Forecast
Theresa Park (34.0079°S, 150.6399°E, 72m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW17° 23° possible shower Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:47am EDT 6:15am EDT 8:05pm EDT 8:33pm EDT NOW18.4° Feels Like: 19.0° Relative Humidity: 86% Dew: 16.0° Wind: S 7km/h Gust: 7km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1021.2hPa -
Today Weather
Theresa ParkNow18.6°cFeels Like:18.1°Wind:SE 13km/hGusts:15km/hHumidity:85%17°Min23°MaxToday in Theresa ParkCloudy. Very high chance of showers. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h turning NE in the afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 21.Tomorrow17°Min23°MaxCloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h tending N early in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Theresa Park
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h turning NE in the afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 21.
Forecast for Theresa Park (34.0079°S, 150.6399°E, 72m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 17° 19° 19° 18° 17° 15° 16° Maximum 23° 31° 27° 29° 29° 29° 29° Chance of rain 80% 60% 50% 40% 60% 80% 90% Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 7
(km/h)13
(km/h)6
(km/h)11
(km/h)9
(km/h)18
(km/h)4
(km/h)11
(km/h)7
(km/h)14
(km/h)4
(km/h)12
(km/h)4
(km/h)11
(km/h)Wind direction ESE E NNE NE S SSE SSE ENE NNE NNE SW ENE SW ESE Relative humidity 87% 83% 88% 62% 84% 69% 80% 53% 81% 51% 68% 51% 72% 51% Dew point 17°C 18°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 19°C 18°C 17°C 18°C 17°C 15°C 16°C 16°C 17°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Theresa Park Rain Forecast
Theresa Park 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT28
HIGH29
HIGH30
MEDIUM31
MEDIUMFeb 1
MEDIUM2
HIGH3
MEDIUM4
5
6
LOW7
MEDIUM8
MEDIUM9
LOW10
LOW11
LOW12
LOW13
LOW14
15
LOW16
MEDIUM17
LOW18
19
LOW20
MEDIUM21
MEDIUM22
MEDIUM23
MEDIUM24
MEDIUM25
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan28Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Theresa Park Rain Forecast
Theresa Park 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec20211077777866334105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Theresa Park Rain Forecast
Theresa Park 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT28
HIGH29
HIGH30
MEDIUM31
MEDIUMFeb 1
MEDIUM2
HIGH3
MEDIUM4
5
6
LOW7
MEDIUM8
MEDIUM9
LOW10
LOW11
LOW12
LOW13
LOW14
15
LOW16
MEDIUM17
LOW18
19
LOW20
MEDIUM21
MEDIUM22
MEDIUM23
MEDIUM24
MEDIUM25
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan28Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Theresa Park Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Jan 2419.1 °C 39.9 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 2521.5 °C 38.7 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Jan 2617.4 °C 39.7 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Jan 2721.9 °C 23.1 °C 0.2 mmThursday
Jan 2818.0 °C 23.1 °C 7.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Theresa Park minimum temp history (34.0079°S, 150.6399°E, 72m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 39.9° 24/01/2021 Coldest this month 9.4° 17/01/2021 Hottest on record 46.4 18/01/2013 Coldest on record 7.9 02/01/1972 Hottest this year 39.9° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year 9.4° 17/01/2021 Long term average 29.7° Long term average 17.0° Average this month 30.0° Average this month 15.9° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.1° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 14.3° 1985 Theresa Park rainfall history (34.0079°S, 150.6399°E, 72m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 7.0mm 28/01/2021 Total This Month 26.8mm
9.0 daysLong Term Average 82.0mm 10.7 days Wettest January on record 263.6mm 1978 Driest on record 10.4mm 1985 -
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Year to Date
Theresa Park Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 82.0mm 10.7 day(s) Total For 2021 26.8mm 9.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 89.0mm 12.0 day(s) Wettest Day 7.0mm Jan28 Lowest Temperature 9.4°C Jan17 Highest Temperature 39.9°C Jan24 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Theresa Park Climatology
Theresa Park Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.7 28.7 26.8 23.9 20.7 17.7 17.4 19.0 22.0 24.4 26.4 28.6 23.7 Mean Min (°C) 17.0 16.8 14.9 11.1 7.0 4.6 3.0 3.9 6.8 10.0 12.9 15.2 10.2 Mean Rain (mm) 82.0 102.3 86.8 64.1 53.0 65.4 36.7 44.2 38.4 62.3 74.7 58.3 772.7 Mean Rain Days 10.7 11.2 10.7 9.5 9.0 9.6 8.7 7.8 8.2 9.8 10.2 9.3 114.9