Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
Marine Wind Warning Summary for New South Wales
Issued at 04:05 PM EDT on Tuesday 19 March 2024
for the period until midnight EDT Wednesday 20 March 2024
Wind Warnings for Tuesday 19 March
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Hunter Coast, Sydney Coast, Illawarra Coast, Batemans Coast and Eden Coast
Wind Warnings for Wednesday 20 March
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Sydney Coast, Illawarra Coast, Batemans Coast and Eden Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Sydney Enclosed Waters, Macquarie Coast and Hunter Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:10 am EDT Wednesday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Vaucluse (33.859°S, 151.2784°E, 79m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW21° 25° windy with showers Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:33am EDT 6:58am EDT 7:06pm EDT 7:31pm EDT NOW23.0° Feels Like: 23.5° Relative Humidity: 88% Dew: 20.9° Wind: NE 19km/h Gust: 26km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1014.9hPa -
Today Weather
VaucluseNow24.0°cFeels Like:22.6°Wind:NE 28km/hGusts:35km/hHumidity:81%21°Min25°MaxToday in VaucluseCloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h shifting SW 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then tending S 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon. Wind reaching 40 to 55 km/h near the coast from late afternoon.Tomorrow21°Min25°MaxCloudy. Winds S 25 to 35 km/h decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h before dawn then turning SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h shifting SW 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then tending S 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon. Wind reaching 40 to 55 km/h near the coast from late afternoon.
Forecast for Vaucluse (33.859°S, 151.2784°E, 79m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 21° 18° 18° 18° 18° 18° 19° Maximum 25° 21° 23° 23° 24° 25° 25° Chance of rain 80% 20% 50% 50% 30% 20% 90% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Moderate High High High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 13
(km/h)24
(km/h)24
(km/h)20
(km/h)7
(km/h)13
(km/h)9
(km/h)16
(km/h)12
(km/h)15
(km/h)10
(km/h)10
(km/h)14
(km/h)20
(km/h)Wind direction N SSW S SSE NE ENE WSW SSE WSW E WNW ENE SW SSE Relative humidity 83% 82% 59% 56% 67% 62% 78% 70% 80% 64% 70% 54% 69% 69% Dew point 20°C 21°C 11°C 12°C 13°C 15°C 16°C 17°C 16°C 17°C 14°C 15°C 16°C 19°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Vaucluse Rain Forecast
Vaucluse 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Vaucluse Rain Forecast
Vaucluse 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025586688755648105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Vaucluse Rain Forecast
Vaucluse 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Vaucluse Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1517.6 °C 25.4 °C 5.2 mmSaturday
Mar 1616.7 °C 26.8 °C 1.2 mmSunday
Mar 1717.5 °C 22.8 °C 36.4 mmMonday
Mar 1817.7 °C 26.4 °C 0.8 mmTuesday
Mar 1919.6 °C 27.1 °C 3.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Vaucluse minimum temp history (33.859°S, 151.2784°E, 79m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 32.0° 14/03/2024 Coldest this month 16.3° 05/03/2024 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 38.5° 26/01/2024 Coldest this year 15.9° 25/02/2024 Long term average 24.8° Long term average 17.6° Average this month 27.9° Average this month 19.4° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Vaucluse rainfall history (33.859°S, 151.2784°E, 79m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 36.4mm 17/03/2024 Total This Month 49.0mm
7.0 daysLong Term Average 135.6mm 13.8 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 8.4mm 1965 -
Year to Date
Vaucluse Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 359.2mm 38.6 day(s) Total For 2024 302.0mm 33.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 401.8mm 36.0 day(s) Wettest Day 62.2mm Jan15 Lowest Temperature 15.9°C Feb25 Highest Temperature 38.5°C Jan26 -
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Australia Radars
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Vaucluse Climatology
Vaucluse Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.0 25.8 24.8 22.5 19.6 17.0 16.5 17.9 20.1 22.2 23.7 25.3 21.8 Mean Min (°C) 18.8 18.9 17.6 14.7 11.6 9.3 8.1 9.0 11.2 13.7 15.7 17.6 13.8 Mean Rain (mm) 102.4 121.2 135.6 127.0 117.3 131.7 97.5 80.1 67.6 77.8 84.1 77.8 1221.2 Mean Rain Days 12.2 12.6 13.8 12.8 13.0 12.7 11.2 10.3 10.6 11.7 11.7 11.6 144.2