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Forecast

Tucabia (29.669°S, 153.1073°E, 5m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 20°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:11am EST 6:37am EST 4:56pm EST 5:22pm EST
    NOW
    13.0° Feels Like: 10.6°
    Relative Humidity: 68%
    Dew: 7.2°
    Wind: SSW 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Tucabia
    Now
    14.7°c
    Feels Like:
    12.3°
    Wind:
    WSW 9km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    61%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Today in Tucabia
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers near the coast, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds S/SW 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 20.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Patchy fog in the south in the early morning. Medium chance of showers along the coastal fringe, slight chance elsewhere. Winds SW 15 to 20 km/h tending S in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching around 20.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers near the coast, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds S/SW 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 20.

    Forecast for Tucabia (29.669°S, 153.1073°E, 5m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 10° 11°
    Maximum 20° 21° 22° 21° 21° 21° 21°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 10% 40% 40% 70% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW S SW SE W E W SE SW S SSW SSE SSW SSE
    Relative humidity 82% 51% 86% 51% 91% 46% 94% 47% 85% 45% 94% 63% 100% 65%
    Dew point 11°C 9°C 12°C 10°C 11°C 9°C 13°C 8°C 12°C 8°C 14°C 13°C 15°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Tucabia Rain Forecast


    Tucabia 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    HIGH
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    Jul 1
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun 3

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 June to 19 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 3 July to 7 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 June to 15 June, and 24 June to 28 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 June to 17 June, 19 June to 23 June, and 26 June to 30 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Tucabia Rain Forecast


    Tucabia 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2020
    2021
    7
    8
    7
    8
    7
    5
    5
    7
    7
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 13

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesn’t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Tucabia Rain Forecast


    Tucabia 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    HIGH
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    Jul 1
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun 3

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 June to 19 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 3 July to 7 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 June to 15 June, and 24 June to 28 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 June to 17 June, 19 June to 23 June, and 26 June to 30 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Tucabia Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    May 30
    12.4 °C 22.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    May 31
    10.9 °C 23.0 °C
    0.8 mm
    Monday
    Jun 01
    10.0 °C 24.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jun 02
    9.0 °C 18.6 °C
    0.2 mm
    Wednesday
    Jun 03
    1.9 °C 20.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Tucabia minimum temp history (29.669°S, 153.1073°E, 5m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.8° 01/06/2020 Coldest this month 1.9° 03/06/2020
    Hottest on record 29.7 09/06/2016 Coldest on record -1.8 01/06/2006
    Hottest this year 37.6° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 1.9° 03/06/2020
    Long term average 20.5° Long term average 7.1°
    Average this month 20.1° Average this month 7.0°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 22.0° 2008 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 5.4° 2006
    Tucabia rainfall history (29.669°S, 153.1073°E, 5m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.2mm 02/06/2020 Total This Month 0.2mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 88.6mm 12.9 days Wettest June on record 232.2mm 2016
    Driest on record 6.6mm 2001
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Tucabia Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 719.1mm 80.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 912.4mm 73.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 199.4mm 74.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 155.0mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature 1.9°C Jun 3
    Highest Temperature 37.6°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Tucabia Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.0 29.7 28.1 25.7 23.2 20.5 20.4 22.3 24.7 26.8 28.5 28.9 25.7
    Mean Min (°C) 19.0 18.8 17.5 13.7 9.1 7.1 5.3 6.1 9.8 12.5 16.1 17.5 12.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 131.1 155.1 178.9 86.6 78.8 88.6 33.2 65.7 48.7 64.0 117.1 114.1 1175.8
    Mean Rain Days 13.2 13.2 15.6 12.5 12.7 12.9 10.1 7.9 9.4 8.4 12.4 13.6 116.2