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Forecast

Bagot (12.433°S, 130.8433°E, 24m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Thunderstorms 26° 29°
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 20-40mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:13am CST 6:36am CST 7:20pm CST 7:42pm CST
    NOW
    24.0° Feels Like: 27.7°
    Relative Humidity: 96%
    Dew: 23.4°
    Wind: NE 9km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 30.6mm
    Pressure: 1009.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bagot
    Now
    23.9°c
    Feels Like:
    27.2°
    Wind:
    11km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    97%
    Thunderstorms
     
    26°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Bagot
    Cloudy. Very high chance of rain. A thunderstorm likely with possible heavy falls. Gusty winds. Winds NW 25 to 35 km/h.
    Tomorrow
    Thunderstorms
    26°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds W/NW 20 to 30 km/h.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of rain. A thunderstorm likely with possible heavy falls. Gusty winds. Winds NW 25 to 35 km/h.

    Forecast for Bagot (12.433°S, 130.8433°E, 24m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm
    Minimum 26° 26° 26° 26° 27° 27° 27°
    Maximum 29° 30° 32° 32° 32° 33° 33°
    Chance of rain 80% 80% 80% 70% 80% 90% 70%
    Likely amount 20-40mm 10-20mm 20-40mm 10-20mm 10-20mm 20-40mm 40-80mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 27
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW WNW W W WNW WNW WNW W WNW W WNW WNW W WNW
    Relative humidity 78% 77% 81% 76% 80% 76% 80% 71% 78% 69% 79% 70% 80% 71%
    Dew point 24°C 25°C 25°C 25°C 26°C 27°C 25°C 26°C 26°C 26°C 27°C 27°C 26°C 27°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bagot Rain Forecast


    Bagot 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    HIGH
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    31
    HIGH
    Feb 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    HIGH
    7
    HIGH
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    HIGH
    13
    HIGH
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    HIGH
    17
    HIGH
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bagot Rain Forecast


    Bagot 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    8
    6
    6
    6
    7
    9
    9
    6
    8
    8
    8
    9
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bagot Rain Forecast


    Bagot 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    HIGH
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    31
    HIGH
    Feb 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    HIGH
    7
    HIGH
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    HIGH
    13
    HIGH
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    HIGH
    17
    HIGH
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bagot Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    23.9 °C 34.1 °C
    20.8 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    28.7 °C 31.3 °C
    0.2 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    24.8 °C 30.2 °C
    26.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    22.7 °C 29.9 °C
    75.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    23.2 °C -
    85.4 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bagot minimum temp history (12.433°S, 130.8433°E, 24m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 22.7° 21/01/2020
    Hottest on record 36.1 07/01/2014 Coldest on record 20.2 23/01/1985
    Hottest this year 35.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 22.7° 21/01/2020
    Long term average 31.8° Long term average 24.8°
    Average this month 32.9° Average this month 25.7°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.4° 1970 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 23.7° 1976
    Bagot rainfall history (12.433°S, 130.8433°E, 24m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 85.0mm 22/01/2020 Total This Month 342.2mm
    17.0 days
    Long Term Average 424.3mm 21.3 days Wettest January on record 940.4mm 1970
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NT

  16. Year to Date

    Bagot Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 424.3mm 21.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 342.2mm 17.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 146.8mm 16.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 85.0mm Jan22
    Lowest Temperature 22.7°C Jan21
    Highest Temperature 35.0°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bagot Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.8 31.5 31.9 32.7 32.0 30.7 30.6 31.4 32.6 33.3 33.3 32.6 32.0
    Mean Min (°C) 24.8 24.7 24.6 24.0 22.1 19.9 19.3 20.3 23.0 24.9 25.3 25.3 23.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 424.3 374.7 317.1 101.6 21.3 1.8 1.1 4.8 15.8 70.3 142.2 254.4 1736.1
    Mean Rain Days 21.3 20.3 19.6 9.3 2.3 0.6 0.5 0.6 2.4 6.9 12.4 17.0 112.5