Forecast
Valla Beach (30.5918°S, 153.0085°E, 15m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY20° 24° heavy showers Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:27am EDT 6:49am EDT 7:02pm EDT 7:25pm EDT NOW26.5° Feels Like: 26.2° Relative Humidity: 77% Dew: 22.1° Wind: NE 26km/h Gust: 32km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1017.5hPa -
Today Weather
Valla BeachNow27.0°cFeels Like:28.6°Wind:E 11km/hGusts:13km/hHumidity:66%20°Min24°MaxToday in Valla BeachPartly cloudy. The chance of fog in the morning, mainly in the S. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely in the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 23 to 29.Tomorrow21°Min26°MaxPartly cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending NE in the early afternoon then shifting S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 31. -
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Valla Beach
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. The chance of fog in the morning, mainly in the S. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely in the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 23 to 29.
Forecast for Valla Beach (30.5918°S, 153.0085°E, 15m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 20° 21° 19° 19° 18° 18° 18° Maximum 24° 26° 22° 22° 23° 23° 24° Chance of rain 70% 80% 70% 50% 30% 60% 60% Likely amount 1-5mm 20-40mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Moderate High High High High High High Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 12
(km/h)21
(km/h)16
(km/h)24
(km/h)26
(km/h)26
(km/h)11
(km/h)12
(km/h)10
(km/h)13
(km/h)10
(km/h)11
(km/h)6
(km/h)10
(km/h)Wind direction NNE NE NNE NE SSW SSW SSW SE SW SSE WSW SE W ENE Relative humidity 88% 76% 79% 72% 78% 66% 78% 67% 82% 72% 84% 71% 79% 72% Dew point 20°C 20°C 20°C 21°C 16°C 15°C 16°C 16°C 17°C 17°C 17°C 18°C 18°C 19°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Valla Beach Rain Forecast
Valla Beach 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Valla Beach Rain Forecast
Valla Beach 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025777587658648105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Valla Beach Rain Forecast
Valla Beach 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Valla Beach Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1521.0 °C 26.6 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Mar 1618.3 °C 26.6 °C 16.0 mmSunday
Mar 1718.8 °C 24.6 °C 0.6 mmMonday
Mar 1820.1 °C 23.1 °C 1.4 mmTuesday
Mar 1919.2 °C 27.2 °C 19.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Valla Beach minimum temp history (30.5918°S, 153.0085°E, 15m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 31.8° 02/03/2024 Coldest this month 16.0° 14/03/2024 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 34.8° 25/01/2024 Coldest this year 16.0° 14/03/2024 Long term average 26.9° Long term average 18.9° Average this month 27.4° Average this month 19.2° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Valla Beach rainfall history (30.5918°S, 153.0085°E, 15m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 19.2mm 03/03/2024 Total This Month 51.0mm
8.0 daysLong Term Average 316.8mm 19.9 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 72.7mm 2016 -
Year to Date
Valla Beach Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 736.6mm 51.0 day(s) Total For 2024 609.4mm 45.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 434.3mm 39.0 day(s) Wettest Day 199.0mm Jan 1 Lowest Temperature 16.0°C Mar14 Highest Temperature 34.8°C Jan25 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Valla Beach Climatology
Valla Beach Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.2 27.8 26.9 24.8 22.4 20.2 20.1 21.1 23.0 24.6 25.9 27.2 24.3 Mean Min (°C) 20.2 19.8 18.9 15.6 12.0 9.4 7.7 8.6 11.5 14.6 16.6 18.6 14.4 Mean Rain (mm) 157.9 261.9 316.8 135.5 90.4 116.2 54.8 66.3 64.9 142.2 104.0 154.1 1650.0 Mean Rain Days 14.6 16.5 19.9 14.9 11.0 11.4 9.4 8.2 9.4 12.3 11.7 13.9 152.4