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Forecast

Wilcannia (31.5586°S, 143.378°E, 65m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 11° 28°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:50am EST 7:16am EST 5:50pm EST 6:16pm EST
    NOW
    18.4° Feels Like: 13.3°
    Relative Humidity: 36%
    Dew: 3.1°
    Wind: NW 19km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1010.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Wilcannia
    Now
    18.0°c
    Feels Like:
    12.6°
    Wind:
    NW 20km/h
    Gusts:
    24km/h
    Humidity:
    37%
    Mostly sunny
     
    11°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Today in Wilcannia
    Sunny. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending N/NW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then tending NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 26 to 31.
    Tomorrow
    Showers easing
    11°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of rain in the SW, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h shifting S/SW 20 to 30 km/h early in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching 18 to 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending N/NW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then tending NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 26 to 31.

    Forecast for Wilcannia (31.5586°S, 143.378°E, 65m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Mostly sunny Showers easing Late shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11° 11°
    Maximum 28° 18° 20° 16° 17° 17° 18°
    Chance of rain 60% 60% 60% 20% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Slight Slight Slight Slight Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 19
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW NW SSW SSW NE N W WSW WSW WSW WSW SW SW SW
    Relative humidity 38% 19% 87% 59% 84% 43% 72% 38% 75% 40% 83% 44% 80% 44%
    Dew point 3°C 2°C 12°C 9°C 8°C 7°C 4°C 1°C 5°C 3°C 7°C 5°C 7°C 5°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Wilcannia Rain Forecast


    Wilcannia 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    31
    Aug 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 August to 12 August, 16 August to 20 August, and 1 September to 5 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 August to 14 August, 21 August to 25 August, and 3 September to 7 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 August to 12 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 22 August to 26 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Wilcannia Rain Forecast


    Wilcannia 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2021
    2022
    8
    8
    8
    8
    8
    8
    6
    10
    7
    7
    7
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jul 13

    ENSO status: Neutral, however two models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again from September. IOD status: Neutral, although it was negative for six weeks between mid-May and late-June SAM status: Negative. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, prompting the US Climate Prediction Centre to issue a La Niña Watch this week. Two models forecast temperatures reaching the La Niña threshold during September. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, although we saw six consecutive weeks below the negative IOD threshold between mid-May and late-June. The IOD index needs to stay below -0.4C for eight consecutive weeks to be officially declared as a negative IOD event. The IOD ducked back into neutral territory thanks to recent warming in the western Indian Ocean. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly values may enhance rainfallacross central and southern Australia. Three of the five models are forecasting the negative IOD to develop in winter, with another one indicating development in early spring. Most of the models suggest that the negative IOD will continue through until mid spring. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and southwestern TAS. The weekly negative IOD values may be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from southwestern TAS and WA. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Wilcannia Rain Forecast


    Wilcannia 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    31
    Aug 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 August to 12 August, 16 August to 20 August, and 1 September to 5 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 August to 14 August, 21 August to 25 August, and 3 September to 7 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 August to 12 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 22 August to 26 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Wilcannia Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Jul 27
    3.2 °C 23.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 28
    12.3 °C 23.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jul 29
    2.0 °C 17.1 °C
    0.6 mm
    Friday
    Jul 30
    4.2 °C 21.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jul 31
    13.9 °C 18.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Wilcannia minimum temp history (31.5586°S, 143.378°E, 65m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.0° 14/07/2021 Coldest this month -0.6° 06/07/2021
    Hottest on record 26.6 22/07/2016 Coldest on record -3.0 02/07/2002
    Hottest this year 42.3° 23/01/2021 Coldest this year -3.3° 30/05/2021
    Long term average 17.7° Long term average 3.9°
    Average this month 17.7° Average this month 4.2°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.1° 2002 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 2.9° 2012
    Wilcannia rainfall history (31.5586°S, 143.378°E, 65m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 4.6mm 23/07/2021 Total This Month 13.2mm
    12.0 days
    Long Term Average 18.6mm 8.5 days Wettest July on record 57.8mm 2010
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2018
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Wilcannia Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 171.6mm 40.7 day(s)
    Total For 2021 188.6mm 51.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 182.6mm 41.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 28.2mm Jun24
    Lowest Temperature -3.3°C May30
    Highest Temperature 42.3°C Jan23
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Wilcannia Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 37.4 35.4 31.5 27.1 21.5 17.8 17.7 20.0 24.5 28.4 32.1 34.8 27.3
    Mean Min (°C) 21.2 20.2 16.3 11.9 7.3 5.0 3.9 4.8 8.3 11.9 16.0 18.7 12.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 26.9 30.2 31.9 17.6 18.3 28.1 18.6 15.3 18.2 22.5 21.7 19.3 266.4
    Mean Rain Days 4.5 3.8 4.7 3.7 5.5 10.0 8.5 4.8 4.5 4.7 4.7 4.5 63.3