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Forecast

Turill (32.1382°S, 149.8057°E, 451m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 21° 38°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:50am EDT 6:17am EDT 8:10pm EDT 8:37pm EDT
    NOW
    28.1° Feels Like: 26.6°
    Relative Humidity: 51%
    Dew: 17.0°
    Wind: N 20km/h
    Gust: 26km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1007.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Turill
    Now
    18.2°c
    Feels Like:
    17.3°
    Wind:
    NE 4km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    57%
    Late shower
     
    21°
    Min
    38°
    Max
    Today in Turill
    Hot. Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze. Areas of raised dust possible this afternoon and evening. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a gusty thunderstorm this afternoon and evening. Winds N/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NW 35 to 55 km/h during the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures 33 to 38.
    Tomorrow
    Thunderstorms
    22°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/SW in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 28 to 33.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot. Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze. Areas of raised dust possible this afternoon and evening. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a gusty thunderstorm this afternoon and evening. Winds N/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NW 35 to 55 km/h during the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures 33 to 38.

    Forecast for Turill (32.1382°S, 149.8057°E, 451m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Late shower Thunderstorms Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible thunderstorm Late shower Late shower
    Minimum 21° 22° 19° 21° 21° 20° 20°
    Maximum 38° 33° 33° 33° 31° 34° 35°
    Chance of rain 80% 70% 30% 50% 60% 70% 50%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 26
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N NNW NW W E ENE NE NNW NNE N NNW WNW E ENE
    Relative humidity 49% 25% 78% 46% 74% 44% 80% 44% 78% 53% 72% 45% 70% 38%
    Dew point 18°C 14°C 21°C 19°C 20°C 19°C 21°C 20°C 21°C 21°C 20°C 21°C 21°C 19°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Turill Rain Forecast


    Turill 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Turill Rain Forecast


    Turill 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    6
    5
    7
    6
    8
    7
    4
    5
    3
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Turill Rain Forecast


    Turill 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Turill Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    - -
    -
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    - 29.7 °C
    -
    Monday
    Jan 20
    18.2 °C 34.9 °C
    8.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    15.5 °C 31.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    18.2 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Turill minimum temp history (32.1382°S, 149.8057°E, 451m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 42.5° 05/01/2020 Coldest this month 15.5° 21/01/2020
    Hottest on record 42.3 03/01/2014 Coldest on record 6.4 30/01/1971
    Hottest this year 42.5° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year 15.5° 21/01/2020
    Long term average 31.0° Long term average 16.7°
    Average this month 34.9° Average this month 18.8°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.9° 1981 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 13.8° 1986
    Turill rainfall history (32.1382°S, 149.8057°E, 451m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 8.4mm 20/01/2020 Total This Month 24.8mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 69.6mm 5.9 days Wettest January on record 238.5mm 1981
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Turill Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 69.6mm 5.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 24.8mm 7.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 35.0mm 5.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 8.4mm Jan20
    Lowest Temperature 15.5°C Jan21
    Highest Temperature 42.5°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Turill Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.0 30.1 27.5 23.5 19.1 15.4 14.7 16.5 19.7 23.5 26.7 29.7 23.1
    Mean Min (°C) 16.7 16.3 13.8 9.8 6.4 3.7 2.6 3.4 6.0 9.1 12.3 14.8 9.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 69.6 60.1 54.9 42.8 44.3 51.0 48.4 45.6 47.4 55.0 59.6 66.9 645.4
    Mean Rain Days 5.9 5.3 5.3 4.6 5.7 7.3 7.6 6.8 6.6 6.6 6.3 6.3 73.7