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Forecast

Tolland (35.1479°S, 147.35°E, 222m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 18° 33°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:25am EDT 6:51am EDT 7:56pm EDT 8:22pm EDT
    NOW
    28.0° Feels Like: 24.0°
    Relative Humidity: 27%
    Dew: 7.3°
    Wind: E 17km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1017.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Tolland
    Now
    28.8°c
    Feels Like:
    26.6°
    Wind:
    E 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    27%
    Mostly sunny
     
    18°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Today in Tolland
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the north, most likely in the afternoon and early evening, and the chance of a thunderstorm. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds NE/SE 25 to 35 km/h becoming NE 20 to 30 km/h before dawn then tending N 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 35.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    18°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 18 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Tolland

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the north, most likely in the afternoon and early evening, and the chance of a thunderstorm. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds NE/SE 25 to 35 km/h becoming NE 20 to 30 km/h before dawn then tending N 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 35.

    Forecast for Tolland (35.1479°S, 147.35°E, 222m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum 18° 18° 20° 22° 10° 11° 13°
    Maximum 33° 33° 34° 31° 27° 29° 32°
    Chance of rain 10% 5% 40% 50% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Extreme Extreme Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 21
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    35
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE NE NE SW NE NW WNW W S WSW WSW WSW E WSW
    Relative humidity 57% 31% 57% 30% 48% 25% 49% 26% 48% 17% 47% 19% 55% 21%
    Dew point 13°C 13°C 14°C 13°C 12°C 11°C 13°C 10°C 3°C -0°C 6°C 3°C 10°C 6°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Tolland Rain Forecast


    Tolland 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 20 March to 24 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 4 March to 8 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 25 March to 29 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Tolland Rain Forecast


    Tolland 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    9
    7
    6
    6
    8
    7
    6
    5
    1
    7
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Tolland Rain Forecast


    Tolland 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 20 March to 24 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 4 March to 8 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 25 March to 29 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Tolland Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Feb 18
    22.6 °C 36.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 19
    14.6 °C 25.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 20
    11.1 °C 27.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Feb 21
    12.0 °C 29.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Feb 22
    15.5 °C 31 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Tolland minimum temp history (35.1479°S, 147.35°E, 222m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 43.8° 01/02/2020 Coldest this month 11.1° 20/02/2020
    Hottest on record 45.2 07/02/2009 Coldest on record 2.3 27/02/1985
    Hottest this year 46.1° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 9.8° 01/01/2020
    Long term average 30.9° Long term average 16.4°
    Average this month 31.5° Average this month 18.8°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 35.2° 1991 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 13.0° 1996
    Tolland rainfall history (35.1479°S, 147.35°E, 222m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 8.8mm 10/02/2020 Total This Month 18.2mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 41.0mm 5.3 days Wettest February on record 187.2mm 2011
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1968
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Tolland Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 81.8mm 10.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 31.2mm 13.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 54.6mm 15.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 8.8mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature 9.8°C Jan 1
    Highest Temperature 46.1°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Tolland Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.7 30.9 27.7 22.5 17.4 13.8 12.7 14.5 17.7 21.6 25.9 29.5 22.1
    Mean Min (°C) 16.3 16.4 13.4 9.2 5.9 3.7 2.8 3.5 5.1 7.8 10.9 13.8 9.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 40.8 41.0 45.1 40.2 50.9 51.2 55.0 51.4 50.0 56.8 46.4 45.6 574.2
    Mean Rain Days 5.3 5.3 5.6 6.8 9.7 12.4 14.7 13.4 10.7 9.5 7.4 6.2 105.2