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Forecast

Varroville (34.0103°S, 150.823°E, 50m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 18° 33°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:15am EDT 6:41am EDT 7:38pm EDT 8:03pm EDT
    NOW
    21.7° Feels Like: 24.5°
    Relative Humidity: 93%
    Dew: 20.5°
    Wind: NNW 6km/h
    Gust: 6km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Varroville
    Now
    22.9°c
    Feels Like:
    24.8°
    Wind:
    W 7km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    79%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    18°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Today in Varroville
    Mostly sunny morning. Possible early morning fog patches in the outer west. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a gusty thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds N 15 to 25 km/h becoming NW in the morning, then shifting cooler and gusty S 35 to 55 km/h in the evening. Winds near the coast may become NE 15 to 30 km/h in the afternoon ahead of the change.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly cloudy
    16°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower in the early morning. Winds S 25 to 40 km/h tending NE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny morning. Possible early morning fog patches in the outer west. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a gusty thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds N 15 to 25 km/h becoming NW in the morning, then shifting cooler and gusty S 35 to 55 km/h in the evening. Winds near the coast may become NE 15 to 30 km/h in the afternoon ahead of the change.

    Forecast for Varroville (34.0103°S, 150.823°E, 50m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Cloudy Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 18° 16° 15° 15° 17° 18° 18°
    Maximum 33° 27° 27° 26° 27° 27° 26°
    Chance of rain 60% 5% 10% 50% 70% 70% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 20-40mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW WNW SSW NE SW SSE SSW E N NE SW SE S SSE
    Relative humidity 75% 39% 67% 50% 54% 50% 76% 56% 81% 49% 81% 54% 82% 64%
    Dew point 18°C 18°C 13°C 16°C 10°C 16°C 15°C 17°C 17°C 16°C 18°C 17°C 19°C 19°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Varroville Rain Forecast


    Varroville 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    Mar 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb25

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 1 March to 5 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 30 March to 3 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 4 March to 8 March, and 8 March to 12 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 March to 5 March, 19 March to 23 March, and 28 March to 1 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Varroville Rain Forecast


    Varroville 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    10
    4
    7
    7
    6
    8
    8
    6
    5
    7
    4
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Varroville Rain Forecast


    Varroville 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    Mar 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb25

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 1 March to 5 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 30 March to 3 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 4 March to 8 March, and 8 March to 12 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 March to 5 March, 19 March to 23 March, and 28 March to 1 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Varroville Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Feb 21
    16.7 °C 26.4 °C
    -
    Saturday
    Feb 22
    17.0 °C 24.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Feb 23
    17.2 °C 24.0 °C
    1.4 mm
    Monday
    Feb 24
    16.4 °C 29.1 °C
    0.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 25
    16.2 °C 31 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Varroville minimum temp history (34.0103°S, 150.823°E, 50m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 45.3° 01/02/2020 Coldest this month 13.2° 20/02/2020
    Hottest on record 45.6 11/02/2017 Coldest on record 9.6 07/02/2014
    Hottest this year 45.5° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 13.2° 20/02/2020
    Long term average 28.4° Long term average 16.9°
    Average this month 28.0° Average this month 18.1°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.3° 2017 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 15.5° 2008
    Varroville rainfall history (34.0103°S, 150.823°E, 50m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 172.4mm 10/02/2020 Total This Month 318.8mm
    15.0 days
    Long Term Average 100.7mm 10.6 days Wettest February on record 282.0mm 2008
    Driest on record 11.6mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Varroville Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 189.8mm 22.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 418.8mm 28.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 91.8mm 19.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 172.4mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature 13.2°C Feb20
    Highest Temperature 45.5°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Varroville Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.0 28.4 27.1 23.7 21.1 17.6 17.4 19.2 22.3 25.0 27.2 27.9 24.0
    Mean Min (°C) 17.0 16.9 15.1 11.3 7.2 6.0 3.9 4.7 7.5 10.0 13.6 15.2 10.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 89.1 100.7 87.5 70.7 39.4 105.4 29.5 44.7 35.8 41.9 76.6 59.7 784.9
    Mean Rain Days 11.6 10.6 12.9 11.1 7.2 12.3 10.3 7.8 8.5 8.5 10.1 12.0 108.8