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Forecast

Thumb Creek (30.6871°S, 152.6191°E, 54m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 24°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:53am EST 6:17am EST 5:27pm EST 5:51pm EST
    NOW
    24.9° Feels Like: 18.0°
    Relative Humidity: 21%
    Dew: 1.1°
    Wind: SSW 26km/h
    Gust: SSW 26km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1009.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Thumb Creek
    Now
    21.7°c
    Feels Like:
    17.9°
    Wind:
    ESE 15km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    37%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Today in Thumb Creek
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of an afternoon shower along the coastal fringe. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h turning S in the afternoon then tending S/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 23.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Areas of morning frost about higher ground. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h turning S/SE during the morning and early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 21.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of an afternoon shower along the coastal fringe. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h turning S in the afternoon then tending S/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 23.

    Forecast for Thumb Creek (30.6871°S, 152.6191°E, 54m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 24° 22° 27° 27° 25° 23° 23°
    Chance of rain 70% 5% 5% 50% 80% 90% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 16
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W SW SW S NNW NE WNW ESE SW SSE SW SE N ENE
    Relative humidity 50% 40% 53% 44% 52% 35% 49% 40% 58% 58% 75% 70% 71% 57%
    Dew point 7°C 8°C 6°C 9°C 6°C 10°C 8°C 10°C 10°C 15°C 15°C 16°C 12°C 14°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Thumb Creek Rain Forecast


    Thumb Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and New Zealand.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 31 August to 4 September, 12 September to 16 September, and 25 September to 29 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 September to 29 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 30 August to 3 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 24 September to 28 September.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Thumb Creek Rain Forecast


    Thumb Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2019
    2020
    3
    4
    6
    5
    4
    4
    6
    6
    7
    7
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SST's) continued a cooling trend over the central Pacific during July. The Nino3.4 index lingered at about 0.5 through the month of July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 in July, which is now in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, none of these are reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 50% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. Six out of six international models maintain a positive event until mid-spring. The climate outlook for the four weeks left in winter and spring, favours average-to-below average rainfall across the southern half of Australia, in particular over the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and the first half of spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average (especially off NSW) maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Thumb Creek Rain Forecast


    Thumb Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and New Zealand.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 31 August to 4 September, 12 September to 16 September, and 25 September to 29 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 September to 29 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 30 August to 3 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 24 September to 28 September.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Thumb Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Aug 18
    5.8 °C 23.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Aug 19
    5.1 °C 24.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Aug 20
    -2.6 °C 22.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 21
    0.3 °C 26 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 22
    9 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Thumb Creek minimum temp history (30.6871°S, 152.6191°E, 54m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 27.6° 17/08/2019 Coldest this month -2.6° 20/08/2019
    Hottest on record 35.8 24/08/2009 Coldest on record -2.2 12/08/2005
    Hottest this year 39.5° 12/02/2019 Coldest this year -4.1° 31/05/2019
    Long term average 21.6° Long term average 5.3°
    Average this month 23.4° Average this month 4.3°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.4° 2009 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 3.3° 2008
    Thumb Creek rainfall history (30.6871°S, 152.6191°E, 54m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.2mm 01/08/2019 Total This Month 0.4mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 60.2mm 8.3 days Wettest August on record 212.4mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Thumb Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 814.6mm 100.3 day(s)
    Total For 2019 233.8mm 78.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 573.0mm 81.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 27.4mm Mar10
    Lowest Temperature -4.1°C May31
    Highest Temperature 39.5°C Feb12
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Thumb Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.3 28.8 27.4 25.2 22.4 20.2 19.9 21.6 24.4 25.8 26.9 28.2 25.0
    Mean Min (°C) 17.8 18.0 16.4 13.1 8.6 6.7 5.0 5.3 8.2 10.9 14.5 16.3 11.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 124.2 164.7 156.2 75.1 72.9 138.6 22.7 60.2 44.0 74.3 112.0 101.7 1149.8
    Mean Rain Days 14.1 14.2 15.6 13.6 11.9 12.8 9.8 8.3 9.1 10.2 13.6 14.2 142.1