Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
Marine Wind Warning Summary for New South Wales
Issued at 10:00 PM EDT on Tuesday 19 March 2024
for the period until midnight EDT Wednesday 20 March 2024
Wind Warnings for Tuesday 19 March
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Hunter Coast, Sydney Coast, Illawarra Coast, Batemans Coast and Eden Coast
Wind Warnings for Wednesday 20 March
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Sydney Coast, Illawarra Coast, Batemans Coast and Eden Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Sydney Enclosed Waters, Macquarie Coast and Hunter Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:10 am EDT Wednesday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Vincentia (35.0695°S, 150.6752°E, 4m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW19° 24° showers easing Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:36am EDT 7:01am EDT 7:09pm EDT 7:34pm EDT NOW21.9° Feels Like: 21.4° Relative Humidity: 90% Dew: 20.2° Wind: NE 22km/h Gust: 28km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1012.8hPa -
Today Weather
VincentiaNow22.0°cFeels Like:20.3°Wind:N 30km/hGusts:39km/hHumidity:93%19°Min24°MaxToday in VincentiaCloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N/NW 15 to 25 km/h shifting S 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.Tomorrow19°Min24°MaxPartly cloudy. Winds S 20 to 30 km/h tending S/SW 15 to 20 km/h early in the morning then turning E/SE in the late morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 21. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N/NW 15 to 25 km/h shifting S 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
Forecast for Vincentia (35.0695°S, 150.6752°E, 4m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 19° 12° 12° 12° 13° 13° 15° Maximum 24° 20° 23° 22° 25° 27° 23° Chance of rain 70% 40% 10% 60% 20% 30% 50% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index Very High Very High Very High High High High High Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 10
(km/h)22
(km/h)13
(km/h)16
(km/h)9
(km/h)16
(km/h)10
(km/h)18
(km/h)10
(km/h)16
(km/h)12
(km/h)15
(km/h)10
(km/h)17
(km/h)Wind direction N S SW SSE NW E WSW S WNW SSW NW NW W SE Relative humidity 97% 85% 74% 68% 86% 65% 91% 74% 91% 55% 72% 42% 83% 66% Dew point 21°C 17°C 11°C 13°C 14°C 15°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 14°C 13°C 12°C 15°C 15°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Vincentia Rain Forecast
Vincentia 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Vincentia Rain Forecast
Vincentia 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025577678635637105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Vincentia Rain Forecast
Vincentia 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Vincentia Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1517.2 °C 22.7 °C 9.8 mmSaturday
Mar 1615.9 °C 23.5 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 1716.8 °C 21.0 °C 21.6 mmMonday
Mar 1816.9 °C 24.5 °C 14.2 mmTuesday
Mar 1919.1 °C 25.2 °C 7.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Vincentia minimum temp history (35.0695°S, 150.6752°E, 4m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 31.2° 12/03/2024 Coldest this month 16.6° 05/03/2024 Hottest on record 34.7 09/03/2004 Coldest on record 12.5 26/03/2005 Hottest this year 35.5° 21/01/2024 Coldest this year 16.2° 15/02/2024 Long term average 23.5° Long term average 17.7° Average this month 24.6° Average this month 18.9° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.8° 2014 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 16.4° 2005 Vincentia rainfall history (35.0695°S, 150.6752°E, 4m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 19.0mm 17/03/2024 Total This Month 49.4mm
7.0 daysLong Term Average 149.3mm 14.4 days Wettest March on record 376.4mm 2014 Driest on record 30.6mm 2009 -
Year to Date
Vincentia Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 394.4mm 39.3 day(s) Total For 2024 221.6mm 37.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 488.2mm 35.0 day(s) Wettest Day 36.0mm Feb 6 Lowest Temperature 16.2°C Feb15 Highest Temperature 35.5°C Jan21 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
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- Darwin Airport
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Vincentia Climatology
Vincentia Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 25.0 24.3 23.5 21.4 18.9 16.6 16.1 17.0 19.2 20.9 22.2 23.5 20.7 Mean Min (°C) 18.6 18.6 17.7 15.4 12.8 11.0 10.0 10.3 12.0 13.7 15.4 16.9 14.4 Mean Rain (mm) 95.7 149.4 149.3 140.0 113.0 158.0 111.6 76.4 63.3 82.6 95.2 80.9 1301.6 Mean Rain Days 11.6 13.3 14.4 13.7 10.4 12.0 10.1 9.1 9.8 12.1 12.2 12.7 139.5