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Forecast

Verges Creek (31.0878°S, 152.8997°E, 17m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 18° 27°
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:27am EDT 6:52am EDT 7:01pm EDT 7:25pm EDT
    NOW
    27.4° Feels Like: 28.7°
    Relative Humidity: 71%
    Dew: 21.7°
    Wind: NE 17km/h
    Gust: 26km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1016.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Verges Creek
    Now
    26.4°c
    Feels Like:
    25.7°
    Wind:
    NE 26km/h
    Gusts:
    35km/h
    Humidity:
    74%
    Showers
     
    18°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Today in Verges Creek
    Partly cloudy. The chance of fog in the morning, mainly in the S. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely in the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 23 to 29.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    18°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending NE in the early afternoon then shifting S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 31.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. The chance of fog in the morning, mainly in the S. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely in the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 23 to 29.

    Forecast for Verges Creek (31.0878°S, 152.8997°E, 17m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Showers Late shower Possible shower Possible shower Showers increasing Possible shower Rain
    Minimum 18° 18° 17° 16° 15° 17° 16°
    Maximum 27° 30° 24° 25° 26° 25° 26°
    Chance of rain 70% 80% 60% 40% 70% 60% 80%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 10-20mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 5-10mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High High High High
    Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N ENE N NE SSW SSW SW SE WSW SE WSW SE W ENE
    Relative humidity 91% 72% 82% 60% 80% 64% 81% 64% 81% 67% 85% 70% 79% 67%
    Dew point 20°C 21°C 19°C 21°C 15°C 17°C 17°C 18°C 17°C 19°C 18°C 19°C 18°C 19°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Verges Creek Rain Forecast


    Verges Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Verges Creek Rain Forecast


    Verges Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2024
    2025
    7
    7
    7
    5
    8
    7
    6
    5
    8
    6
    4
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 5

    ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    Verges Creek Rain Forecast


    Verges Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    Verges Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Mar 15
    19.0 °C 26.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 16
    17.8 °C 26.4 °C
    2.6 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 17
    18.6 °C 24.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Mar 18
    18.7 °C 22.6 °C
    2.6 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 19
    18.2 °C 27.5 °C
    11.4 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Verges Creek minimum temp history (31.0878°S, 152.8997°E, 17m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.2° 01/03/2024 Coldest this month 15.1° 07/03/2024
    Hottest on record 42.0 19/03/2002 Coldest on record 9.2 31/03/2007
    Hottest this year 41.2° 26/01/2024 Coldest this year 14.2° 08/01/2024
    Long term average 27.4° Long term average 16.6°
    Average this month 27.8° Average this month 18.7°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.8° 2016 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 14.0° 2008
    Verges Creek rainfall history (31.0878°S, 152.8997°E, 17m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 36.2mm 03/03/2024 Total This Month 52.8mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 210.5mm 16.4 days Wettest March on record 454.6mm 2017
    Driest on record 10.2mm 2016
  15. Year to Date

    Verges Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 488.2mm 45.1 day(s)
    Total For 2024 323.2mm 38.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2023 227.8mm 37.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 55.2mm Feb25
    Lowest Temperature 14.2°C Jan 8
    Highest Temperature 41.2°C Jan26
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Verges Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.5 28.8 27.4 25.3 22.5 20.2 20.1 21.8 24.4 25.9 26.9 28.4 25.1
    Mean Min (°C) 18.0 17.9 16.6 13.1 8.6 6.6 5.0 5.2 8.1 11.2 14.3 16.2 11.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 115.2 162.5 210.5 68.2 59.7 111.6 42.8 45.1 43.1 84.9 102.7 106.6 1140.8
    Mean Rain Days 13.8 14.9 16.4 13.9 11.2 12.7 9.9 7.6 8.5 11.0 12.9 14.0 145.7