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Forecast

Theresa Park (34.0079°S, 150.6399°E, 72m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 16° 27°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:17am EDT 6:43am EDT 7:37pm EDT 8:03pm EDT
    NOW
    18.7° Feels Like: 18.6°
    Relative Humidity: 74%
    Dew: 14.0°
    Wind: SSW 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.4mm
    Pressure: 1011.1hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Theresa Park
    Now
    19.0°c
    Feels Like:
    18.5°
    Wind:
    SSW 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    73%
    Mostly sunny
     
    16°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Today in Theresa Park
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower in the early morning. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h turning E/NE 20 to 30 km/h during the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    16°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming E/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower in the early morning. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h turning E/NE 20 to 30 km/h during the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to high 20s.

    Forecast for Theresa Park (34.0079°S, 150.6399°E, 72m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Showers increasing Showers increasing Rain
    Minimum 16° 13° 16° 17° 18° 18° 18°
    Maximum 27° 27° 27° 30° 29° 26° 27°
    Chance of rain 5% 10% 20% 10% 40% 80% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 10-20mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 3
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		7
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		4
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		3
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		6
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		7
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		6
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW NE SW SE SSW ENE NW ENE SW SE S SSE SSE SE
    Relative humidity 65% 50% 52% 46% 75% 53% 80% 47% 78% 53% 83% 61% 86% 64%
    Dew point 12°C 15°C 8°C 14°C 15°C 17°C 17°C 18°C 18°C 18°C 17°C 18°C 18°C 19°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Theresa Park Rain Forecast

    Theresa Park 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    Mar 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 March to 9 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 28 March to 1 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March, and 14 March to 18 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 24 March to 28 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Theresa Park Rain Forecast

    Theresa Park 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    9
    4
    7
    7
    7
    8
    8
    6
    4
    6
    4
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Theresa Park Rain Forecast

    Theresa Park 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    Mar 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 March to 9 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 28 March to 1 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March, and 14 March to 18 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 24 March to 28 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Theresa Park Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Feb 22     		17.4 °C 23.0 °C
    0.6 mm
    Sunday
    Feb 23     		18.1 °C 24.8 °C
    1.2 mm
    Monday
    Feb 24     		15.9 °C 29.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 25     		16.7 °C 31.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 26     		18.3 °C 31 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Theresa Park minimum temp history (34.0079°S, 150.6399°E, 72m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 45.3° 01/02/2020 Coldest this month 12.8° 20/02/2020
    Hottest on record 45.6 11/02/2017 Coldest on record 7.2 23/02/1993
    Hottest this year 46.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 12.8° 20/02/2020
    Long term average 28.6° Long term average 16.8°
    Average this month 28.1° Average this month 18.4°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.0° 1983 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 14.8° 1985
    Theresa Park rainfall history (34.0079°S, 150.6399°E, 72m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 181.6mm 10/02/2020 Total This Month 368.4mm
    15.0 days
    Long Term Average 96.9mm 11.0 days Wettest February on record 421.8mm 1990
    Driest on record 12.8mm 1944

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Theresa Park Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 181.0mm 21.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 457.4mm 27.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 95.4mm 19.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 181.6mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature 12.8°C Feb20
    Highest Temperature 46.2°C Jan 4

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Theresa Park Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.5 28.6 26.8 23.8 20.6 17.7 17.3 19.0 21.9 24.3 26.3 28.5 23.7
    Mean Min (°C) 16.8 16.8 14.9 11.1 7.1 4.6 3.0 3.9 6.8 9.9 13.0 15.2 10.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 84.1 96.9 89.3 68.5 53.5 67.0 37.6 46.0 39.6 61.2 75.8 56.8 777.3
    Mean Rain Days 10.5 11.0 10.5 10.0 8.9 9.3 8.5 8.0 8.3 9.6 10.3 9.2 105.2

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