C 25°C 24°C 24°C 25°C 24°C 24°C 24°C 24°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Elliott Rain Forecast


    Elliott 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 January to 30 January, 6 February to 10 February, and 15 February to 19 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, 6 February to 10 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 February to 16 February, and 20 February to 24 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Elliott Rain Forecast


    Elliott 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    6
    6
    6
    7
    8
    9
    9
    7
    7
    8
    8
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Elliott Rain Forecast


    Elliott 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 January to 30 January, 6 February to 10 February, and 15 February to 19 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, 6 February to 10 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 February to 16 February, and 20 February to 24 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Elliott Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Jan 17
    25.8 °C 38.8 °C
    8.6 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    28.3 °C 41.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    21.9 °C 38.8 °C
    71.1 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    24.3 °C 34.4 °C
    21.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    24.0 °C -
    9.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Elliott minimum temp history (17.5521°S, 133.5427°E, 212m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 42.9° 16/01/2020 Coldest this month 21.9° 19/01/2020
    Hottest on record 45.8 10/01/2006 Coldest on record 16.0 14/01/1989
    Hottest this year 42.9° 16/01/2020 Coldest this year 21.9° 19/01/2020
    Long term average 37.4° Long term average 24.2°
    Average this month 39.9° Average this month 26.2°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 40.8° 1985 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 22.4° 1981
    Elliott rainfall history (17.5521°S, 133.5427°E, 212m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 71.1mm 19/01/2020 Total This Month 146.9mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 141.1mm 10.1 days Wettest January on record 522.4mm 1985
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NT

  16. Year to Date

    Elliott Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 141.1mm 10.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 146.9mm 11.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 28.2mm 5.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 71.1mm Jan19
    Lowest Temperature 21.9°C Jan19
    Highest Temperature 42.9°C Jan16
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Elliott Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 37.4 36.5 35.7 34.4 31.4 28.4 28.3 31.2 35.3 37.9 39.1 38.4 34.5
    Mean Min (°C) 24.2 23.7 22.4 19.7 16.0 12.4 11.3 13.2 17.5 20.9 23.5 24.4 19.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 141.1 159.4 84.0 21.8 6.9 4.8 3.0 1.1 5.5 21.3 47.6 108.0 619.7
    Mean Rain Days 10.1 10.1 6.9 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.1 3.1 5.2 8.4 44.9