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Forecast

Verges Creek (31.0878°S, 152.8997°E, 17m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 18° 29°
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:06am EDT 6:31am EDT 7:33pm EDT 7:58pm EDT
    NOW
    26.3° Feels Like: 25.2°
    Relative Humidity: 41%
    Dew: 12.0°
    Wind: WSW 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1009.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Verges Creek
    Now
    26.0°c
    Feels Like:
    21.3°
    Wind:
    SE 28km/h
    Gusts:
    30km/h
    Humidity:
    43%
    Sunny
     
    18°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Verges Creek
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a light shower in the north this evening, most likely inland. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then tending S/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    18°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Verges Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a light shower in the north this evening, most likely inland. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then tending S/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.

    Forecast for Verges Creek (31.0878°S, 152.8997°E, 17m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Sunny Possible shower Showers Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 18° 18° 19° 19° 17° 17° 18°
    Maximum 29° 27° 26° 27° 27° 29° 31°
    Chance of rain 20% 70% 70% 50% 60% 70% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Very High Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW SSE SSW ESE SSW ESE SE ESE W E NNW ENE NNW NE
    Relative humidity 62% 50% 77% 64% 88% 73% 85% 69% 85% 79% 84% 68% 74% 66%
    Dew point 15°C 17°C 19°C 20°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 22°C 20°C 23°C 20°C 24°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Verges Creek Rain Forecast


    Verges Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    Mar 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 March to 12 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 21 March to 25 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 February to 4 March, 4 March to 8 March, and 10 March to 14 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 March to 9 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 21 March to 25 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Verges Creek Rain Forecast


    Verges Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    10
    5
    7
    7
    5
    8
    6
    6
    5
    8
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Verges Creek Rain Forecast


    Verges Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    Mar 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 March to 12 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 21 March to 25 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 February to 4 March, 4 March to 8 March, and 10 March to 14 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 March to 9 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 21 March to 25 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Verges Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Feb 16
    20.9 °C 27.8 °C
    0.8 mm
    Monday
    Feb 17
    22.0 °C 26.1 °C
    1.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 18
    18.4 °C 31.8 °C
    7.6 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 19
    22.2 °C 35 °C
    8.8 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 20
    17 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Verges Creek minimum temp history (31.0878°S, 152.8997°E, 17m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.0° 02/02/2020 Coldest this month 17.0° 15/02/2020
    Hottest on record 46.7 12/02/2017 Coldest on record 11.9 01/02/2014
    Hottest this year 38.2° 21/01/2020 Coldest this year 15.3° 13/01/2020
    Long term average 28.8° Long term average 18.0°
    Average this month 28.3° Average this month 19.8°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.8° 2017 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 17.1° 2014
    Verges Creek rainfall history (31.0878°S, 152.8997°E, 17m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 61.4mm 07/02/2020 Total This Month 299.4mm
    15.0 days
    Long Term Average 164.7mm 14.2 days Wettest February on record 449.4mm 2009
    Driest on record 43.8mm 2005
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Verges Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 288.9mm 28.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 356.0mm 27.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 27.2mm 9.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 61.4mm Feb 7
    Lowest Temperature 15.3°C Jan13
    Highest Temperature 38.2°C Jan21
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Verges Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.3 28.8 27.4 25.2 22.4 20.2 19.9 21.6 24.4 25.8 26.9 28.2 25.0
    Mean Min (°C) 17.8 18.0 16.4 13.1 8.6 6.7 5.0 5.3 8.2 10.9 14.5 16.3 11.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 124.2 164.7 156.2 75.1 72.9 138.6 22.7 60.2 44.0 74.3 112.0 101.7 1149.8
    Mean Rain Days 14.1 14.2 15.6 13.6 11.9 12.8 9.8 8.3 9.1 10.2 13.6 14.2 142.1