Forecast
Valley Heights (33.7053°S, 150.5849°E, 297m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW19° 25° heavy showers Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:36am EDT 7:01am EDT 7:09pm EDT 7:34pm EDT NOW20.8° Feels Like: 24.7° Relative Humidity: 98% Dew: 20.5° Wind: N 0km/h Gust: 0km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1014.7hPa -
Today Weather
Valley HeightsNow20.5°cFeels Like:22.8°Wind:E 6km/hGusts:6km/hHumidity:93%19°Min25°MaxToday in Valley HeightsCloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h shifting S/SE in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 26.Tomorrow19°Min25°MaxMostly sunny. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h turning E 25 to 35 km/h during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 24. -
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Valley Heights
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h shifting S/SE in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 26.
Forecast for Valley Heights (33.7053°S, 150.5849°E, 297m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 19° 12° 12° 12° 14° 13° 14° Maximum 25° 20° 23° 24° 26° 27° 26° Chance of rain 80% 30% 30% 30% 10% 10% 80% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High High High High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 4
(km/h)7
(km/h)9
(km/h)11
(km/h)3
(km/h)8
(km/h)3
(km/h)9
(km/h)3
(km/h)6
(km/h)5
(km/h)6
(km/h)4
(km/h)8
(km/h)Wind direction WNW S SSW SE WNW ENE WSW ESE W SSE WNW NW SW ESE Relative humidity 86% 76% 69% 58% 77% 57% 78% 53% 79% 45% 65% 34% 60% 51% Dew point 20°C 21°C 9°C 12°C 12°C 14°C 13°C 14°C 15°C 14°C 11°C 10°C 11°C 15°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Valley Heights Rain Forecast
Valley Heights 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Valley Heights Rain Forecast
Valley Heights 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025566777535657105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Valley Heights Rain Forecast
Valley Heights 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Valley Heights Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1516.7 °C 23.4 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Mar 1616.0 °C 26.8 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 1717.4 °C 23.6 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Mar 1817.9 °C 27.4 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Mar 1918.4 °C 29.9 °C -Legend -
Almanac
Almanac
Valley Heights minimum temp history (33.7053°S, 150.5849°E, 297m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 36.6° 14/03/2024 Coldest this month 15.5° 06/03/2024 Hottest on record 40.6 13/03/1998 Coldest on record 8.3 31/03/2008 Hottest this year 40.0° 29/02/2024 Coldest this year 15.5° 19/01/2024 Long term average 27.6° Long term average 16.8° Average this month 29.9° Average this month 18.1° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.5° 1998 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 15.4° 2005 Valley Heights rainfall history (33.7053°S, 150.5849°E, 297m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 1.6mm 03/03/2024 Total This Month 1.8mm
2.0 daysLong Term Average 108.3mm 12.7 days Wettest March on record 230.2mm 2017 Driest on record 16.8mm 2016 -
Year to Date
Valley Heights Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 327.5mm 37.2 day(s) Total For 2024 211.8mm 32.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 167.4mm 31.0 day(s) Wettest Day 49.4mm Jan15 Lowest Temperature 15.5°C Jan19 Highest Temperature 40.0°C Feb29 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Valley Heights Climatology
Valley Heights Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.9 29.6 27.6 24.6 21.2 18.2 18.1 20.0 23.5 25.9 27.5 29.7 24.7 Mean Min (°C) 18.6 18.4 16.8 13.1 9.1 6.8 5.4 6.2 9.3 12.3 15.0 17.1 12.3 Mean Rain (mm) 95.1 124.1 108.3 50.2 31.0 51.0 38.4 32.0 32.1 54.4 83.5 65.9 763.4 Mean Rain Days 12.2 12.3 12.7 10.1 10.1 14.2 11.9 8.4 8.3 9.3 12.1 10.9 131.3