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Forecast

Theresa Park (34.0079°S, 150.6399°E, 72m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Possible shower 17° 23°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:47am EDT 6:15am EDT 8:05pm EDT 8:33pm EDT
    NOW
    18.4° Feels Like: 19.0°
    Relative Humidity: 86%
    Dew: 16.0°
    Wind: S 7km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1021.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Theresa Park
    Now
    18.6°c
    Feels Like:
    18.1°
    Wind:
    SE 13km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    85%
    Possible shower
     
    17°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Today in Theresa Park
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h turning NE in the afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 21.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    17°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h tending N early in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Theresa Park

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h turning NE in the afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 21.

    Forecast for Theresa Park (34.0079°S, 150.6399°E, 72m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Possible shower Showers Clearing shower Fog then sunny Late thunder Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 17° 19° 19° 18° 17° 15° 16°
    Maximum 23° 31° 27° 29° 29° 29° 29°
    Chance of rain 80% 60% 50% 40% 60% 80% 90%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE E NNE NE S SSE SSE ENE NNE NNE SW ENE SW ESE
    Relative humidity 87% 83% 88% 62% 84% 69% 80% 53% 81% 51% 68% 51% 72% 51%
    Dew point 17°C 18°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 19°C 18°C 17°C 18°C 17°C 15°C 16°C 16°C 17°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Theresa Park Rain Forecast


    Theresa Park 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Theresa Park Rain Forecast


    Theresa Park 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2021
    10
    7
    7
    7
    7
    7
    8
    6
    6
    3
    3
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 7

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Theresa Park Rain Forecast


    Theresa Park 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Theresa Park Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jan 24
    19.1 °C 39.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 25
    21.5 °C 38.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 26
    17.4 °C 39.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 27
    21.9 °C 23.1 °C
    0.2 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 28
    18.0 °C 23.1 °C
    7.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Theresa Park minimum temp history (34.0079°S, 150.6399°E, 72m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 39.9° 24/01/2021 Coldest this month 9.4° 17/01/2021
    Hottest on record 46.4 18/01/2013 Coldest on record 7.9 02/01/1972
    Hottest this year 39.9° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year 9.4° 17/01/2021
    Long term average 29.7° Long term average 17.0°
    Average this month 30.0° Average this month 15.9°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.1° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 14.3° 1985
    Theresa Park rainfall history (34.0079°S, 150.6399°E, 72m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 7.0mm 28/01/2021 Total This Month 26.8mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 82.0mm 10.7 days Wettest January on record 263.6mm 1978
    Driest on record 10.4mm 1985
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Theresa Park Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 82.0mm 10.7 day(s)
    Total For 2021 26.8mm 9.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 89.0mm 12.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 7.0mm Jan28
    Lowest Temperature 9.4°C Jan17
    Highest Temperature 39.9°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Theresa Park Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.7 28.7 26.8 23.9 20.7 17.7 17.4 19.0 22.0 24.4 26.4 28.6 23.7
    Mean Min (°C) 17.0 16.8 14.9 11.1 7.0 4.6 3.0 3.9 6.8 10.0 12.9 15.2 10.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 82.0 102.3 86.8 64.1 53.0 65.4 36.7 44.2 38.4 62.3 74.7 58.3 772.7
    Mean Rain Days 10.7 11.2 10.7 9.5 9.0 9.6 8.7 7.8 8.2 9.8 10.2 9.3 114.9