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Forecast

Darwin River (12.7528°S, 131.0938°E, 47m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Thunderstorms 25° 32°
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 10-20mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:11am CST 6:34am CST 7:19pm CST 7:42pm CST
    NOW
    27.3° Feels Like: 31.9°
    Relative Humidity: 87%
    Dew: 24.9°
    Wind: NNW 9km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 6.2mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Darwin River
    Now
    26.5°c
    Feels Like:
    32.5°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    88%
    Thunderstorms
     
    25°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Today in Darwin River
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds W 15 to 25 km/h.
    Tomorrow
    Thunderstorms
    25°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Darwin River

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds W 15 to 25 km/h.

    Forecast for Darwin River (12.7528°S, 131.0938°E, 47m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms
    Minimum 25° 25° 25° 25° 25° 25° 25°
    Maximum 32° 33° 32° 32° 32° 33° 34°
    Chance of rain 70% 70% 80% 70% 90% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 10-20mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 20-40mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 10
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW WNW NW WNW NW WNW NW WNW NW NW NNW NW NNW NW
    Relative humidity 79% 72% 81% 71% 83% 81% 83% 78% 84% 75% 82% 69% 79% 67%
    Dew point 26°C 26°C 25°C 27°C 26°C 27°C 26°C 27°C 25°C 27°C 25°C 26°C 26°C 26°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Darwin River Rain Forecast


    Darwin River 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    HIGH
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    HIGH
    12
    HIGH
    13
    HIGH
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 January to 28 January, 15 February to 19 February, and 22 February to 26 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 16 February to 20 February, and 22 February to 26 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Darwin River Rain Forecast


    Darwin River 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    8
    6
    6
    6
    7
    9
    9
    6
    8
    8
    8
    9
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Darwin River Rain Forecast


    Darwin River 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    HIGH
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    HIGH
    12
    HIGH
    13
    HIGH
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 January to 28 January, 15 February to 19 February, and 22 February to 26 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 16 February to 20 February, and 22 February to 26 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Darwin River Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Jan 15
    25.3 °C 35.9 °C
    1.8 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    26.1 °C 35.1 °C
    0.8 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    24.9 °C 33.9 °C
    0.2 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    24.8 °C 35.5 °C
    4.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    26.4 °C 32 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Darwin River minimum temp history (12.7528°S, 131.0938°E, 47m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 37.3° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 22.8° 01/01/2020
    Hottest on record 39.7 08/01/2014 Coldest on record 20.5 25/01/2005
    Hottest this year 37.3° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 22.8° 01/01/2020
    Long term average 33.4° Long term average 24.2°
    Average this month 35.1° Average this month 24.4°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 35.6° 2016 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 23.6° 2012
    Darwin River rainfall history (12.7528°S, 131.0938°E, 47m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 70.6mm 10/01/2020 Total This Month 104.4mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 304.9mm 19.9 days Wettest January on record 399.2mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NT

  16. Year to Date

    Darwin River Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 304.9mm 19.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 104.4mm 9.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 137.2mm 13.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 70.6mm Jan10
    Lowest Temperature 22.8°C Jan 1
    Highest Temperature 37.3°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Darwin River Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.4 33.4 33.7 34.2 33.4 32.3 32.7 34.1 36.4 37.4 36.4 34.8 34.4
    Mean Min (°C) 24.2 24.0 24.0 22.4 19.3 15.4 14.4 14.7 19.1 22.0 23.5 24.2 20.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 304.9 309.1 259.4 103.7 23.6 0.7 0.4 1.0 18.1 44.1 128.5 270.8 1460.3
    Mean Rain Days 19.9 19.6 20.4 8.9 2.8 0.5 0.5 0.4 2.8 7.5 13.6 18.8 108.7