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Forecast

Upper Mangrove (33.3154°S, 151.1266°E, 33m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Possible shower 17° 24°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:42am EDT 7:07am EDT 6:50pm EDT 7:14pm EDT
    NOW
    19.0° Feels Like: 21.3°
    Relative Humidity: 98%
    Dew: 18.6°
    Wind: ESE 4km/h
    Gust: 6km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Upper Mangrove
    Now
    20.8°c
    Feels Like:
    24.5°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    95%
    Possible shower
     
    17°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Today in Upper Mangrove
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    17°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming N 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 27.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Upper Mangrove

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.

    Forecast for Upper Mangrove (33.3154°S, 151.1266°E, 33m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Possible shower Possible thunderstorm Showers Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 17° 17° 17° 19° 14° 11° 13°
    Maximum 24° 25° 26° 28° 23° 22° 21°
    Chance of rain 80% 70% 80% 20% 20% 60% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm
    UV index High High High High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 0
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E E NE NE NNW NNE NNW NW W WSW WSW SSE SSW S
    Relative humidity 96% 80% 94% 79% 94% 76% 87% 57% 59% 43% 64% 51% 79% 73%
    Dew point 20°C 19°C 19°C 20°C 19°C 21°C 20°C 18°C 11°C 9°C 11°C 10°C 15°C 15°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Upper Mangrove Rain Forecast


    Upper Mangrove 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    31
    LOW
    Apr 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 April to 26 April, 28 April to 2 May, and 3 May to 7 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 19 April to 23 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 April to 26 April, 29 April to 3 May, and 3 May to 7 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Upper Mangrove Rain Forecast


    Upper Mangrove 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    7
    7
    6
    6
    7
    6
    6
    4
    10
    4
    4
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Upper Mangrove Rain Forecast


    Upper Mangrove 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    31
    LOW
    Apr 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 April to 26 April, 28 April to 2 May, and 3 May to 7 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 19 April to 23 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 April to 26 April, 29 April to 3 May, and 3 May to 7 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Upper Mangrove Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Mar 27
    13.6 °C 20.7 °C
    6.8 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 28
    10.5 °C 21.7 °C
    0.4 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 29
    15.9 °C 24.6 °C
    13.8 mm
    Monday
    Mar 30
    16.3 °C 22.9 °C
    3.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 31
    14.3 °C 25 °C
    1.4 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Upper Mangrove minimum temp history (33.3154°S, 151.1266°E, 33m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 37.2° 02/03/2020 Coldest this month 10.5° 28/03/2020
    Hottest on record 37.4 19/03/2002 Coldest on record 7.7 25/03/1999
    Hottest this year 43.7° 01/02/2020 Coldest this year 10.5° 28/03/2020
    Long term average 24.8° Long term average 15.2°
    Average this month 22.7° Average this month 14.6°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.3° 1998 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 13.5° 2008
    Upper Mangrove rainfall history (33.3154°S, 151.1266°E, 33m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 37.4mm 06/03/2020 Total This Month 161.0mm
    18.0 days
    Long Term Average 144.6mm 14.3 days Wettest March on record 498.6mm 2017
    Driest on record 16.0mm 1998
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Upper Mangrove Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 410.0mm 42.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 421.6mm 36.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 442.2mm 43.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 126.4mm Feb 8
    Lowest Temperature 10.5°C Mar28
    Highest Temperature 43.7°C Feb 1
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Upper Mangrove Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.3 26.6 24.8 21.8 18.7 15.9 15.4 17.4 20.5 22.9 24.5 26.2 21.8
    Mean Min (°C) 16.9 16.9 15.2 12.1 9.1 7.3 6.0 6.6 9.3 11.4 13.8 15.4 11.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 118.5 146.9 144.6 91.0 86.9 117.1 47.2 64.0 68.8 72.8 101.4 97.0 1155.7
    Mean Rain Days 13.9 13.8 14.3 13.3 13.2 13.5 11.3 8.8 9.5 10.7 13.4 11.8 140.8