Forecast
Bellamack (12.521°S, 130.9801°E, 5m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY27° 36° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:49am CST 6:13am CST 7:02pm CST 7:25pm CST NOW33.7° Feels Like: 36.8° Relative Humidity: 49% Dew: 21.8° Wind: NW 7km/h Gust: 15km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1010.3hPa -
Today Weather
BellamackNow32.8°cFeels Like:35.2°Wind:NW 15km/hGusts:17km/hHumidity:57%27°Min36°MaxToday in BellamackMostly sunny. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening.Tomorrow27°Min35°MaxMostly sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Bellamack
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening.
Forecast for Bellamack (12.521°S, 130.9801°E, 5m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 27° 27° 27° 27° 26° 26° 26° Maximum 36° 35° 35° 36° 35° 35° 35° Chance of rain 10% 30% 20% 20% 40% 80% 80% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 11
(km/h)23
(km/h)11
(km/h)19
(km/h)10
(km/h)19
(km/h)8
(km/h)19
(km/h)9
(km/h)21
(km/h)11
(km/h)22
(km/h)14
(km/h)24
(km/h)Wind direction WSW WNW WNW NW N NNW N NNW NW WNW WNW WNW NW WNW Relative humidity 66% 48% 65% 49% 63% 46% 62% 47% 62% 53% 64% 51% 65% 54% Dew point 25°C 24°C 25°C 23°C 24°C 22°C 24°C 23°C 23°C 24°C 24°C 24°C 24°C 25°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Bellamack Rain Forecast
Bellamack 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT6
7
8
LOW9
LOW10
LOW11
MEDIUM12
MEDIUM13
HIGH14
MEDIUM15
HIGH16
MEDIUM17
HIGH18
MEDIUM19
20
LOW21
LOW22
HIGH23
LOW24
MEDIUM25
MEDIUM26
MEDIUM27
LOW28
MEDIUM29
HIGH30
LOW31
HIGHJan 1
MEDIUM2
MEDIUM3
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 6Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 December to 18 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 December to 15 December, 29 December to 2 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 December to 17 December, 27 December to 31 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Bellamack Rain Forecast
Bellamack 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov201920201676869101888105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Bellamack Rain Forecast
Bellamack 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT6
7
8
LOW9
LOW10
LOW11
MEDIUM12
MEDIUM13
HIGH14
MEDIUM15
HIGH16
MEDIUM17
HIGH18
MEDIUM19
20
LOW21
LOW22
HIGH23
LOW24
MEDIUM25
MEDIUM26
MEDIUM27
LOW28
MEDIUM29
HIGH30
LOW31
HIGHJan 1
MEDIUM2
MEDIUM3
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 6Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 December to 18 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 December to 15 December, 29 December to 2 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 December to 17 December, 27 December to 31 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Bellamack Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Dec 0223.3 °C 35.1 °C 18.8 mmTuesday
Dec 0325.1 °C - 2.8 mmWednesday
Dec 04- 36.3 °C -Thursday
Dec 0525.8 °C 37 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 0625 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Bellamack minimum temp history (12.521°S, 130.9801°E, 5m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 36.0° 05/12/2019 Coldest this month 23.7° 02/12/2019 Hottest on record 37.0 18/12/1976 Coldest on record 19.8 04/12/1974 Hottest this year 38.2° 21/10/2019 Coldest this year 12.7° 25/06/2019 Long term average 32.6° Long term average 25.3° Average this month 34.9° Average this month 26.4° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.4° 2002 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 23.8° 1945 Bellamack rainfall history (12.521°S, 130.9801°E, 5m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 11.8mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 17.0mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 254.4mm 17.0 days Wettest December on record 664.5mm 2002 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for NT
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Year to Date
Bellamack Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 1729.4mm 113.2 day(s) Total For 2019 1020.2mm 85.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 1815.4mm 106.0 day(s) Wettest Day 52.2mm Jan27 Lowest Temperature 12.7°C Jun25 Highest Temperature 38.2°C Oct21 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Bellamack Climatology
Bellamack Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.8 31.5 31.9 32.7 32.0 30.7 30.6 31.4 32.6 33.3 33.3 32.6 32.0 Mean Min (°C) 24.8 24.7 24.6 24.0 22.1 19.9 19.3 20.3 23.0 24.9 25.3 25.3 23.2 Mean Rain (mm) 424.3 374.7 317.1 101.6 21.3 1.8 1.1 4.8 15.8 70.3 142.2 254.4 1736.1 Mean Rain Days 21.3 20.3 19.6 9.3 2.3 0.6 0.5 0.6 2.4 6.9 12.4 17.0 112.5