Forecast
Vineyard (33.6464°S, 150.8586°E, 13m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY19° 30° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:35am EDT 7:00am EDT 7:09pm EDT 7:34pm EDT NOW29.1° Feels Like: 30.0° Relative Humidity: 53% Dew: 18.8° Wind: NE 11km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1013.2hPa -
Today Weather
VineyardNow28.8°cFeels Like:30.1°Wind:N 6km/hGusts:9km/hHumidity:49%19°Min30°MaxToday in VineyardClear. Winds NE 20 to 30 km/h tending N 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.Tomorrow19°Min26°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h shifting SW 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then tending S 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon. Wind reaching 40 to 55 km/h near the coast from late afternoon. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Vineyard
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7 day forecast
Today: Clear. Winds NE 20 to 30 km/h tending N 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.
Forecast for Vineyard (33.6464°S, 150.8586°E, 13m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 19° 19° 14° 13° 13° 16° 14° Maximum 30° 26° 22° 25° 26° 28° 28° Chance of rain 60% 90% 20% 40% 30% 50% 40% Likely amount < 1mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Moderate High High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 0
(km/h)11
(km/h)5
(km/h)9
(km/h)10
(km/h)13
(km/h)3
(km/h)7
(km/h)3
(km/h)9
(km/h)3
(km/h)7
(km/h)2
(km/h)7
(km/h)Wind direction WNW ENE NNE SSW SW SSE WSW ENE SW SE WNW SE NW NNE Relative humidity 99% 62% 96% 86% 78% 58% 89% 59% 95% 61% 96% 53% 87% 44% Dew point 21°C 20°C 22°C 22°C 13°C 12°C 15°C 15°C 16°C 17°C 19°C 16°C 16°C 14°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Vineyard Rain Forecast
Vineyard 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Vineyard Rain Forecast
Vineyard 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025586688755648105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Vineyard Rain Forecast
Vineyard 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Vineyard Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1516.9 °C 23.4 °C 5.8 mmSaturday
Mar 1614.7 °C 25.2 °C 2.6 mmSunday
Mar 1717.7 °C 23.2 °C 6.2 mmMonday
Mar 1818.2 °C 27.1 °C 0.4 mmTuesday
Mar 1917.7 °C 29.3 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Vineyard minimum temp history (33.6464°S, 150.8586°E, 13m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 34.6° 12/03/2024 Coldest this month 14.0° 12/03/2024 Hottest on record 40.0 13/03/1998 Coldest on record 6.0 31/03/2008 Hottest this year 40.0° 29/02/2024 Coldest this year 14.0° 06/01/2024 Long term average 27.0° Long term average 15.9° Average this month 29.2° Average this month 17.5° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.3° 1998 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 13.9° 1996 Vineyard rainfall history (33.6464°S, 150.8586°E, 13m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 6.2mm 17/03/2024 Total This Month 19.0mm
8.0 daysLong Term Average 106.1mm 12.6 days Wettest March on record 286.8mm 2017 Driest on record 12.8mm 2016 -
Year to Date
Vineyard Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 304.9mm 37.2 day(s) Total For 2024 263.2mm 35.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 224.0mm 31.0 day(s) Wettest Day 97.8mm Jan15 Lowest Temperature 14.0°C Jan 6 Highest Temperature 40.0°C Feb29 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Vineyard Climatology
Vineyard Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.3 29.2 27.0 24.2 20.9 18.0 17.9 19.8 22.9 25.4 27.0 29.0 24.3 Mean Min (°C) 18.0 17.7 15.9 11.8 7.5 5.1 3.7 4.5 8.0 11.2 14.2 16.2 11.1 Mean Rain (mm) 83.0 115.8 106.1 55.3 42.5 52.0 35.4 33.1 44.3 53.5 79.9 67.1 765.2 Mean Rain Days 12.4 12.2 12.6 10.2 10.3 10.8 8.6 6.8 8.1 9.4 11.6 11.1 123.6