Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, New South Wales
Minor Flood Warning For Tuggerah Lake
Issued at 10:29 AM EST on Wednesday 08 May 2024
Flood Warning Number: 9
MINOR FLOODING PEAKED AT LONG JETTY TUESDAY EVENING AND IS NOW STEADY ABOVE THE MINOR FLOOD LEVEL
Heavy rainfall overnight Sunday into Monday in parts of the Wyong River and Tuggerah Lake has caused minor flooding around Tuggerah Lake.
Lake levels peaked during Tuesday evening and are expected to remain elevated, with prolonged minor flooding.
Tuggerah Lake:
Minor flooding continuing along the Tuggerah Lake.
The Tuggerah Lake at Long Jetty peaked at 1.22 metres around 7:00 pm Tuesday, and is currently at 1.17 metres and steady, with minor flooding.
The Tuggerah Lake at Long Jetty is likely to remain above the minor flood level (0.90 m) for the next few days.
Flood Safety Advice:
In life threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately. If you require rescue, assistance to evacuate or other emergency help, ring NSW SES on 132 500.
* Avoid drowning. Stay out of rising water, seek refuge in the highest available place.
* Prevent damage to your vehicle. Move it under cover, away from areas likely to flood.
* Avoid being swept away. Stay out of fast-flowing creeks and storm drains.
* Never drive, ride or walk through flood water. Flood water can be deceptive and dangerous.}
For more emergency information, advice, and access to the latest river heights and rainfall observations and forecasts:
* NSW SES: www.ses.nsw.gov.au
* RMS Live Traffic: www.livetraffic.com
* Latest River Heights and Rainfall Observations: http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/flood/greatersydney.shtml
* Latest NSW Warnings: www.bom.gov.au/nsw/warnings/
* Rainfall Forecasts: www.bom.gov.au/australia/meteye/
* BOM NSW Twitter: www.twitter.com/BOM_NSW
Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EST on Thursday 09 May 2024.
Latest River Heights:
Jilliby Creek at Jilliby,2.59,Falling,10:00 AM WED 08/05/24
Tuggerah Lake at Long Jetty,1.17,Steady,10:00 AM WED 08/05/24
Tuggerah Lake at The Entrance,1.16,Steady,10:00 AM WED 08/05/24
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/nsw/flood. The latest weather forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts.
Forecast
Warkworth (32.5488°S, 151.0108°E, 69m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY12° 22° possible shower Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:08am EST 6:34am EST 5:11pm EST 5:37pm EST NOW19.7° Feels Like: 18.4° Relative Humidity: 64% Dew: 12.7° Wind: SE 11km/h Gust: 15km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
WarkworthNow16.5°cFeels Like:17.2°Wind:S 6km/hGusts:7km/hHumidity:93%12°Min22°MaxToday in WarkworthPartly cloudy. The chance of morning fog. High chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, slight chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 22.Tomorrow12°Min22°MaxPartly cloudy. High chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, slight chance elsewhere. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 21. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. The chance of morning fog. High chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, slight chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 22.
Forecast for Warkworth (32.5488°S, 151.0108°E, 69m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 12° 12° 12° 14° 13° 13° 12° Maximum 22° 22° 21° 19° 21° 22° 24° Chance of rain 60% 50% 80% 80% 60% 40% 40% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 7
(km/h)13
(km/h)7
(km/h)14
(km/h)7
(km/h)11
(km/h)8
(km/h)9
(km/h)5
(km/h)5
(km/h)8
(km/h)6
(km/h)5
(km/h)5
(km/h)Wind direction SSE SE SSE SE SSE SE SSE SSE WSW WSW WNW W WNW E Relative humidity 85% 68% 88% 72% 87% 72% 94% 86% 90% 72% 86% 70% 82% 64% Dew point 15°C 15°C 15°C 16°C 15°C 16°C 15°C 17°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 17°C 15°C 17°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Warkworth Rain Forecast
Warkworth 12-month Rainfall ForecastMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar2024202566776589456105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued May 1
ENSO status: Inactive. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Neutral, favouring positive in winter. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an inactive phase. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are at record levels in the western Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. A burst of tropical activity expected in mid-May could make-or-break this event, as tropical activity in certainlocations could either strengthen or hinder the development of a positive IOD. If this tropical activity is favourable for a positive IOD, significant upwelling near Indonesia may occur as soon as late-May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral but is expected to favour a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east, while cooling temperatures. A positive SAM reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing slightly below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Warkworth Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
May 0411.9 °C 21.5 °C 0.0 mmSunday
May 0512.9 °C 19.4 °C 11.4 mmMonday
May 0613.7 °C 19.1 °C 22.2 mmTuesday
May 0710.5 °C 20.7 °C 4.4 mmWednesday
May 0812.4 °C 20.8 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Warkworth minimum temp history (32.5488°S, 151.0108°E, 69m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 21.3° 07/05/2024 Coldest this month 9.5° 03/05/2024 Hottest on record 29.2 04/05/2007 Coldest on record -3.8 15/05/1996 Hottest this year 41.9° 26/01/2024 Coldest this year 7.0° 26/04/2024 Long term average 20.8° Long term average 7.4° Average this month 19.8° Average this month 11.9° Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.4° 2016 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 4.4° 2012 Warkworth rainfall history (32.5488°S, 151.0108°E, 69m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 40.6mm 06/05/2024 Total This Month 91.0mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 38.6mm 9.5 days Wettest May on record 122.8mm 1998 Driest on record 1.6mm 2008 -
Year to Date
Warkworth Year To Date
Average Rainfall To May 359.5mm 52.1 day(s) Total For 2024 390.4mm 53.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 345.8mm 47.0 day(s) Wettest Day 93.2mm Apr 6 Lowest Temperature 7.0°C Apr26 Highest Temperature 41.9°C Jan26 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Warkworth Climatology
Warkworth Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.4 29.4 27.4 24.2 20.8 17.9 17.6 19.6 22.6 25.4 27.0 29.1 24.2 Mean Min (°C) 17.1 16.9 15.1 10.7 7.4 5.7 4.2 4.5 7.1 9.9 13.2 15.3 10.6 Mean Rain (mm) 72.8 102.9 89.4 55.8 38.6 54.6 36.7 34.6 44.4 56.4 78.1 79.7 743.9 Mean Rain Days 10.0 11.2 11.2 10.2 9.5 9.8 8.5 7.6 8.1 9.9 9.9 10.8 116.2