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Forecast

Wilcannia (31.5586°S, 143.378°E, 65m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Thunderstorms 14° 28°
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:44am EST 6:08am EST 6:27pm EST 6:51pm EST
    NOW
    18.9° Feels Like: 16.8°
    Relative Humidity: 67%
    Dew: 12.6°
    Wind: SW 15km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure: 1007.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Wilcannia
    Now
    20.4°c
    Feels Like:
    17.2°
    Wind:
    NE 17km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    51%
    Thunderstorms
     
    14°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Today in Wilcannia
    Partly cloudy. Very high chance of showers in the E, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds N/NE 25 to 40 km/h shifting W/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 31.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    10°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the S, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the far E in the morning and afternoon, possibly severe. Winds W/NW 25 to 35 km/h tending W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon then decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 12 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Wilcannia

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Very high chance of showers in the E, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds N/NE 25 to 40 km/h shifting W/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 31.

    Forecast for Wilcannia (31.5586°S, 143.378°E, 65m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Thunderstorms Possible shower Showers Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Windy Mostly sunny
    Minimum 14° 10° 11° 10° 12°
    Maximum 28° 27° 21° 26° 30° 24° 24°
    Chance of rain 60% 50% 70% 20% 20% 5% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 26
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N W WNW WNW WSW WSW SW WSW NNE NW W WSW SW WSW
    Relative humidity 58% 28% 56% 26% 61% 50% 64% 32% 45% 16% 46% 22% 51% 25%
    Dew point 15°C 8°C 12°C 5°C 10°C 9°C 11°C 7°C 8°C 1°C 4°C 0°C 3°C 2°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Wilcannia Rain Forecast


    Wilcannia 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 October to 9 October, 19 October to 23 October, and 29 October to 2 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 October to 13 October, 22 October to 26 October, and 29 October to 2 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 October to 9 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 28 October to 1 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Wilcannia Rain Forecast


    Wilcannia 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2021
    2022
    5
    9
    9
    7
    8
    7
    7
    7
    7
    8
    7
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 16

    ENSO status: Neutral, however five of seven models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again between October and January. IOD status: Neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, which has prompted the US Climate Prediction Centre to increase its prediction of La Niña occurring this year to 70-80 percent. However their thresholds are lower than the Bureau of Meteorology's. Five of seven models forecast temperatures may reach or exceed La Niña thresholds between October and January. Three of seven predicted an established event, which requires La Nina thresholds to be met for three months. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall in northern and eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. Three of five models areforecasting the IOD event will officially end in October, with all models ending the event in December. A negative IOD generates above average rain to southern and eastern Australia. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of the country this winter and spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Wilcannia Rain Forecast


    Wilcannia 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 October to 9 October, 19 October to 23 October, and 29 October to 2 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 October to 13 October, 22 October to 26 October, and 29 October to 2 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 October to 9 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 28 October to 1 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Wilcannia Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Sep 24
    11.4 °C 29.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 25
    10.7 °C 21.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 26
    5.2 °C 22.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Sep 27
    2.4 °C 26.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 28
    10.2 °C 27.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Wilcannia minimum temp history (31.5586°S, 143.378°E, 65m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.6° 02/09/2021 Coldest this month 2.4° 27/09/2021
    Hottest on record 39.2 22/09/2003 Coldest on record 0.0 12/09/2002
    Hottest this year 42.3° 23/01/2021 Coldest this year -3.3° 30/05/2021
    Long term average 24.5° Long term average 8.3°
    Average this month 24.2° Average this month 7.4°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.7° 2013 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 6.3° 2012
    Wilcannia rainfall history (31.5586°S, 143.378°E, 65m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 11.2mm 04/09/2021 Total This Month 12.4mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 18.2mm 4.5 days Wettest September on record 124.2mm 2016
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2017
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Wilcannia Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 204.7mm 50.2 day(s)
    Total For 2021 212.4mm 60.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 260.6mm 56.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 28.2mm Jun24
    Lowest Temperature -3.3°C May30
    Highest Temperature 42.3°C Jan23
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Wilcannia Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 37.4 35.4 31.5 27.1 21.5 17.8 17.7 20.0 24.5 28.4 32.1 34.8 27.3
    Mean Min (°C) 21.2 20.2 16.3 11.9 7.3 5.0 3.9 4.8 8.3 11.9 16.0 18.7 12.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 26.9 30.2 31.9 17.6 18.3 28.1 18.3 15.2 18.2 22.5 21.7 19.3 266.4
    Mean Rain Days 4.5 3.8 4.7 3.7 5.5 10.0 8.6 4.9 4.5 4.7 4.7 4.5 63.3