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Forecast

Tucabia (29.669°S, 153.1073°E, 5m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Possible shower 20° 29°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:48am EDT 6:14am EDT 7:48pm EDT 8:14pm EDT
    NOW
    23.9° Feels Like: &nbsp;
    Relative Humidity: &nbsp;
    Dew: &nbsp;
    Wind: SE 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1015.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Tucabia
    Now
    23.4°c
    Feels Like:
    25.9°
    Wind:
    E 6km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    80%
    Possible shower
     
    20°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Tucabia
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 20 with daytime temperatures reaching the high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    20°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the S in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 19 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Tucabia

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 20 with daytime temperatures reaching the high 20s.

    Forecast for Tucabia (29.669°S, 153.1073°E, 5m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 20° 20° 20° 20° 19° 20° 20°
    Maximum 29° 29° 29° 29° 30° 31° 29°
    Chance of rain 60% 70% 80% 40% 60% 80% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE E S E NNW E SE E NNW ENE NNE ENE SE E
    Relative humidity 79% 59% 81% 65% 83% 69% 78% 57% 76% 52% 78% 57% 78% 56%
    Dew point 21°C 19°C 21°C 21°C 21°C 21°C 20°C 18°C 20°C 18°C 21°C 21°C 20°C 18°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Tucabia Rain Forecast


    Tucabia 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    HIGH
    8
    HIGH
    9
    HIGH
    10
    HIGH
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Tucabia Rain Forecast


    Tucabia 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2021
    8
    7
    7
    8
    8
    7
    8
    6
    6
    7
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 7

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Tucabia Rain Forecast


    Tucabia 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    HIGH
    8
    HIGH
    9
    HIGH
    10
    HIGH
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Tucabia Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jan 24
    16.1 °C 29.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 25
    18.5 °C 30.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 26
    18.8 °C 31.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 27
    20.0 °C 33.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 28
    21.7 °C 29.6 °C
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Tucabia minimum temp history (29.669°S, 153.1073°E, 5m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 34.0° 05/01/2021 Coldest this month 14.8° 17/01/2021
    Hottest on record 41.3 18/01/2017 Coldest on record 10.8 20/01/2010
    Hottest this year 34.0° 05/01/2021 Coldest this year 14.8° 17/01/2021
    Long term average 30.4° Long term average 19.1°
    Average this month 28.8° Average this month 18.3°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.0° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 17.8° 2016
    Tucabia rainfall history (29.669°S, 153.1073°E, 5m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 30.2mm 07/01/2021 Total This Month 68.4mm
    16.0 days
    Long Term Average 131.5mm 12.6 days Wettest January on record 388.8mm 2012
    Driest on record 2.4mm 2019
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Tucabia Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 131.5mm 12.6 day(s)
    Total For 2021 68.4mm 16.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 318.2mm 11.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 30.2mm Jan 7
    Lowest Temperature 14.8°C Jan17
    Highest Temperature 34.0°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Tucabia Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.4 29.8 28.3 25.8 23.2 20.6 20.6 22.5 24.9 26.8 28.7 29.3 25.9
    Mean Min (°C) 19.1 19.0 17.6 13.8 9.2 7.3 5.3 5.9 9.7 12.8 15.8 17.6 12.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 131.5 160.1 165.0 82.1 70.6 89.5 31.6 57.1 44.4 67.3 98.0 131.7 1106.1
    Mean Rain Days 12.6 14.0 16.2 13.0 12.6 13.3 10.3 7.2 8.8 9.6 12.4 13.5 142.8