Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
Marine Wind Warning Summary for New South Wales
Issued at 04:05 PM EDT on Thursday 28 January 2021
for the period until midnight EDT Friday 29 January 2021
Wind Warnings for Thursday 28 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Macquarie Coast, Hunter Coast and Sydney Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
Illawarra Coast
Wind Warnings for Friday 29 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Hunter Coast, Sydney Coast, Illawarra Coast and Eden Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:10 am EDT Friday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Thora (30.4144°S, 152.7725°E, 34m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW21° 26° Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:46am EDT 6:12am EDT 7:49pm EDT 8:15pm EDT NOW24.6° Feels Like: 25.9° Relative Humidity: 77% Dew: 20.3° Wind: SE 13km/h Gust: 17km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1015.3hPa -
Today Weather
ThoraNow22.3°cFeels Like:26.2°Wind:N 0km/hGusts:0km/hHumidity:89%21°Min26°MaxToday in ThoraCloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h turning NE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 21 to 27.Tomorrow21°Min26°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm inland. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 29. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h turning NE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 21 to 27.
Forecast for Thora (30.4144°S, 152.7725°E, 34m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 21° 20° 21° 21° 20° 21° 21° Maximum 26° 27° 28° 27° 28° 29° 27° Chance of rain 70% 70% 60% 40% 50% 80% 90% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 8
(km/h)12
(km/h)9
(km/h)17
(km/h)12
(km/h)20
(km/h)9
(km/h)15
(km/h)16
(km/h)24
(km/h)11
(km/h)17
(km/h)8
(km/h)15
(km/h)Wind direction SE E NNE ENE NNE ENE E E NNE NE N ENE NE E Relative humidity 81% 77% 84% 78% 81% 76% 77% 67% 75% 67% 79% 73% 79% 73% Dew point 21°C 21°C 21°C 23°C 22°C 23°C 20°C 20°C 20°C 21°C 22°C 24°C 21°C 22°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Thora Rain Forecast
Thora 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT28
HIGH29
HIGH30
MEDIUM31
MEDIUMFeb 1
LOW2
HIGH3
HIGH4
MEDIUM5
MEDIUM6
MEDIUM7
HIGH8
MEDIUM9
HIGH10
MEDIUM11
LOW12
LOW13
LOW14
LOW15
16
MEDIUM17
MEDIUM18
LOW19
MEDIUM20
MEDIUM21
MEDIUM22
MEDIUM23
MEDIUM24
MEDIUM25
HIGHCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan28Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Thora Rain Forecast
Thora 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021987876866575105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Thora Rain Forecast
Thora 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT28
HIGH29
HIGH30
MEDIUM31
MEDIUMFeb 1
LOW2
HIGH3
HIGH4
MEDIUM5
MEDIUM6
MEDIUM7
HIGH8
MEDIUM9
HIGH10
MEDIUM11
LOW12
LOW13
LOW14
LOW15
16
MEDIUM17
MEDIUM18
LOW19
MEDIUM20
MEDIUM21
MEDIUM22
MEDIUM23
MEDIUM24
MEDIUM25
HIGHCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan28Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Thora Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Jan 2418.9 °C 28.5 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 2521.2 °C 28.6 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Jan 2621.8 °C 30.1 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Jan 2721.4 °C 30.0 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Jan 2822.1 °C 28.1 °C 34.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Thora minimum temp history (30.4144°S, 152.7725°E, 34m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 29.0° 15/01/2021 Coldest this month 10.2° 17/01/2021 Hottest on record 36.3 12/01/2013 Coldest on record 7.5 20/01/2010 Hottest this year 29.0° 15/01/2021 Coldest this year 10.2° 17/01/2021 Long term average 24.6° Long term average 15.2° Average this month 23.4° Average this month 14.7° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.8° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 13.1° 1997 Thora rainfall history (30.4144°S, 152.7725°E, 34m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 65.4mm 07/01/2021 Total This Month 304.4mm
14.0 daysLong Term Average 274.4mm 15.3 days Wettest January on record 881.6mm 2012 Driest on record 29.5mm 2019 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
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Year to Date
Thora Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 274.4mm 15.3 day(s) Total For 2021 304.4mm 14.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 247.4mm 13.0 day(s) Wettest Day 65.4mm Jan 7 Lowest Temperature 10.2°C Jan17 Highest Temperature 29.0°C Jan15 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Thora Climatology
Thora Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 24.6 23.8 22.4 19.9 17.2 14.9 14.7 16.2 19.3 21.3 22.5 24.0 20.1 Mean Min (°C) 15.2 15.1 13.7 10.8 7.4 5.5 4.5 4.7 7.6 9.9 12.1 14.0 10.0 Mean Rain (mm) 274.4 291.8 308.4 130.6 118.6 133.2 56.1 93.2 78.0 133.1 165.9 200.4 1973.0 Mean Rain Days 15.3 16.5 18.2 14.0 10.9 10.5 8.8 7.1 8.8 12.6 15.0 16.3 153.4