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Forecast

Thora (30.4144°S, 152.7725°E, 34m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 21° 28°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:12am EDT 6:36am EDT 7:24pm EDT 7:49pm EDT
    NOW
    23.6° Feels Like: 25.6°
    Relative Humidity: 85%
    Dew: 20.9°
    Wind: W 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1008.5hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Thora
    Now
    21.2°c
    Feels Like:
    21.2°
    Wind:
    WNW 17km/h
    Gusts:
    28km/h
    Humidity:
    88%
    Possible shower
     
    21°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Today in Thora
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SW before dawn then becoming light in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 28.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    21°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SW before dawn then becoming light in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 28.

    Forecast for Thora (30.4144°S, 152.7725°E, 34m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Possible shower Possible thunderstorm Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 21° 21° 21° 20° 20° 21° 21°
    Maximum 28° 28° 27° 28° 29° 28° 25°
    Chance of rain 40% 50% 60% 40% 60% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 22
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW S SW SSE SSW S SW S W SSE SW SSE SSE SSE
    Relative humidity 83% 75% 83% 77% 81% 75% 81% 69% 76% 68% 83% 75% 84% 79%
    Dew point 21°C 23°C 22°C 24°C 20°C 22°C 20°C 22°C 20°C 22°C 21°C 23°C 20°C 21°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Thora Rain Forecast

    Thora 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    Mar 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    HIGH
    12
    HIGH
    13
    HIGH
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    HIGH
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 March to 9 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 28 March to 1 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March, and 14 March to 18 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 24 March to 28 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Thora Rain Forecast

    Thora 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    10
    5
    7
    7
    5
    8
    6
    6
    5
    8
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Thora Rain Forecast

    Thora 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    Mar 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    HIGH
    12
    HIGH
    13
    HIGH
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    HIGH
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 March to 9 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 28 March to 1 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March, and 14 March to 18 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 24 March to 28 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Thora Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Feb 22     		19.6 °C 25.5 °C
    9.6 mm
    Sunday
    Feb 23     		18.4 °C 24.6 °C
    4.2 mm
    Monday
    Feb 24     		19.2 °C 24.5 °C
    46.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 25     		19.8 °C 27.7 °C
    13.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 26     		19.7 °C 30 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Thora minimum temp history (30.4144°S, 152.7725°E, 34m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.0° 02/02/2020 Coldest this month 12.5° 05/02/2020
    Hottest on record 38.0 12/02/2017 Coldest on record 8.5 28/02/2004
    Hottest this year 35.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 12.5° 05/02/2020
    Long term average 23.8° Long term average 15.1°
    Average this month 23.9° Average this month 16.1°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.0° 2017 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 13.1° 2000
    Thora rainfall history (30.4144°S, 152.7725°E, 34m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 145.8mm 14/02/2020 Total This Month 557.6mm
    21.0 days
    Long Term Average 286.9mm 16.1 days Wettest February on record 738.3mm 2013
    Driest on record 106.2mm 2002

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Thora Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 585.4mm 31.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 806.6mm 35.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 190.3mm 20.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 145.8mm Feb14
    Lowest Temperature 12.5°C Feb 5
    Highest Temperature 35.2°C Jan 4

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Thora Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.2 23.8 22.4 19.8 17.1 14.9 14.5 16.1 19.2 21.3 22.3 23.8 20.0
    Mean Min (°C) 15.0 15.1 13.6 10.7 7.4 5.4 4.5 4.8 7.6 9.8 12.2 13.9 10.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 298.5 286.9 313.5 138.8 112.8 133.9 57.6 109.6 80.1 121.2 187.7 172.9 2022.2
    Mean Rain Days 15.4 16.1 17.8 14.0 11.2 10.4 9.5 7.7 9.3 11.9 15.8 16.6 151.6

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