Forecast
Valery (30.4351°S, 152.9966°E, 17m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW20° 29° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 10-20mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:27am EDT 6:51am EDT 6:58pm EDT 7:22pm EDT NOW24.4° Feels Like: 25.3° Relative Humidity: 81% Dew: 20.9° Wind: NE 17km/h Gust: 19km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1016.5hPa -
Today Weather
ValeryNow24.2°cFeels Like:25.9°Wind:NE 13km/hGusts:15km/hHumidity:83%20°Min29°MaxToday in ValeryBecoming cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h shifting S 15 to 25 km/h in the afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 31.Tomorrow20°Min29°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers in the N, medium chance elsewhere. Winds S/SE 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 24. -
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Valery
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7 day forecast
Today: Becoming cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h shifting S 15 to 25 km/h in the afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 31.
Forecast for Valery (30.4351°S, 152.9966°E, 17m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 20° 18° 18° 18° 18° 18° 19° Maximum 29° 24° 25° 25° 25° 27° 27° Chance of rain 70% 60% 40% 40% 50% 60% 80% Likely amount 10-20mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm UV index Very High Very High Very High High High High High Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 13
(km/h)21
(km/h)31
(km/h)29
(km/h)15
(km/h)13
(km/h)12
(km/h)13
(km/h)11
(km/h)13
(km/h)7
(km/h)11
(km/h)7
(km/h)10
(km/h)Wind direction N NE SSW SSW SSW SSE SW SSE SW SSE WSW E W ESE Relative humidity 78% 66% 85% 70% 78% 68% 79% 71% 83% 73% 75% 68% 70% 66% Dew point 20°C 22°C 17°C 18°C 17°C 19°C 17°C 19°C 18°C 20°C 18°C 21°C 19°C 20°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Valery Rain Forecast
Valery 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Valery Rain Forecast
Valery 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025777587658648105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Valery Rain Forecast
Valery 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Valery Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1521.0 °C 26.6 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Mar 1618.3 °C 26.6 °C 16.0 mmSunday
Mar 1718.8 °C 24.6 °C 0.6 mmMonday
Mar 1820.1 °C 24.1 °C 1.4 mmTuesday
Mar 1918.7 °C 27.5 °C 19.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Valery minimum temp history (30.4351°S, 152.9966°E, 17m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 31.8° 02/03/2024 Coldest this month 16.0° 14/03/2024 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 34.8° 25/01/2024 Coldest this year 16.0° 14/03/2024 Long term average 26.9° Long term average 18.9° Average this month 27.4° Average this month 19.2° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Valery rainfall history (30.4351°S, 152.9966°E, 17m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 19.2mm 19/03/2024 Total This Month 70.2mm
9.0 daysLong Term Average 316.8mm 19.9 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 72.7mm 2016 -
Year to Date
Valery Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 736.6mm 51.0 day(s) Total For 2024 628.6mm 46.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 434.3mm 39.0 day(s) Wettest Day 199.0mm Jan 1 Lowest Temperature 16.0°C Mar14 Highest Temperature 34.8°C Jan25 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Valery Climatology
Valery Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.2 27.8 26.9 24.8 22.4 20.2 20.1 21.1 23.0 24.6 25.9 27.2 24.3 Mean Min (°C) 20.2 19.8 18.9 15.6 12.0 9.4 7.7 8.6 11.5 14.6 16.6 18.6 14.4 Mean Rain (mm) 157.9 261.9 316.8 135.5 90.4 116.2 54.8 66.3 64.9 142.2 104.0 154.1 1650.0 Mean Rain Days 14.6 16.5 19.9 14.9 11.0 11.4 9.4 8.2 9.4 12.3 11.7 13.9 152.4