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Forecast

Thora (30.4144°S, 152.7725°E, 34m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Showers 21° 26°
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:46am EDT 6:12am EDT 7:49pm EDT 8:15pm EDT
    NOW
    24.6° Feels Like: 25.9°
    Relative Humidity: 77%
    Dew: 20.3°
    Wind: SE 13km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1015.3hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Thora
    Now
    22.3°c
    Feels Like:
    26.2°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    89%
    Showers
     
    21°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Thora
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h turning NE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 21 to 27.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    21°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm inland. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 29.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h turning NE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 21 to 27.

    Forecast for Thora (30.4144°S, 152.7725°E, 34m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Showers Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 21° 20° 21° 21° 20° 21° 21°
    Maximum 26° 27° 28° 27° 28° 29° 27°
    Chance of rain 70% 70% 60% 40% 50% 80% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		24
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE E NNE ENE NNE ENE E E NNE NE N ENE NE E
    Relative humidity 81% 77% 84% 78% 81% 76% 77% 67% 75% 67% 79% 73% 79% 73%
    Dew point 21°C 21°C 21°C 23°C 22°C 23°C 20°C 20°C 20°C 21°C 22°C 24°C 21°C 22°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Thora Rain Forecast

    Thora 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    HIGH
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Thora Rain Forecast

    Thora 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2021
    9
    8
    7
    8
    7
    6
    8
    6
    6
    5
    7
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 7

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Thora Rain Forecast

    Thora 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    HIGH
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Thora Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jan 24     		18.9 °C 28.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 25     		21.2 °C 28.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 26     		21.8 °C 30.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 27     		21.4 °C 30.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 28     		22.1 °C 28.1 °C
    34.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Thora minimum temp history (30.4144°S, 152.7725°E, 34m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 29.0° 15/01/2021 Coldest this month 10.2° 17/01/2021
    Hottest on record 36.3 12/01/2013 Coldest on record 7.5 20/01/2010
    Hottest this year 29.0° 15/01/2021 Coldest this year 10.2° 17/01/2021
    Long term average 24.6° Long term average 15.2°
    Average this month 23.4° Average this month 14.7°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.8° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 13.1° 1997
    Thora rainfall history (30.4144°S, 152.7725°E, 34m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 65.4mm 07/01/2021 Total This Month 304.4mm
    14.0 days
    Long Term Average 274.4mm 15.3 days Wettest January on record 881.6mm 2012
    Driest on record 29.5mm 2019

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Thora Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 274.4mm 15.3 day(s)
    Total For 2021 304.4mm 14.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 247.4mm 13.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 65.4mm Jan 7
    Lowest Temperature 10.2°C Jan17
    Highest Temperature 29.0°C Jan15

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Thora Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.6 23.8 22.4 19.9 17.2 14.9 14.7 16.2 19.3 21.3 22.5 24.0 20.1
    Mean Min (°C) 15.2 15.1 13.7 10.8 7.4 5.5 4.5 4.7 7.6 9.9 12.1 14.0 10.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 274.4 291.8 308.4 130.6 118.6 133.2 56.1 93.2 78.0 133.1 165.9 200.4 1973.0
    Mean Rain Days 15.3 16.5 18.2 14.0 10.9 10.5 8.8 7.1 8.8 12.6 15.0 16.3 153.4

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